A GREAT match to bet on! ¥¥¥
2024-07-10

Tapio

外籍分析师

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Oita Trinita VS Kawasaki Frontale


Kawasaki Frontale and Oita Trinita lock horns in this Emperor's Cup 1/16-finals clash Wednesday evening Beijing time. Kawasaki play in the J1 League, the highest level of Japanese football. The level of this league is only somewhat mediocre by global standards but by Asian standards it is one of the best leagues in Asia. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of mediocre quality by this competition's standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another lucrative betting opportunity to make even more profit betting on this competition! Oita Trinita play in the J2 League. I want to highlight that the difference between the J1 and J2 League is substantial! Kawasaki have been a slight disappointment – results-wise in particular - this season. There is no denying this. Last season they finished in 8th place. At the moment they are in 15th place in this league with a total of 20 clubs. 22 rounds have been played. Kawasaki have 24 points in their pocket but have been unlucky in many games.. Indeed, they have played too many draws – nine – to be precise. In many of these nine games they have been the better on the pitch.. Kawasaki's number of expected points (xPTS) is 28.68. Their offense has been pretty okay despite sometimes lacking creativity to break a well-structured defence. However, against an inferior opponent, Oita, I expect them to score at least twice here. Kawasaki have netted the ball 31 times in the J1, which is five goals more than Gamba Osaka, currently in 3rd place, have scored! The Kawasaki defence has been a slight disappointment to me this season. Their defenders rarely make extremely stupid mistakes but their style of play has been pretty active – and sometimes a bit too risky. In some games some of their midfielders have been a little lazy – not been active enough in defending.. I do not expect Oita to be able to take advantage of Kawasaki's defensive vulnerabilities. Even if they were to score – I am quite confident Kawasaki will score two or three goals! Their chances of achieving anything in the J1 are very slim this season so I expect them to be motivated in the Emperor's Cup.. Some squad rotation from both teams' head coaches would not be a surprise though.. Odds of around 1.50 on Kawasaki getting the job done in 90 minutes of play are widely available on the betting market. We will eagerly place a bet on them – going for the 6th straight winner!


According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the hosts are clearly the bigger team here! Indeed, their squad has an estimated market value of some 16 million euros. This is too low though. Some 18-19 million would be a more accurate number. The Oita Trinita players are valued at some seven million euros which is moderately too high. Oita Trinita played in the J1 League in 2021 but were relegated after the season and are in decline.. They are currently in 14th place in the league table after 23 rounds of play. They have grabbed only 28 points and their number of xPTS is even lower – 25.04 to be precise. Their offense has lacked basically everything this season: speed, creativity, individual skill and passing accuracy at critical moments.. They have scored a pathetic 19 goals in the J2 – only the rock-bottom team, Kusatsu, have scored less goals. They usually play pretty passive, defensive football and their defence has been okay this season. They have conceded 23 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 28.33. Yes, their tactic has worked pretty well in many games in the J2 – taking 10 draws – but if they let a team of Kawasaki's level to have the ball – defending with 10 or perhaps even all 11 men – it would be a big surprise for Oita to last for the full 90 minutes without conceding at least one goal.. Oita have won just one of their last 11 games. In their last game they took an undeserved win over Iwaki, a pretty limited team, on the road. The hosts had more goal attempts (14-7), shots on goal, shots off target (12-5), corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. This win does not really excite me ahead of this massive challenge against Kawasaki.. Before this it was a goalless draw at home against Kofu. It was a pretty low-level and boring game – both teams had only two shots on goal. Kofu played below their normal level in this game. In round 21 Oita were simply terrible, losing to a newly-promoted team, Kagoshima, currently in 18th place, 0-3 on the road. The final score does, in all honesty, flatter Kagoshima to some extent.. Even so, the Oita defence was very disappointing in this game - especially in terms of structure.. Indeed, they look very imbalanced on the pitch for the most of the 90 minutes of play.. In round 20 Oita were very disappointing – losing to Tochigi 0-2 at home as clear favourites. It was a pretty balanced game as a whole though.


Kawasaki, on the other hand, have played four draws in a row and must be eager to finally get a win! They would have deserved all three points in two – maybe even three of their last four games. In their most recent match they faced Iwata and it was a 2-2 draw. Kawasaki were, however, clearly the better team on the pitch. They had 66% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots on target, shots off goal, total passes, completed passes, attacks, dangerous attacks – 90-28. They also generated more in expected goals (xG). Before this they were pretty clear underdogs at home against a dangerous team, Sanfrecce Hiroshima, and it was a 1-1 draw after a balanced clash as a whole. In round 20 Kawasaki were very unlucky not to beat Shonan Bellmare at home. Indeed, they pushed hard – boosted by their loud fans and had a whopping 25 goal attempts – the visitors managed only seven. In round 19 Kawasaki took a 2-2 draw at Denka Big Swan Stadium in Niigata as solid underdogs according to the bookies. However, they were probably not happy with a draw! Indeed, they recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal, shots off goal, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks - 66-33.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

大分三一VS川崎前锋


北京时间周三晚上,川崎前锋和大分三一将在天皇杯1/16决赛中展开对决。川崎在J1联赛踢球,这是日本足球的最高水平。以全球标准来看,这个联赛的水平只是中等水平,但以亚洲标准来看,它是亚洲最好的联赛之一。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以本届比赛的标准来看质量一般的比赛。最重要的是,我们有另一个有利可图的投注机会,使更多的利润投注在这个比赛!Oita Trinita在J2联赛打球。我想强调的是,J1和J2联赛之间的差异是巨大的!川崎本赛季的表现有些令人失望,尤其是在成绩方面。这是不可否认的。上个赛季他们排名第八。目前,他们在这个联赛中排名第15位,总共有20家俱乐部。已经进行了22轮比赛。川崎已经拿到了24分,但是他们在很多比赛中都不走运。事实上,他们打了太多的平局——确切地说,是九平。在这九场比赛中,他们在球场上表现得更好。川崎的期望点数(xPTS)为28.68。他们的进攻相当不错,尽管有时缺乏创造力来打破结构良好的防守。然而,面对实力较弱的对手大分,我希望他们至少能进两球。在J1比赛中,川崎队打进了31球,比目前排名第三的大阪钢巴多进了5球。这个赛季川崎队的防守让我有点失望。他们的后卫很少犯极端愚蠢的错误,但他们的比赛风格非常积极——有时有点太冒险了。在一些比赛中,他们的中场有些懒散,防守不够积极。我不指望大分能利用川崎的防守弱点。即使他们进球了——我很有信心川崎会进两到三个球!本赛季他们在J1中取得任何成就的机会都非常渺茫,所以我希望他们在皇帝杯中受到激励。不过,两队主教练的轮换并不令人意外。在博彩市场上,川崎在90分钟内完成比赛的赔率约为1.50。我们将热切地把赌注押在他们身上-争取连续第六次获胜!


根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com,东道主显然是这里更大的球队!事实上,这支球队的市场价值估计在1600万欧元左右。但这太低了。更准确的数字是1800万到1900万。大分三一球员的身价约为700万欧元,略高一些。大分三一在2021年参加了J1联赛,但在赛季结束后降级,正在走下坡路。经过23轮的比赛,他们目前排名联赛第14位。他们只拿到了28分,他们的得分更低,准确地说是25.04分。他们的进攻本赛季基本上缺乏一切:速度、创造力、个人技术和关键时刻的传球准确性。他们在J2中只进了可怜的19个球——只有垫底的草津队进的球比他们少。他们通常踢的是被动的防守足球,本赛季他们的防守还不错。他们丢了23个球,但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是28.33个。是的,他们的战术在J2的许多比赛中都很有效——取得了10个平局——但如果他们让川崎这样的球队拿球——10人防守,甚至11人防守——大分能在90分钟内不丢至少一个球,那将是一个很大的惊喜。大分在最近11场比赛中只赢了一场。在他们的最后一场比赛中,他们在客场赢了一支实力相当有限的球队Iwaki。东道主的进球次数(14胜7负)、射正、射偏(12胜5负)、角球、进攻和危险进攻更多。在面对川崎的巨大挑战之前,这场胜利并没有让我感到兴奋。在此之前,他们在主场0比0战平了功夫。这是一场相当低级和无聊的比赛——两队都只有两次射门。在这场比赛中,功夫的发挥低于他们的正常水平。在第21轮比赛中,大分简直太糟糕了,输给了新升班马鹿儿岛队(Kagoshima)。鹿儿岛队目前排名第18,客场0-3。说实话,最后的分数在某种程度上确实让鹿儿岛感到高兴。即便如此,大分的防守在这场比赛中也非常令人失望——尤其是在结构方面。事实上,在90英里的大部分时间里,他们在球场上看起来非常不平衡

几分钟的游戏……在第20轮比赛中,大分的表现非常令人失望,在主场0-2输给了枥木。这是一款非常平衡的游戏。


另一方面,川崎已经连续打了四场平局,一定渴望最终取得胜利!他们本可以在最近四场比赛中的两场甚至三场拿到三分。在最近的一场比赛中,他们与岩田以2比2战平。然而,川崎显然在球场上表现得更好。他们有66%的控球率,并且记录了更多的射门次数、射正、射偏、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数、危险进攻次数——90胜28负。他们也产生了更多的预期目标(xG)。在此之前,他们在主场对阵一支危险的球队广岛圣弗雷斯时显然处于劣势,在一场势均力敌的比赛之后,他们以1比1战平。在第20轮比赛中,川崎很不幸没能在主场击败南贝尔马。事实上,他们在球迷的鼓舞下努力推进,有多达25次的进球尝试,而客队只成功了7次。根据博彩公司的说法,在第19轮,川崎在新泻的登卡大天鹅体育场以2比2战平。然而,他们可能对平局不满意!事实上,他们记录了更多的进球尝试、射门、射门、角球、进攻和危险进攻——66比33。

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