In my opinion Kumamoto has a bigger chance to avoid loss in this game than bookies want to suggest for us based on their odds.

First match of the season between both teams finished with Nagasaki 4:3 won on away, but Kumamoto had higher expected goals scored value than opponents in that game. I expect another close battle.

Obviously, Nagasaki is favorite of this game as they are the leader of the table, but in the last 7 matches in all competitions they won 3 times (including a Cup game against a team from lower league). I don’t trust the Nagasaki defensive formation at the moment. In the last 8 matches in all competitions, they kept a clean sheet only one time. In those 8 matches, 5 times Nagasaki conceded more than one goal..

Kumamoto came for this game full of confidence. In the last round they broke their bad streak and recorded a huge 4:0 win at home against Ehime. That was a great performance at both ends of the pitch: Kumamoto was sharp and dangerous in offense, but also rock solid at the back (Ehime had only 4 shots in that game). Guests want to go with momentum today.

Kumamoto has all the required tools to score at least one goal here and make troubles for Nagasaki.

在我看来，熊本在这场比赛中有更大的机会避免失败，而不是赌徒根据他们的赔率给我们的建议。

两队在本赛季的首场比赛中以客场4:3取胜，但在那场比赛中，熊本的预期进球值高于对手。我预计又会有一场势均力敌的战斗。

显然，长崎是这场比赛的最爱，因为他们是积分榜上的领先者，但在所有比赛的最后7场比赛中，他们赢了3场(包括对阵低级别联赛球队的杯赛)。我现在不相信长崎的防守阵型。在所有赛事的最后8场比赛中，他们只有一次没有失球。在这8场比赛中，长崎有5次失球超过一个。

熊本对这场比赛充满信心。在上一轮比赛中，他们打破了糟糕的连胜，在主场以4:0大胜爱媛。在球场两端的表现都非常出色:熊本在进攻端犀利而危险，但在后防线上也坚如磐石(爱媛在那场比赛中只有4次射门)。客人想要今天的势头。

熊本拥有所有必要的条件，可以在这里至少进一个球，给长崎制造麻烦。