In my opinion Tokyo has a bigger chance to make at least one point than bookies want to suggest for us based on their odds.

Tokyo had a big mental advantage before this game as they went unbeaten in 8 of the last 10 matches against Kashiwa. Tokyo enjoyed the last 5 trips to the stadium of today's opponents. Guests won 4 of the last 5 matches here (one draw).

Home ground really is not a big advantage for Kashiwa. In the current season they are bottom 6 in J1 league in home matches. Kashiwa failed to win 7 of the 10 home league matches and scored only 9 goals in the process. On the other hand, Tokyo is rock solid on the road. In the current season they are top4 in J1 league in away matches. They went unbeaten in 7 of 9 away league matches so far and scored 15 goals in the process.

Kashiwa form is not convincing at all. Since the end of May they played 10 matches in all competitions and won only twice - in the Cup against Morioka from lower league and in the last round against Sagan Tosu (just above relegation zone). No clean sheet in the last 4 consecutive matches (6 goals conceded in total).

Tokyo currently is in good shape - in the last 5 matches in all competitions they recorded 3 wins and lost only once. In the last round they lost 0:1 at home against Avispa, but that wasn't a fully deserved result (both teams finished with exactly the same expected goals scored value). Defensive formation played well - 3 clean sheets in the last 5 matches.

Value on the away side is obvious.

在我看来，东京至少有一个更大的机会获得一分，而不是博彩公司根据他们的赔率给我们的建议。

东京在这场比赛之前有很大的心理优势，因为他们在过去10场比赛中8场不败。在过去的5次主场之旅中，东京都很享受今天的对手。客队在这里赢了最近5场比赛中的4场(1场平局)。

主场对柏华来说真的不是什么大优势。在本赛季的主场比赛中，他们排在J1联赛的后6位。柏泽在10场主场联赛中7场失利，只进了9个球。另一方面，东京在道路上坚如磐石。本赛季他们在J1联赛的客场比赛中排名前4。迄今为止，他们在9场客场比赛中有7场保持不败，并在此过程中打入15球。

Kashiwa的形式一点也不令人信服。自5月底以来，他们在各项赛事中打了10场比赛，只赢了两场——在杯赛中对阵低级别联赛的盛冈队，以及在最后一轮对阵萨根渡队(刚刚高于降级区)。最近连续4场比赛没有零封对手(共丢6球)。

东京目前的状态很好，在所有赛事的最后5场比赛中，他们取得了3胜1负的战绩。上一轮，他们在主场0:1输给了阿维斯帕，但这并不是一个完全应得的结果(两支球队的预期进球数完全相同)。防守阵型发挥得很好，最近5场比赛3次零封对手。

客场的价值是显而易见的。