Spain VS England

Spain and England lock horns in this EURO 2024 Final early Monday morning Beijing time. The stakes are, of course, massive and an open game with a lot of goals would be a major surprise.. However, Spain play more active football than, for example, France and Portugal played.. The goal expectancy here is, once again, low but still a little bigger than the bookies estimate at the time of writing this analysis Thursday evening Beijing time. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of elite quality by this tournament's – standards – or by any standard here! Most importantly, we have a very intriguing betting opportunity to make even more profit betting on this big tournament! Indeed, we have won six of the last seven picks on this tournament. I usually do not give too much emphasis to one player but Luke Shaw being in the starting eleven would be a massive thing for England - bigger than the bookies probably realize. He was able to play for 45 minutes against the Netherlands. Together with  Arsenal's extremely good D. Rice they have a good chance of keeping Spain's "wonder boy", Lamine Yamal, almost 17 years of age, at bay.. Shaw's replacement Trippier is a much worse player, especially in terms of passing the ball..  My estimation has been made/calculated with a 65% chance of Shaw playing for 90 minutes. The probability is probably bigger but I wanted, as always, to be cautious with my estimation. If a fan reads this analysis late - when we have the lineups – and Shaw is in the starting eleven - and there are no other significant absentees – I see Spain having an only 50.50% chance of winning the tournament. Let's remember that before the tournament started, England were priced clearly lower than Spain to win this tournament..

Firstly I want to mention that, yes, England have unarguably been a disappointment performance-wise in the EURO 2024. The positive thing is that they have potential for much better performances – and did, in fact, play at a very high level in the first half against Netherlands in the semifinal! They recorded a very strong 1.21 in expected goals in the first half, the Netherlands managed only 0.16. The score was, however, 1-1, at half time. England looked like a totally different team compared to their first five games in the first half! They were pressing Spain in an organized way and the way they played made me – and probably millions of other football bettors and fans to wonder – why do they not always play like this - in a situation where they are not leading the game..? In the second half England became much more passive and had only a few scoring chances.. Saka's goal was denied in the 90th minute because of an offside. The Dutch also had their moments and could – with a hint of luck - have won the game.. This is, of course, no surprise at all as England were only narrow favourites on the betting market and had played clearly below their potential.. However, there is no denying the fact that England deserved to win! The winning goal was scored in the 90th+1 minute by Ollie Watkins, an Aston Villa player that has played oddly few minutes in this tournament. He was excellent in the Premier League last season and could possibly come in at halftime if Kane is not at his best.. The goal was set up by Chelsea's  excellent Palmer,22, – a player who would deserve to play more minutes. England had 59% ball possession and had more goal attempts (10-5), shots on goal, shots off target as well as attacks – 49-26. England's number of xG was 1.52 - the Netherlands managed 0.57. For the first time in a long time England were clearly undervalued by the bookies in this game. Indeed, the media worldwide mocking England's performances had affected the odds too much and we took advantage of this! I believe England can improve even further. The level they played at in the first half was even a little better than Spain's average in this tournament so far! However, we cannot trust England tactic-wise fully and my analysis is not definitely based on one excellent half. However, Spain have been playing so well and consistently in this tournament that they deserve to be the favourites here – but only very narrowly! Let's keep in mind that England are still the stronger team. They are in 5th place in the FIFA Ranking - Spain are in 8th place. According to a well-known and respected German website England are clearly the more valuable according to Transfermarkt.com. I want to emphasize that I do not see Spain having potential for improvement.. They, of course, do not have to improve to have a good chance of winning the game.. Even so, their current odds of around 2.35-2.40 to beat England in 90 minutes of play are too low. We will take the England +0.5 goals handicap option!

Despite all the justified criticism we should remember that England have not lost any of the six matches in this tournament.. Let's first take a look at England's three matches in the group stage.. They beat Serbia 1-0 in round 1 but generated a modest 0.51 in expected goals (xG). However, England defended in an extremely organized way – allowing Serbia only 0.31 in xG.. England had more shots on target (3-1) and recorded one more attack than Serbia. In round 2, against Denmark, it was a 1-1 draw and England did generate slightly more in xG. However, again their odds of around 1.70 to win did not illustrate the events on the pitch. It was a pretty balanced battle where both teams seemed to be rather satisfied with a draw. Indeed, in the second half both teams were mainly aiming to minimize risks.. Both teams recorded 41 attacks in this somewhat low-tempo and uneventful clash. In round 3 England faced Slovenia and it was a goalless draw. It was yet another pretty defensive battle where England knew that with a draw they would qualify for the Playoffs - and have a great chance of winning the group – as they did. Slovenia seemed to be very happy with a draw as they were aware of the fact that with three points they would have a very big chance earning a place in the Playoffs as UEFA had decided that the best four third-placed teams also qualify. I want to highlight that despite being very far from their best England were the much better team in this game! They had 72% ball possession and also recorded many more goal attempts (12-5), shots on target, shots off goal, corner kicks (6-0). total passes (755-271), completed passes and attacks – 57-19. The xG numbers were 1.12-0.18. Let's not forget that Slovenia forced Portugal, a strong team, into extra time but lost in penalties in the first round of Playoffs.. The England fans have, completely rightfully, been disappointed with their team's performances in this tournament so far – especially with the often ultra-cautious style of play their head coach Gareth Southgate has chosen. Well, the fans did praise England's style of play in the 1st half against the Netherlands but that was, after all, just 1/12 45 minutes.. I have not been surprised with England's tactics as a whole so far but have, in all honesty, been a little disappointed with their performances. It is clear that mocking England's performances had gone too far - especially prior to their previous game - in the (football) media now and millions of bettors seem to be thinking that England are passive and disappointing. This is a classic example of the media and recreational bettors over-reacting to a handful of matches. I want to emphasize that the main rationale behind this pick is England's potential but also the fact that "everybody seems to have fallen in love with Spain"  plays a role. Indeed, Spain have, as a result of a fine record, become too hot on the betting market!

Even the biggest bookies have made surprisingly many mistakes with their odds in this tournament - many more than in EURO 2020 which was played in several different locations in 2021 because of the Covid-19 crisis. We have taken advantage of this and I want to thank all my loyal fans who have bought picks! In the EURO 2020 England reached the final - despite not being very impressive in many games. They eventually lost to Italy in penalties 1-2. In the World Cup 2022 which was played in Qatar England lost to an elite team, France, 1-2 in the semifinal. Harry Kane missed a penalty in the second half when the score was 1-2.. France were only narrowly the better team in this match. Let's not forget that the French were very close to winning the tournament as Kolo-Muani had an excellent scoring chance late into the extra time! Once again I want to mention something about style of play/tactics: France played very defensive, "boring" football in this tournament, as well as in 2018 when they become World Champions. Indeed, defensive football has often been the "winning formula". I want to highlight that in both of these tournaments England significantly improved their level in the Playoffs – from their group stage performances.. There was a big number of the same players in England's World Cup and EURO 2024 squad! I expect smart money from professional independent sports bettors and betting syndicates -  as well as millions of patriotic English people to pile up on England – resulting in odds dropping before the kick off. Indeed, I recommend my fans to place the bet as soon as possible! I am sure that if England are able to reach the level they performed at in Qatar they would even be slight favourites here. Let's not forget that Spain were beaten by Morocco early in the Playoffs in Qatar but have, of course, improved since then..

In the EURO 2024 Qualification Group C England played very well, topping the group standings with an impressive 20 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) was a bit lower.. Italy finished in second place and Ukraine ended up in third place. England played pretty active football in the qualification so they do know how to do it.. Once again talking of the potential for major improvement - England have players like Jude Bellingham, who was extremely good with Real Madrid, the UEFA Champions League and LaLiga winners in the 2023-2024 season! He improved hugely compared to the previous season when he played for Borussia Dortmund. England also have Manchester City's super-talented Phil Foden, the player of the season 2023-2024 in the English Premier League, the best league in the world! However, in Southgate's system/formation he unfortunately cannot use his strengths nearly in an optimal way. It is possible, but very improbable, he will not be in the starting eleven here.. There is also Arsenal's star Saka - who has arguably been disappointing in this tournament as a whole though but was good against Switzerland and pretty good against the Netherlands. He is very fast and smart, still pretty young player. Let's also not forget one of the best strikers in the world, Harry Kane. He scored a lot of goals for the biggest club in Germany Bayern Munich, last season. Unfortunately for England, so far in this tournament Kane has not been at his best.. I want to highlight that against Switzerland, England played much better than in the first four games! England were more active and took somewhat more risks than before.. This was a very promising sign in my opinion! Saka scored a fine goal in the 80th minute to level the score (1-1). After that England had a few somewhat promising chances to score but eventually penalties were needed. All England's penalty takers scored – giving Switzerland's excellent goalkeeper hardly any chance at all! It was a tough game but, at the end of the day, England deserved to go trough. The England players, of course, looked relaxed and confident after the game. It seems that they have an excellent team spirit and by making it to the finals. The English players, of course, looked even more confident after beating the Netherlands! Things look positive for them and they seem to have an excellent team spirit!

Spain have won all seven games in this tournament - six of the seven in 90 minutes of play. As mentioned they have been strong but have not been nearly as good as the results would suggest. For example, they beat Croatia 3-0 in the group stage but the final score was massively misleading! Against Germany last week-end they could easily have lost.. In two of their last games Spain have generated less than the opponent in xG. Let's take a closer, a very comprehensive look at Spain's performances..

In their last game Spain were good, there's no denying that. We cannot say that they were lucky to eliminate France. Spain were the favourites in this game – priced around 2.65 to win in the 90 minutes of play. France's odds, on the other hand, were around 3.20. However, let's look at some statistics – to be able to remain calm and analytical and resist the huge "hype" around Spain. France recorded more goal attempts (9-6), shots on goal shots off goal, corner kicks and attacks – 46-39. France were quite far from their best in this game and Kylian Mbappe, the best striker in the world in my expert opinion, despite playing without the mask, was clearly not at his best!  According to reports he had not been sleeping well at all after the nasty nose injury he suffered in the opening game against Austria. Even so, France generated significantly more in xG – 1.16-0.63!  Spain became strangely passive in the second half and if France had been at their best they probably would have scored – at least once.. If the same happens against England, Southgate's men have a good chance of leveling the score!  Before this Spain were the favourites against Germany and won 2-1. However, Germany could very easily have won. They recorded 23 goal attempts, Spain managed 18. Germany also recorded more corner kicks, total passes and completed passes. Both teams had 56 attacks. However, Germany generated much more in xG – 2.14-1.43 to be precise. Moreover, Marc Cucurella (Spain) appeared to handle the ball in the box in the 107th minute, but the referee turned down the penalty appeals and waved play on. It was  more or less a 50/50 situation in terms of penalty or no penalty.. In most Premier League or LaLiga games it probably would have been a penalty!

Before these tough balanced games Spain beat Georgia 4-1. Georgia took the 1-0 lead in the 18th minute through an own goal by Robin Le Normand. After this goal Georgia did have a few somewhat promising counter-attacks after the opening goal but Spain did not panic. After some 5-10 minutes of some confusion – and Georgia, of course, being boosted by the goal – Spain took a strong control of the match. In all honesty, it never looked like Georgia were going to win - at least without lucky goals – or a penalty and/or a red card for Spain.. In terms of expected goals as well as many other key statistics Spain fully deserved to win. Spain had a 72% ball possession and also recorded many more goal attempts. However, Georgia were not, in all honesty, a great team but we should still give Spain's impressive offensive performance credit.. The xG numbers were 3.67-0.20.  However, if they play equally high-risk, offensive football level against England they might be in trouble.. However, the Spaniards are of course not stupid and England will probably have to force Spain into making mistakes..

In addition to Lamine Yamal I want to mention Manchester City's Rodri, who is an almost perfect midfielder and is among the top-7 players in the world in my expert opinion. Man City have also won four Premier League, the best league on the planet, four times in a row and Rodri's role in recent years has been huge. Without Rodri Man City struggled surprisingly much last season – his role in the Spanish team, too, is massive. The way he passes the ball and moves on the pitch – almost always making the right decision and being in the right place – is almost incredible. He can also score goals, as he did against Georgia – making it 1-1 in the 39th minute. Athletic Bilbao's fast and skilled winger, N. Williams,21, is an entertaining player and deserves a lot of credit.. Let's enjoy these amazing players - despite placing a bet on England.

In round 1 Spain defeated Croatia, the team that finished in 3rd place in the World Cup 2022, 3-0 after a good but still not perfect performance at all. Indeed, Croatia, a dangerous team despite not making it to the Playoffs, did have their chances to score! Quite interestingly, Croatia had many more scoring attempts (16-11) and also generated more in xG – 2.32-2.14 but Spain still deserved the three points. My point is that the "Spain hype" started gradually growing after this game where the final score was unarguably very misleading.. Before this Spain defended well and Italy managed only one shot on goal – Spain's number was eight. Moreover, Spain had 20 goal attempts! The xG numbers were very clear in Spain's favour, 2.10-0.22 to be precise. Spain were strong but Italy were simply abysmal and were beaten  by Switzerland in the 1st round of Playoffs 2-0. In round 3 Spain had nothing to play for left - as they had already won the group - but still beat Albania, a quite poor team, 1-0 despite substantial squad rotation.. Spain were priced around 1.40 to win the match.

GOOD LUCK – Let's enjoy this huge game between some of the best national teams in the world!

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西班牙VS英格兰

北京时间周一凌晨，西班牙和英格兰将在2024年欧洲杯决赛中展开较量。当然，赌注是巨大的，一场有很多进球的公开比赛将是一个重大的惊喜。然而，西班牙比法国和葡萄牙踢得更积极。这次的进球预期再次偏低，但仍略高于博彩公司在北京时间周四晚上撰写本文时的预测。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以本届锦标赛的标准——或者以任何标准——来衡量的精英水平的比赛!最重要的是，我们有一个非常有趣的投注机会，使更多的利润投注在这个大锦标赛!事实上，我们在过去的7次选秀中赢了6次。我通常不会过分强调一名球员，但是卢克·肖进入首发11人名单对英格兰来说是件大事——比博彩公司可能意识到的要大得多。他在对阵荷兰队的比赛中打了45分钟。再加上阿森纳出色的D. Rice，他们很有可能将西班牙的“神童”，年近17岁的拉明·亚马尔拒之门外。肖的替补特里皮尔是一个糟糕得多的球员，尤其是在传球方面。我估计肖有65%的机会打满90分钟。概率可能更大，但我想，一如既往，对我的估计保持谨慎。如果一个球迷看到这个分析的时候——当我们有了阵容——肖在首发11人中——没有其他重要的缺阵球员——我认为西班牙只有50.50%的机会赢得比赛。让我们记住，在比赛开始之前，英格兰赢得比赛的价格明显低于西班牙。

首先我想说的是，没错，英格兰队在2024年欧洲杯上的表现无疑令人失望。积极的一面是，他们有潜力取得更好的表现——事实上，他们在半决赛对阵荷兰队的上半场发挥得非常高!他们在上半场的预期进球数达到了1.21，而荷兰只有0.16。然而，半场结束时比分是1-1。与上半场的前五场比赛相比，英格兰队看起来完全不同!他们以一种有组织的方式向西班牙施压，他们的比赛方式让我——可能还有数百万其他足球投注者和球迷——想知道，为什么他们不总是这样踢——在他们没有领先比赛的情况下……?在下半场，英格兰队变得更加被动，只有很少的得分机会。萨卡的进球在第90分钟因越位被判无效。荷兰队也有自己的精彩时刻，如果有一点运气的话，他们本可以赢得比赛。当然，这一点也不奇怪，因为英格兰队在博彩市场上只是微弱的热门，而且表现明显低于他们的潜力。然而，不可否认的事实是，英格兰应该获胜!制胜一球是在第90 +1分钟由奥利·沃特金斯打进的，他是一名阿斯顿维拉球员，在本届比赛中出场的时间很奇怪。他上赛季在英超表现出色，如果凯恩不在最佳状态，他可能会在中场休息时上场。这个进球是由切尔西出色的22岁球员帕尔默创造的，他应该得到更多的上场时间。英格兰队的控球率为59%，射门次数(10胜5负)、射正、射偏以及进攻次数(49比26)也更多。英格兰队的得分是1.52，荷兰队的得分是0.57。在这场比赛中，英格兰第一次被庄家明显低估了。的确，全世界的媒体都在嘲笑英格兰队的表现，这极大地影响了获胜的几率，我们利用了这一点!我相信英格兰可以更进一步。他们在上半场的表现甚至比西班牙在本届杯赛中迄今为止的平均水平还要好一点!然而，我们不能完全相信英格兰的战术智慧，我的分析也不是基于一个出色的半场。然而，西班牙在本届比赛中表现得如此出色和稳定，他们理应成为最受欢迎的球队——但只是微弱的差距!让我们记住英格兰队仍然是更强的球队。他们在国际足联排名中排名第五，西班牙排名第八。根据一家知名且受人尊敬的德国网站，根据Transfermarkt.com的数据，英格兰显然更有价值。我想强调的是，我不认为西班牙有改进的潜力。当然，他们不需要提高就有很大机会赢得比赛。即便如此，他们目前的赔率在2.35-2.40左右

英格兰在90分钟内打得太低了。我们将采取英格兰+0.5个进球障碍选项!

尽管所有的批评都是合理的，但我们应该记住，英格兰队在本届锦标赛的六场比赛中没有输过一场。让我们先来看看英格兰在小组赛阶段的三场比赛。他们在第一轮以1比0击败塞尔维亚，但预期进球数仅为0.51。然而，英格兰的防守非常有组织，只给塞尔维亚0.31分。英格兰的射正次数(3比1)比塞尔维亚多一次，进攻次数也比塞尔维亚多一次。在第二轮对阵丹麦的比赛中，双方1-1战平，英格兰队在第二轮比赛中确实产生了更多的进球。然而，他们约1.70的赔率并不能说明球场上发生的事情。这是一场势均力敌的比赛，两队似乎都对平局很满意。事实上，在下半场，两队的主要目标都是将风险降到最低。两支球队在这场节奏缓慢、平淡无奇的比赛中都取得了41次进攻。在第三轮比赛中，英格兰对阵斯洛文尼亚，双方0比0战平。这又是一场防守之战，英格兰队知道只要一场平局，他们就有资格进入季后赛——而且很有可能赢得小组头名——他们确实做到了。斯洛文尼亚似乎对平局感到非常高兴，因为他们意识到，如果拿到三分，他们就有很大的机会进入季后赛，因为欧足联已经决定，最好的四支第三名的球队也有资格进入季后赛。我想强调的是，尽管英格兰离他们的最佳状态还差得很远，但他们在这场比赛中表现得更好!他们有72%的控球率，并且有更多的射门次数(12-5)，射正，射偏，角球(6-0)。总传球数(755-271)，完成传球和进攻数- 57-19。xG值为1.12 ~ 0.18。别忘了，在季后赛第一轮，斯洛文尼亚把强队葡萄牙逼进了加时赛，却在点球大战中落败。到目前为止，英格兰球迷完全有理由对球队在本届杯赛中的表现感到失望，尤其是他们的主教练加雷斯·索斯盖特(Gareth Southgate)选择的那种通常极其谨慎的比赛风格。嗯，球迷们确实赞扬了英格兰在上半场对荷兰的比赛风格，但那毕竟只是1/12的45分钟。到目前为止，我对英格兰队的整体战术并不感到惊讶，但说实话，我对他们的表现有点失望。很明显，在(足球)媒体上，嘲笑英格兰队的表现太过分了——尤其是在他们之前的比赛之前——数百万的投注者似乎认为英格兰队是被动的，令人失望的。这是媒体和娱乐投注者对少数几场比赛反应过度的典型例子。我想强调的是，这次选择背后的主要理由是英格兰队的潜力，但“每个人似乎都爱上了西班牙”这一事实也发挥了作用。事实上，由于良好的战绩，西班牙在博彩市场上变得太热了!

即使是最大的博彩公司在本届欧洲杯的赔率上也犯了很多令人惊讶的错误——比2020年欧洲杯的赔率要高得多。由于新冠肺炎危机，2020年欧洲杯在2021年的几个不同地点举行。我们已经利用了这一点，我想感谢所有购买选秀权的忠实粉丝!在2020年欧洲杯上，英格兰队进入了决赛——尽管在许多比赛中表现不佳。他们最终在点球大战中以1比2不敌意大利。在卡塔尔举行的2022年世界杯上，英格兰队在半决赛中以1比2输给了精英球队法国队。哈里·凯恩在下半场比分为1比2时罚丢了一个点球。法国队在这场比赛中险胜。让我们不要忘记法国队非常接近冠军，科洛-穆阿尼在加时赛最后时刻有一个绝佳的得分机会!我想再一次提到比赛风格/战术:法国队在本届比赛中踢得非常防守，“无聊”的足球，在2018年他们成为世界冠军时也是如此。的确，防守足球常常是“制胜公式”。我想强调的是，在这两届比赛中，英格兰队在季后赛中的水平都有了显著提高——从小组赛的表现来看。在英格兰参加世界杯和2024年欧洲杯的阵容中，有很多相同的球员!我预计来自专业独立体育投注者和博彩集团的聪明资金——以及数百万爱国的英国人——会堆积在英格兰身上——导致赔率在开球前下降。的确，我建议我的粉丝们尽快下注!我敢肯定，如果英格兰能达到他们在卡塔尔的水平，他们在这里甚至会有一点夺冠的希望。让我们n

别忘了，西班牙在卡塔尔的季后赛一开始就被摩洛哥击败了，但从那以后，他们当然有所进步。

在2024年欧洲杯预选赛C组中，英格兰队表现出色，以令人印象深刻的20分排名小组第一。然而，他们的期望值(xPTS)略低。意大利排名第二，乌克兰排名第三。英格兰在预选赛中踢得很积极，所以他们知道怎么做。再次谈到重大进步的潜力——英格兰有像裘德·贝灵汉这样的球员，他在皇家马德里表现非常出色，在2023-2024赛季获得了欧洲冠军联赛和西甲联赛的冠军!他比上个赛季在多特蒙德的时候进步了很多。英格兰还有曼城的超级天才菲尔·福登，他是2023-2024赛季英超联赛的最佳球员，这是世界上最好的联赛!然而，不幸的是，在索斯盖特的体系/阵型中，他不能以最优的方式发挥自己的优势。他有可能不在首发11人名单中，但可能性很小。还有阿森纳的球星萨卡——可以说他在本届杯赛中的表现令人失望，但在对阵瑞士和荷兰的比赛中表现不错。他速度很快，也很聪明，还是一个非常年轻的球员。我们也不要忘记世界上最好的前锋之一，哈里·凯恩。上个赛季，他为德国最大的俱乐部拜仁慕尼黑进了很多球。不幸的是，到目前为止，凯恩在本届比赛中并没有发挥出最佳状态。我想强调的是，在对阵瑞士的比赛中，英格兰比前四场比赛踢得好得多!英格兰队比以前更积极，承担了更多的风险。在我看来，这是一个非常有希望的迹象!萨卡在第80分钟打进一粒漂亮的进球，将比分扳成1比1。在那之后，英格兰队有过几次有希望得分的机会，但最终还是需要点球。英格兰所有的点球裁判都进了球——瑞士的优秀门将几乎没有机会!这是一场艰苦的比赛，但最终，英格兰晋级是理所应当的。当然，英格兰球员在赛后看起来很放松，也很自信。看来他们有一个优秀的团队精神，并通过进入决赛。当然，在击败荷兰队后，英格兰球员看起来更有信心了!事情对他们来说是积极的，他们似乎有很好的团队精神!

西班牙在本届比赛中赢得了全部7场比赛，其中6场在90分钟内获胜。如前所述，他们一直很强大，但并没有像结果所显示的那样好。例如，他们在小组赛中以3比0击败克罗地亚，但最终的比分却非常具有误导性!上周末对阵德国队时，他们很容易就输了。在最近的两场比赛中，西班牙队的进球数比对手少。让我们来仔细看看西班牙队的表现。

西班牙队在上一场比赛中表现出色，这是不可否认的。我们不能说他们淘汰法国队是幸运的。西班牙队是这场比赛的大热门，在90分钟的比赛中，西班牙队的胜率约为2.65英镑。另一方面，法国的赔率约为3.20。然而，让我们看看一些统计数据——能够保持冷静和分析，并抵制围绕西班牙的巨大“炒作”。法国队的进球次数(9比6)、射正、射偏、角球和进攻次数(46比39)更多。法国队在这场比赛中离他们的最佳状态还差得很远，在我看来，世界上最好的前锋姆巴佩，尽管没有戴上面具，但显然不是他的最佳状态!据报道，在首场对阵奥地利的比赛中，他的鼻子受了重伤，之后他一直没有睡好觉。即便如此，法国在xG - 1.16-0.63中产生了更多的数据!西班牙在下半场变得异常被动，如果法国队处于最佳状态，他们可能会进球——至少一次。如果同样的事情发生在英格兰队身上，索斯盖特的队员们很有可能扳平比分!在此之前，西班牙队是德国队的夺冠热门，并以2-1获胜。然而，德国队本可以轻松获胜。他们有23次射门，西班牙有18次。德国队的角球次数、总传球次数和完成传球次数也更多。两队都有56次进攻。但是，准确地说，德国在xG - 2.14-1.43中产生的数据要多得多。此外，马克·库库雷拉(西班牙)在第107分钟似乎在禁区内持球，但裁判驳回了点球上诉，并示意比赛继续。就点球与否而言，这差不多是50/50的情况。在大多数

在英超或西甲比赛中，这可能是一个点球!

在这些艰难的势均力敌的比赛之前，西班牙以4比1击败格鲁吉亚。格鲁吉亚队在第18分钟凭借罗宾·勒·诺曼德的乌龙球以1-0领先。在这个进球之后，格鲁吉亚在首个进球后确实有一些有希望的反击，但西班牙并没有惊慌。在经历了5-10分钟的混乱之后——当然，格鲁吉亚也受到了进球的鼓舞——西班牙牢牢控制了比赛。诚实地说，格鲁吉亚看起来永远不会赢——至少没有幸运的进球——或者一个点球和/或一张红牌给西班牙。从预期进球和其他关键数据来看，西班牙完全配得上胜利。西班牙队有72%的控球率，也有更多的射门次数。然而，老实说，格鲁吉亚并不是一支伟大的球队，但我们仍然应该给西班牙令人印象深刻的进攻表现点赞。xG值为3.67 ~ 0.20。然而，如果他们在与英格兰的比赛中踢出同样高风险的进攻足球，他们可能会有麻烦。然而，西班牙人当然不傻，英格兰可能不得不迫使西班牙犯错。

除了亚马尔，我还想提一下曼城的罗德里，他几乎是一名完美的中场球员，在我的专家看来，他是世界排名前七的球员之一。曼城还连续四次赢得英超冠军，这是这个星球上最好的联赛，罗德里近年来的作用非常大。没有罗德里的曼城上赛季表现得非常糟糕——他在西班牙队中的作用也很重要。他在球场上传球和跑动的方式——几乎总是做出正确的决定，出现在正确的位置——几乎是不可思议的。他也可以进球，就像他在对阵格鲁吉亚的比赛中所做的那样，在第39分钟将比分扳成1-1。毕尔巴鄂竞技的快速而技术娴熟的边锋威廉姆斯，21岁，是一名有趣的球员，值得很多赞扬。让我们欣赏这些了不起的球员吧——尽管我们赌的是英格兰队。

在第一轮比赛中，西班牙队以3比0击败了克罗地亚队，这支球队在2022年世界杯上获得了第三名。西班牙队的表现不错，但仍然不够完美。事实上，克罗地亚队，一支虽然没有进入季后赛的危险球队，确实有进球的机会!非常有趣的是，克罗地亚有更多的进球机会(16-11)，并且创造了更多的进球机会(2.32-2.14)，但西班牙队仍然应该得到三分。我的观点是，这场比赛结束后，“西班牙炒作”开始逐渐升温，毫无疑问，这场比赛的最终比分非常具有误导性。在此之前，西班牙防守很好，意大利只有一次射门——西班牙的号码是8。此外，西班牙队有20次射门!xG数据非常明显对西班牙有利，准确地说是2.10-0.22。西班牙队很强大，但意大利队表现糟糕，在季后赛第一轮被瑞士队以2比0击败。在第三轮比赛中，西班牙队没有什么可踢的，因为他们已经赢得了小组冠军，但仍然以1比0击败了阿尔巴尼亚，一支相当糟糕的球队，尽管有大量的阵容轮换。西班牙队赢得比赛的价格在1.40左右。

祝你好运——让我们一起享受这场世界上最好的国家队之间的比赛吧!