Very difficult game to predict, almost 50-50%, but if you ask me, Spain is slightly favorite to qualify. Draw is also very possible in the regular time.
Germany has been great so far, they looked very strong in some games (Scotland) but in others struggled a bit (Hungary, who was close to equalize, Switzerland, who drew 1:1). Also for me against Denmark they weren’t convincing at all.
Germany is a team who needs a slow pace in the game and control the ball. Toni Kroos, who is back to the German national team to win this tournament, needs a slow pace in the games to control the midfield. But this, against a team like Spain, is very difficult. It’s true that Croacia had more possession than Spain, but there Spain showed that they can also attack the spaces with good assists from Fabian (who has been great in the EURO) and wingers Lamine Yamal + Nico Williams, who are two of the best players in the tournament.
Defensively I believe that Kimmich and Rum/Mittelstadt (not sure who will play at LB) will struggle a lot with Spanish wingers. And here will be the key, because there aren’t many players who could help them. Musiala won’t help defensively, Germany plays with two midfielders (Kroos - Andrich) and Nagelsmann won’t change it, so nobody will be helping Kimmich and the LB to defend against the two best wingers in the tournament.
Germany will try to impose a slow pace and rhythm of the game, which will be the key for them. However they need to be careful: if they attack and leave spaces in defense, they will be killed by Yamal/Williams.
Spain has been the best team in the tournament for me. They have been the ones who have played better: fast football, good pressing without the ball, Rodri and Fabian at a great level, Carvajal and Cucurella playing very well… And as said, Yamal and Williams are the best wingers and one of the best players in the tournament. They are playing with a lot of confidence, dribbling, assisting and scoring, showing that they don’t have any pressure and also great chemistry. They have been extremely difficult to defend.
I think that Spain’s weak point is their defense, as Laporte/Le Normand aren’t a very strong CB couple. However, they defended well so far and also Spain has a great goalkeeper with Unai Simon. Is a team who especially struggles against counter-attacking teams, but Germany isn’t one of those teams. Germany also has great wingers, especially tournament’ topscorer Musiala who has been great so far, but Spain, as opposed to Germany, has Rodri in the midfield who will help Cucurella and Carvajal to defend.
This will be an amazing game between the two best teams in the tournament so far. However, Spain not only maintained the level shown in the first round, they played even better, whilst Germany continued at a very high level but left some doubts in some games, so I see Spain coming in a bit better form. Both teams will want to attack, be protagonists and it’s a very difficult game to predict a winner.
As said, is not bad at all for Spain to face a team who will attack them, as they have rockets in the wings who can exploit the spaces at counters.
For me this is a total 50-50 game. I honestly see this finishing with a draw in the regular time. Then, if you ask me for a favorite to qualify: Spain.
这是一场很难预测的比赛,几乎是50% -50%,但如果你问我,西班牙是出线的热门。在常规的时间里画画也是很有可能的。
到目前为止,德国队表现很好,他们在一些比赛中看起来非常强大(苏格兰),但在其他比赛中则有些挣扎(匈牙利,差一点扳平比分,瑞士,1:1)。对我来说,对丹麦的比赛他们一点也不令人信服。
德国队是一支在比赛中需要慢节奏和控球的球队。托尼·克罗斯,回到德国国家队赢得这次比赛,在比赛中需要一个缓慢的节奏来控制中场。但是,面对西班牙这样的球队,这是非常困难的。克罗亚西亚确实比西班牙拥有更多的控球权,但在比赛中,西班牙队用法比安(他在欧洲杯上表现出色)和边锋亚马尔+威廉姆斯的助攻证明了他们也可以进攻空档,他们是本届杯赛上最好的两名球员。
防守端,我相信金米奇和拉姆/米特尔施塔特(不确定谁会在LB打球)将会在西班牙边锋面前挣扎。这将是关键,因为没有多少球员可以帮助他们。穆西亚拉不会帮助防守,德国队有两名中场(克罗斯-安德里希),纳格尔斯曼也不会改变,所以没有人会帮助基米希和德国边锋防守这两名本届杯赛最好的边锋。
德国队将尝试在比赛中采用慢节奏,这将是他们的关键。然而,他们需要小心:如果他们进攻并在防守中留下空间,他们将被亚马尔/威廉姆斯杀死。
对我来说,西班牙是本届杯赛中最好的球队。他们踢得更好:快节奏的足球,出色的无球逼抢,罗德里和法比安的水平很高,卡瓦哈尔和库库雷拉踢得很好……正如我所说,亚马尔和威廉姆斯是最好的边锋,也是世界杯上最好的球员之一。他们踢得很自信,运球,助攻和得分,表明他们没有任何压力,也有很好的化学反应。他们非常难以防守。
我认为西班牙队的弱点是他们的防守,拉波特和勒诺曼并不是很强的后腰组合。然而,到目前为止,他们的防守很好,而且西班牙有一个伟大的门将,乌奈·西蒙。是一支在面对反击球队时特别挣扎的球队,但德国不是这样的球队。德国也有出色的边锋,尤其是迄今为止表现出色的本届杯赛最佳射手穆西亚拉,但与德国不同的是,西班牙的中场有罗德里,他将帮助库库雷拉和卡瓦哈尔防守。
这将是迄今为止两支最好的球队之间的一场精彩的比赛。然而,西班牙队不仅保持了第一轮的水平,而且踢得更好,而德国队继续保持着很高的水平,但在一些比赛中留下了一些疑问,所以我认为西班牙队的状态会好一些。两支球队都想要进攻,成为主角,这是一场很难预测赢家的比赛。
如前所述,西班牙面对一支会攻击他们的球队一点也不坏,因为他们在两翼有火箭,可以利用反击的空间。
对我来说,这是一场五五开的比赛。老实说,我认为我们会在常规时间打平。那么,如果你问我哪支球队最有可能出线,那就是西班牙队。