In my opinion Sapporo has a bigger chance to make positive result than bookies want to suggest for us based on their odds.
+1.5 AH on the home side looks like valuable option to play.
In the last 9 matches between both teams in Sapporo, Kobe only two times won with more than one goal difference.
Sapporo had problems with goalscoring - in the last 5 consecutive league matches they lost 'to nil'. That wasn't deserved at all because according to the expected goals scored model they should score almost 5 goals in those matches. In midweek Cup game they finally unlocked firepower and scored 6 goals. Confidence for sure is high and they want to go with momentum in front of their home crowd.
Obviously, Kobe is favorite of this game, but I don't see win with more than one goal difference for them today. Yes, Kobe won with more than one goal difference in last two league matches (twice 3:1), but in both matches had expected goals scored value below 2.0. Before that they had 7 consecutive league matches without win with at least 2 goals margin.
Sapporo with unlocked offensive formation is able to score and that should be enough to cover high HC line.
在我看来,札幌有更大的机会取得积极的结果,而不是博彩公司根据他们的赔率给我们的建议。
主队+1.5 AH看起来是一个很有价值的选择。
两队在札幌的近9场比赛中,神户只有2次胜率超过1个净胜球。
札幌在进球方面有问题——在最近的5场联赛中,他们以0比0输掉了比赛。这根本不值得,因为根据预期进球模型,他们应该在这些比赛中打进近5个进球。在周中杯比赛中,他们终于释放了火力,进了6个球。信心当然很高,他们想要在他们的主场观众面前带着动力前进。
很明显,科比是这场比赛的最爱,但我不认为他们今天能赢得超过一个净胜球的胜利。是的,科比在最近两场联赛中以1球以上的差距获胜(两次3:1),但两场比赛的预期进球值都低于2.0。在那之前,他们已经连续7场联赛没有赢球,而且至少有2球的差距。
札幌的进攻阵型不受限制,能够得分,这应该足以覆盖高HC线。