Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors VS Jeju United

Jeonbuk welcome Jeju for this Korean K League 1 round 22 battle at Jeonju World Cup Stadium Wednesday afternoon Beijing time. The level of this league is not very high by global standards but by Asian standards it is of good quality! Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of slightly lower than average quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another lucrative betting opportunity to make even more profit! Jeonbuk finished in 4th place last season with 49 points to their account but this season has been a catastrophe for them! It seems that the bookmakers have not reacted to their decline strongly enough.. Yes, they do have potential for improvement but the bookies seem to give this potential way too much emphasis. I don't expect Jeonbuk to significantly improve – all of a sudden.. According to my sources their team spirit is far from great and the players have not looked confident at all in their last games. Jeonbuk are in 12th (last) place in this league! They have a pathetic 17 points to their account. Their biggest problem has been the extremely shaky defence. Indeed, they have allowed a whopping 38 goals which is clearly the highest number in this league. For reference, Daejeon, currently in 11th place, have conceded "only" 30 goals. It is, in fact, hard to mention anything positive about the Jeonbuk defence.. Their defensive structure has been poor, there have been too big spaces between the defenders and midfielders and the midfielders have not been nearly as active in defending.. Furthermore, silly defensive mistakes, for example too risky passes near their own goal, have been common. Their offense, on the other hand, has not been totally useless but the decline from last season is still significant. They have scored 25 goals.

 Jeonbuk and Jeju last locked horns on the 3rd of April and Jeju took a fine 2-0 win.They recorded many more goal attempts (15-12) and shot on goal – 9-2 to be precise. Jeju were priced around 3.00 to win by the bookies at the time of kickoff. It was a good example of Jeonbuk being overvalued on the betting market! The biggest bookies who accept the biggest bets offer Jeonbuk odds of around 2.05-2.10 on the home win and this is way too low! Yes, taking their potential pretty low home advantage into account Jeonbuk deserve to be the favourites but only extremely marginal! Indeed, Jeju have won only one of their 10 games at home in this league this season. This has, totally understandably, massively frustrated the home fans. In their last home game there were some 12 000 fans at the stadium the maximum capacity of which is almost 37 000. The Jeju +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here.

Jeju have improved from last season and would deserve more respect from the bookies. Last season they finished in 9th place with 35 points but were slightly unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). At the moment they are in 7th place and have a decent 26 points to their account. They are in a fierce battle to make it to the top-6 – and play in the Championship group for the rest of the season.. Seoul, in 6th place, are only one point away..  The Jeju offense has, in all honesty, lacked some offensive power. They do not have the most skilled offensive players and their attacks have sometimes been a little too slow and predictable, allowing the opponent to organize the defence. However, against the terrible Jeonbuk defence I do believe they will generate a decent number of xG. Jeju scoring even more than two goals would not be a massive surprise.. They have scored only 22 goals in the K League 1. However, this number is a bit misleading. Jeju's number of xG is, after all, 27.67.

Jeonbuk have not won any of their last nine games – losing five of these nine matches! In their last game they faced a pretty limited team, Daejeon, on the road as favourites on the betting market. Indeed, they were priced around 2.45-2.50 to win. T. Orobo scored the 0-2 goal in the 54th minute but Jeonbuk still could not win. It was a 2-2 draw in the end. I disliked the way Jeonbuk defended when leading 2-0 and 2-1. They seem to be tactically poor - and a mentally pretty weak team this season. The lack of wins shows on the pitch at critical moments. Daejeon had 63% ball possession and also recorded more goal attempts, shots off goal, and dangerous attacks – 80-62. Both teams had three shots on goal. It was not a horrible performance from Jeonbuk – but nothing to get excited about either! Before this Jeonbuk collapsed in a very embarrassing way – losing to Seoul 1-5 at home! The visitors were the favorites, priced around 2.40 to win, so a pretty balanced game was expected.. Seoul had many more goal attempts (13-10), shots on goal (10-2), attacks and dangerous attacks. Jeonbuk's Kim Jin-Su was sent off in the 59th minute but the hosts were already trailing 0-2 at the time of the red card given – and were playing poorly. Before this Jeonbuk were okay, taking a point from Pohang at home through a 1-1 draw. However, Pohang were far from their best in this game. It was a somewhat balanced game as a whole. Jeonbuk got off to a good start when T. Orobo scored the 1-0 goal in the 16th minute. This goal boosted the atmosphere at the stadium and offered a clear boost to the Jeonbuk players – helping them to play better – and fight harder than in most games this season. Pohang's Oberden scored the 1-1 goal in the 20th minute. On the 19th of June Jeonbuk lost to Gimpo FC, a team from the K League 2, in a Korean Cup match on the road 0-1. Jeonbuk were very clear favourites in this match but failed to meet the expectations – once again..

Jeju have been in pretty good form recently – winning three of their last five games. In their last match they were priced around 3.00-3.25 to win at the time of kickoff but beat a dangerous team, Seoul, 3-2 in a pretty high-level and entertaining clash. Jeju had many more goal attempts (17-5), as well as shots on goal, (11-8) as well as corner kicks – 10-5. The visitors had one more shot on goal though. In this game Jeju proved that they can score goals – even against a much better defence than that of Jeonbuk! Before this they were not nearly at their best and lost to Gwanju 1-2 in the road as clear favourites – priced around 4.10 to win by the bookies. It was, however, not a bad performance from Jeju – the hosts recorded 13 goal attempts, Jeju managed eight and also had a decent 108 attacks. In round 19 Jeju were strong at home – allowing Inceon only two shots on target. Jeju's number was four and they also recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal (4-2) as well as corner kicks – 7-1..

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全北现代汽车VS济州联队

北京时间3日下午，韩国K联赛第22轮比赛将在全北全州世界杯体育场举行，全北迎接济州岛。以全球标准来看，这个联赛的水平不是很高，但以亚洲标准来看，它的质量很好!足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场比赛的质量略低于联赛的平均水平。最重要的是，我们还有另一个赚钱的投注机会来赚取更多的利润!全北队上赛季以49分排名第四，但本赛季对他们来说是一场灾难!看来博彩公司对他们的下跌反应不够强烈。是的，他们确实有提高的潜力，但博彩公司似乎过于强调这种潜力。我不指望全北会突然有明显的改善……根据我的消息来源，他们的团队精神远非伟大，球员们在上一场比赛中看起来一点也不自信。全北在这个联赛中排在第12(最后)位!他们只有可怜的17分。他们最大的问题是防守极不稳固。事实上，他们已经丢了38个球，这显然是联赛中最多的。作为参考，目前排名第11位的大田“只”丢了30个球。事实上，很难对全北的防御提出任何积极的评价。他们的防守结构很差，后卫和中场之间的空间太大，中场在防守中也没有那么积极。此外，愚蠢的防守失误，例如过于危险的传球靠近自己的球门，已经司空见惯。另一方面，他们的进攻并不是完全没用，但与上个赛季相比，他们的下降幅度仍然很大。他们进了25个球。

4月3日，全北与济州的最后一次交锋，济州以2比0轻松取胜。他们的进球次数更多(15-12)，准确地说是9-2射正。开球时，博彩公司对济州的胜率定在3.00左右。这是赌博市场上全北被高估的典型事例。接受最大赌注的最大博彩公司提供的全北主场获胜的赔率约为2.05-2.10，这太低了!是的，考虑到他们潜在的非常低的主场优势，全北应该是最受欢迎的，但只是非常微弱!事实上，济州岛在本赛季的10场主场比赛中只取得了1场胜利。这完全可以理解，这让主场球迷非常沮丧。在他们的上一场主场比赛中，球场的最大容量约为3.7万名球迷。济州岛+0.5个进球障碍显然是明智的选择。

济州岛队比上赛季有所进步，应该得到博彩公司更多的尊重。上个赛季，他们以35分排名第九，但在预期积分(xPTS)方面有点不走运。目前他们排在第7位，他们的账户上有26分。他们正在进行一场激烈的战斗，以进入前6名，并在本赛季剩下的时间里参加冠军小组。排名第六的首尔只差一分。老实说，济州岛队的进攻缺乏一些进攻力量。他们没有最熟练的进攻球员，他们的进攻有时有点太慢，太容易预测，让对手有机会组织防守。然而，面对可怕的全北防线，我相信他们会产生相当数量的xG。即使济州岛的进球超过两个，也不会让人感到惊讶。他们在K联赛中只进了22球。然而，这个数字有点误导。毕竟，济州岛的xG数量是27.67。

全北队在最近的9场比赛中没有赢过一场，在这9场比赛中输了5场!在上一场比赛中，他们面对的是一支实力相当有限的球队大田队，这支球队是博彩市场上的热门球队。事实上，它们的价格在2.45-2.50左右。韩国队在第54分钟打进了0-2的进球，但全北队仍未能获胜。最后双方以2比2战平。我不喜欢全北在2比0和2比1领先时的防守方式。他们在战术上似乎很糟糕，这个赛季他们在精神上也很弱。缺乏胜利表现在球场上的关键时刻。大田队的控球率为63%，进球次数、射门次数、危险进攻次数也以80比62多。两队都有三次射门。这不是一场来自全北的可怕的表演，但也没有什么值得兴奋的!在此之前，全北以一种非常尴尬的方式崩溃了——在主场1-5输给了首尔!客队是最受欢迎的，价格在2.40左右，所以很平衡

比赛是预料之中的…首尔队的进球次数(13胜10负)、射门次数(10胜2负)、进攻次数和危险进攻次数更多。全北队的金振洙在第59分钟被罚下，但主队在出示红牌时已经0-2落后了，而且踢得很糟糕。在此之前，全北还不错，在主场1-1战平浦项，从浦项拿了一分。然而，浦项在这场比赛中远未达到最佳状态。这是一款整体平衡的游戏。全北队在第16分钟以1比0的比分破门。这个进球提升了球场的气氛，给全北球员带来了明显的鼓舞——帮助他们踢得更好——比本赛季的大多数比赛都更加努力。浦项的奥伯登在第20分钟打进了1比1的进球。6月19日，全北队在韩国杯客场比赛中以0比1不敌K联赛2级球队金浦FC队。全北队在这场比赛中是非常明显的热门，但未能达到预期-再一次…

济州岛队最近状态不错，最近五场比赛赢了三场。在上一场比赛中，开球时他们的胜率在3.00-3.25左右，但在一场相当高水平和有趣的比赛中，他们以3-2击败了一支危险的球队首尔。济州岛队的进球次数(17胜5负)较多，射正次数(11胜8负)较多，角球次数(10胜5负)较多。不过客队还有一次射门机会。在这场比赛中，济州岛证明了他们可以进球——即使面对比全北更好的防守!在此之前，他们并没有达到最好的状态，以1比2的比分输给了光州，这是一个明显的热门——博彩公司的胜率约为4.10。然而，济州岛的表现并不差——东道主有13次射门，济州岛有8次射门，还有108次进攻。在第19轮比赛中，济州岛主场实力强大，只让仁川射正两球。济州岛队的数字是4号，而且他们的进球次数和射正次数(4比2)以及角球次数(7比1)也更多。