Daegu Football Club VS Gwangju Football Club

Daegu host Gwangju for this South Korean K League 1 round 24 battle at DGB Daegu Bank Park in Daegu Sunday evening Beijing time. The level of this league is not that high by global standards but by Asian standards the level is pretty high. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of slightly below average quality by the K League 1 standards here.. Most importantly, we have yet another very interesting betting opportunity to make even more profit betting on South Korean football. We have won five of the last six picks betting on this league! I have previewed two other matches on this league and one pick will be posted in approximately 2-4 hours. Daegu have been a pretty big disappointment this season! I have, as a result, lowered their power rating from the in-depth preseason analysis as the season has progressed.. Indeed, they are only in 10th place in this league with a total of 12 clubs. Last season they finished in 6th place and do unarguably have some potential for improvement. However, the bookmakers seem to give this potential clearly too much emphasis.. I do not expect a sudden improvement from them.. They are – unsurprisingly – low in confidence at the moment and struggle to take all three games even in the games where they would have had a genuine chance to do so.. Indeed, they have failed to win any of their last five games! Yes, the home advantage is there but is pretty limited high here. Indeed, they have won only three games at DGB Daegu Bank Park in this league this season.. Their fans have understandably been very disappointed with the team's performances. The atmosphere at DGB Daegu Bank Park is not expected to be very good here.. Based on my sophisticated in-depth, strongly data-based analysis I see the visitors as very solid favourites as they have an edge over the hosts in all areas of the game - in terms of offensive firepower in particular. Odds of close to 2.50 on the away win are widely available on the betting market at the time of posting this in-depth analysis! The Gwangju win is the favourite result to bet on here as the probability of an away win is 46.50%. Furthermore, Gwangju have an excellent chance of taking at least a point here..

In their last game Daegu took a point from Suwon through a 2-2 draw on the road. However, Suwon were the much better team on the pitch as a whole.. Daegu managed only two shots on goal.. The hosts managed many more goal attempts, attacks and dangerous attacks – 83-66 to be precise. Before this they faced Incheon, currently in 9th place, at home as clear favourites. They were priced around 2.10 to win at the time of kickoff. However, no goals were scored in this pretty low-tempo, uneventful – and low-level games as a whole. Daegu managed very few shots on target.. The visitors had two more big scoring chances - 4-2. Daegu have scored only 23 goals in this league and their offense has lacked especially speed and creativity. Their offensive stricture has not been great either.. Only Daejeon have scored less goals – 22 to be precise. The distance between the players has been too big in many games this season. Their defence is not terrible but they have conceded 31 goals. However, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 34.56. They have only 23 points in their pocket. In round 21 Daegu were pretty good though, taking a point from Pohang at home through a 3-3 draw at home. It was a heated clash where both teams received a red card in the 1st half. However, we must remember that Daegu played well above their normal level in this match. Pohang, on the other hand, were far from their best and were, at times, pretty imbalanced on the pitch. Heo Young Sun being sent off affected their game surprisingly significantly. In round 20 Gimcheon Sangmu deservedly beat Daegu at home 2-0. They recorded many more goal attempts (22), shots on goal (11-6) and shots off goal. In round 20 Daegu defended pretty well but lost to Ulsan HD on the road 0-1. Once again their offense looked pretty toothless at critical moments – especially in terms of passing accuracy.

Gwangju, too, have had a disappointing season, especially results-wise but I will not let this fool me!  They took 3rd place with a fine 59 points last season but are now in 8th place. They have grabbed a decent 28 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) is much higher - 33.54. Their offense is significantly better and more versatile than the hosts'. They have netted the ball 30 times and their number of expected goals (xG) is 31.78. They should defend in a more organized way though - being positioned nearer to each other on the pitch..  Furthermore, their midfielders should be more active in defending - especially when they are in the lead.. They can be vulnerable to intense, well-organized pressing but Daegu are not expected to be able to play this way.. Gwangju have been in pretty good form recently – winning three of their last five games. In their last match they defeated Seongnam 3-2 after extra time at home. It was a Korean Cup quarter-final game. Gwangju would have deserved a win in the 90 minutes of play! During the 120 minutes of play they recorded a strong 21 goal attempts! They also recorded many more shots on goal (16-5), corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. Before this they were, in all honesty, very disappointing - losing to Incheon 0-2 at home. Gwangju can play much better and I will not overreact to this match.. Incheon, however, played one of their best games this season. Incheon recorded two more shots on goal but Gwangju managed many more attacks – 159-91 and especially dangerous attacks – 125-61. Despite Gwangju being lame the final score is still misleading.. In round 22, on the other hand, Gwangju proved that they can perform at a very high level! Indeed, they defeated the reigning champions, Ulsan HD, 1-0 on the road as pretty clear underdogs – priced around 3.50 on the betting market. They recorded many more total shots than Ulsan! The hosts recorded only two big chances to score. This is a low number for them in front of their demanding fans. I very much liked the way Gwangju suffocated Ulsan's offense through very well organized and balanced defending! In round 21 Gwangju lost to a dangerous team, Gangwon, 0-2 on the road as underdogs according to the bookmakers. Gwangju had 52.30% ball possession and recorded many more total shots (13-7), shots on goal, big scoring chances (2-0), touches in the opponent's penalty area (30-7) attacks and dangerous attacks – 64-42 to be precise. The visitors would have deserved at least a point..

该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

大邱足球俱乐部VS光州足球俱乐部

北京时间周日晚，韩国K联赛第24轮比赛将在大邱DGB大邱银行公园举行。以全球标准来看，这个联赛的水平并不高，但以亚洲标准来看，这个水平相当高。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以K联赛标准衡量的略低于平均水平的比赛。最重要的是，我们还有一个非常有趣的投注机会，可以在韩国足球上获得更多的利润。我们赌这个联赛赢了过去6次选秀中的5次!我已经预演了这个联赛的另外两场比赛，其中一场将在大约2-4小时后发布。大邱这个赛季让我们非常失望!因此，随着赛季的进行，我降低了他们在季前赛中深入分析的能量评级。事实上，他们在这个联赛中只排在第10位，总共有12家俱乐部。上赛季他们只排在第6位，毫无疑问他们还有提升的潜力。然而，博彩公司似乎给这种潜力显然过于强调…我不指望他们会突然好转。不出所料，他们现在信心不足，很难拿下三场比赛，即使在他们有机会拿下的比赛中也是如此。事实上，他们最近五场比赛一场都没赢!是的，主场优势是有的，但在这里优势有限。事实上，他们本赛季在DGB大邱银行公园只赢了3场比赛。他们的球迷对球队的表现感到非常失望，这是可以理解的。DGB大邱银行公园的气氛预计不会很好。基于我对数据的分析，我认为客队是最受欢迎的球队，因为他们在比赛的各个方面都比主队有优势，尤其是在进攻火力方面。在发布这篇深度分析时，在投注市场上可以广泛获得接近2.50的客场胜利赔率!光州获胜是最受欢迎的结果，因为客场获胜的概率为46.50%。此外，光州很有可能在这里至少拿一分。

在上一场比赛中，大邱客场2比2战平水原，从水原手中拿到1分。但是，从整体上看，水原队的表现要好得多。大邱只有两脚射门。东道主进行了更多的进球尝试、攻击和危险攻击——准确地说是83比66。在此之前，他们在主场迎战目前排名第9的仁川队。开球时，他们的胜率约为2.10美元。然而，在这场节奏缓慢、平淡无奇、水平低下的比赛中，没有进球。大邱几乎没有射正。客队还有两次大的得分机会——4:2。大邱队在联赛中只进了23球，他们的进攻尤其缺乏速度和创造力。他们的进攻结构也不是很好。只有大田的进球数更少，准确地说是22个。在本赛季的许多比赛中，球员之间的距离都太大了。他们的防守并不可怕，但是他们丢了31个球。然而，他们的预期进球数(xGA)是34.56。他们口袋里只有23分。在第21轮比赛中，大邱队表现不错，在主场3-3战平浦项，从浦项手中拿到1分。这是一场激烈的冲突，双方在上半场都吃到了红牌。然而，我们必须记住，在这场比赛中，大邱队的表现远远超出了他们的正常水平。另一方面，浦项远没有达到最佳状态，而且有时在球场上相当不平衡。许永善被罚下对他们的比赛产生了意想不到的影响。在第20轮比赛中，金川尚武在主场以2比0击败大邱。他们的射门次数(22次)、射正次数(11胜6负)和射偏次数要多得多。在第20轮比赛中，大邱队的防守很好，但在客场0-1不敌蔚山HD。他们的进攻又一次在关键时刻显得软弱无力——尤其是在传球准确性方面。

光州也有一个令人失望的赛季，特别是在结果方面，但我不会让这欺骗我!上赛季他们以59分的好成绩排名第三，但现在排名第八。他们拿到了不错的28分，但他们的预期积分(xPTS)要高得多——33.54分。他们的进攻明显比东道主更好，更全面。进球30次，预期进球数(xG)为31.78个。他们应该以更有组织的方式防守——在球场上彼此靠得更近。此外,自

中场应该更积极地防守，尤其是当他们处于领先地位的时候。他们可能很容易受到组织严密的紧逼，但大邱队预计不会这样踢。光州队最近状态不错，最近五场比赛赢了三场。在上一场比赛中，他们在主场加时赛后以3比2击败了城南队。这是一场韩国杯四分之一决赛。在90分钟的比赛中，光州应该赢得一场胜利!在120分钟的比赛中，他们有21次进球!他们也记录了更多的射门(16-5)、角球、进攻和危险进攻。在此之前，说实话，他们非常令人失望——在主场0-2输给了仁川。光州可以踢得更好，我不会对这场比赛反应过度。仁川队打出了本赛季最好的比赛之一。仁川队虽然射门次数多了2次，但光州队的进攻次数较多(159比91)，尤其是危险进攻(125比61)。尽管光州很差劲，但最终比分仍然具有误导性…另一方面，在第22轮比赛中，光州队证明了他们可以发挥出很高的水平!事实上，他们在客场以1比0击败了卫冕冠军蔚山HD，他们显然处于劣势——在博彩市场上的价格约为3.50。他们的总射门数比蔚山队多得多!东道主只抓住了两次进球的大好机会。在他们苛刻的球迷面前，这是一个很低的数字。我非常喜欢光州队通过组织和平衡的防守压制蔚山队进攻的方式!据博彩公司透露，在第21轮比赛中，光州客场0比2负于危险的江原队。光州队拥有52.30%的控球率，在总射门次数(13-7次)、射正次数、大得分机会(2-0)、禁区内触球次数(30-7次)、危险进攻次数(64-42次)等方面都比韩国队多。客队至少应该得一分。