We all know that Spain has been excellent and England have been very poor most of the time, but now that this is
1) football
2) a final game
It is not that tempting to go for Spain to win on regular time anymore.
England were the favourites to win the tournament before it began, the coach Southgate has however managed to fail big time with his expected best players Bellingham and Kane, and they have mostly used one flank to attack, if any.
But there is huge potential for better, the individual might be better than of Spain - apart from Rodri, Fabian, Yamal and Nico, and again I would be very surprised to see an attacking approach for any of the sides here. And England have played like it from the start, it is Spain who will have to adapt.
England have shown their resilience as they have come back in every game. It is not luck, it is a skill, it is resilience and good nerves.
Spain were also in the losing position vs France, but they turned it around quickly, and started defending only in the winning position when they turned the hand brakes fully on. It also worked, France did not really get any good chances despite having most of ball and semi chances for the last 30 minutes or so.
Spain of course are still without Pedri, but perhaps the injury got from Toni Kroos early on turned to be a blessing for Spain, as his replacement Dani Olmo has been brilliant. The most talked player in Spanish camp has been Lamin Yamal, he will be 17 years today - in the first round matches it was Nico Williams but he has partly disappeared from the picture.
Yet, the two absolute key players in the squad are the engine, the midfielders Fabian and Rodri. They both are like more physical reincarnations of Sergio Busquets, they are everywhere even when you do not notice it. They win the balls, create the space, allow passing alternatives, and they are the true soul of the team. Rodri, as a Manchester City player can not offer any surprises, he is well marked and tackled and harassed, and if England manage to challenge these two there will be less passes to young wingers, and less chances.
It might end up being electrical,but boring, unless the first goal is scored. If there is one, and it scored by Spain there will be huge pressure from the English side who know they can equalize as they have done so several times. If is England, well then it gets more complicated as there would be even less space to run and exploit, but in papers I see this as either a 0-0 until 120 minutes, or Spain taking a 1-0 lead and defending it more or less successfully until the end.
I hope Spain wins in the end, it is a win for football and I live in Spain, but for betting reasons and value I choose here a draw.
Good luck, enjoy the game!
我们都知道西班牙一直很优秀,而英格兰大部分时间都很穷,但现在
1)足球
2)最后一场比赛
指望西班牙在常规时间获胜已经不那么诱人了。
在比赛开始之前,英格兰队是夺冠的大热门,然而主教练索斯盖特却在他的预期中最好的球员贝灵汉和凯恩的带领下失败了,而且他们大多使用了一个侧翼来进攻,如果有的话。
但是我们有很大的潜力可以做得更好,除了罗德里、法比安、亚马尔和尼科之外,每个人的表现都可能比西班牙更好。我再次感到非常惊讶的是,这里的任何一支球队都有进攻的方式。英格兰从一开始就踢得很好,西班牙必须适应。
英格兰在每一场比赛中都表现出了他们的韧性。这不是运气,这是一种技巧,是韧性和良好的神经。
西班牙在对阵法国的比赛中也处于劣势,但他们很快扭转了局面,直到他们完全打开手刹时才开始在获胜位置防守。这也奏效了,尽管法国队在最后30分钟左右的时间里拥有大部分的球权和半场机会,但他们并没有真正得到任何好的机会。
西班牙当然仍然没有佩德里,但也许克罗斯的伤对西班牙来说是一件好事,因为他的替补奥尔莫表现出色。西班牙队最受关注的球员是亚马尔,今天他将满17岁了——在首轮比赛中是威廉姆斯,但他已经部分地从画面中消失了。
然而,两名绝对关键的球员是球队的引擎,他们是中场法比安和罗德里。他们都像是塞尔吉奥·布斯克茨(Sergio Busquets)的化身,即使你没有注意到,他们也无处不在。他们赢得球权,创造空间,允许传球的选择,他们是球队真正的灵魂。罗德里,作为一名曼城球员,他不能提供任何惊喜,他的盯防、拦截和骚扰都很好,如果英格兰队设法挑战这两人,那么年轻的边锋的传球就会减少,机会也会减少。
比赛可能会很精彩,但很无聊,除非第一个球进了。如果有一个进球,而且是西班牙队打进的,那么英格兰方面就会有巨大的压力,他们知道他们可以扳平比分,因为他们已经做到了几次。如果是英格兰,那么情况就会变得更加复杂,因为可以跑动和利用的空间会更少,但在论文中,我认为这要么是0-0直到120分钟,要么是西班牙1-0领先,并或多或少地成功防守到最后。
我希望西班牙队最终获胜,这是足球的胜利,我住在西班牙,但出于投注的原因和价值,我选择平局。
祝你好运,享受比赛!