Team news and prediction 欧洲杯 德国VS西班牙
2024-07-05

Milos

外籍分析师

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Two European powerhouses, both eyeing a record fourth European Championship title, face off at the MHPArena in Stuttgart on Friday. Spain and Euro 2024 hosts Germany clash in what promises to be a thrilling quarter-final.

The winner of this highly anticipated match will face either Portugal or France in the semi-finals.

Spain has impressed with a perfect record at Euro 2024, winning all three group games and coming from behind to defeat Georgia 4-1 in the last 16. An own goal by Robin Le Normand initially put Georgia ahead, marking the first goal Spain conceded in the tournament. However, Spain responded strongly with goals from Rodri, Fabian Ruiz, Nico Williams, and Dani Olmo, showcasing their attacking prowess.

Luis de la Fuente’s side has dazzled with youthful energy, reaching the quarter-finals for the fourth time in their last five Euros appearances. Spain's unbeaten run in the European Championship now stands at 10 matches. Ranked eighth by FIFA, Spain has not lost to Germany in their last six competitive meetings (W3 D3) since 1998.

Spain's memorable victories over Germany include a 1-0 win in the Euro 2008 final and a 6-0 triumph in the UEFA Nations League in November 2020, where Ferran Torres scored a hat-trick. However, Spain has never beaten the host nation in the knockout stages of a Euros or World Cup, failing in their last nine such encounters since 1934.

Hosts Germany are seeking their first European Championship title since 1996. They overcame Denmark 2-0 in the round of 16, with second-half goals from Kai Havertz and Jamal Musiala. Despite a first-half thunderstorm and VAR controversy, Germany advanced to their 19th quarter-final across the World Cup and Euros, the most of any European nation.

Germany ranks in the top three for goals scored (10), attacks (265), attempts on goal (71), average possession (62%), and goals conceded (two) in Euro 2024. With a vibrant home crowd behind them, Germany has become a formidable force under Julian Nagelsmann.

Germany has only two wins in their last 11 meetings with Spain, the last being a 1-0 friendly victory in November 2014. However, they remain unbeaten in their last eight home games against Spain (W5 D3), and no host nation has ever been eliminated at the quarter-final stage of a European Championship.

Spain’s manager, Luis de la Fuente, is expected to name an unchanged starting lineup. Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams will likely join captain Alvaro Morata in attack. Dani Olmo and Mikel Merino may push for a start, but Pedri is expected to retain his place in midfield alongside Rodri and Fabian Ruiz. Nacho Fernandez is fit but unlikely to displace Le Normand or Aymeric Laporte in defense.

Germany’s Julian Nagelsmann might recall Jonathan Tah, who served a suspension in the last match. Maximilian Mittelstadt could return at left-back, while Florian Wirtz may replace Leroy Sane, allowing Musiala to switch flanks. Kai Havertz is expected to lead the attack, supported by a midfield trio of Toni Kroos, Robert Andrich, and Ilkay Gundogan.

Given the tight nature of recent encounters between these two nations, a closely contested match is expected. Their last four major tournament meetings produced only six goals in total. While extra time may be necessary, Spain's edge in form and dynamism might see them through to the semi-finals, ending Germany's hopes of a home triumph.



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两支欧洲强队,都在争夺创纪录的第四个欧洲杯冠军,将于周五在斯图加特的MHPArena进行对决。西班牙和2024年欧洲杯主办国德国将在一场激动人心的四分之一决赛中交锋。

这场万众瞩目的比赛的胜者将在半决赛面对葡萄牙或法国。

西班牙队在2024年欧洲杯上的完美战绩令人印象深刻,他们赢得了所有三场小组赛,并在16强中以4-1击败格鲁吉亚队。罗宾·勒·诺曼德(Robin Le Normand)的一个乌龙球最初帮助格鲁吉亚领先,这是西班牙在本届比赛中丢的第一个球。然而,西班牙队通过罗德里、法比安·鲁伊斯、尼科·威廉姆斯和达尼·奥尔莫的进球做出了强有力的回应,展示了他们的进攻能力。

路易斯·德拉富恩特的球队充满了年轻的活力,在最近五次参加欧洲杯中第四次进入四分之一决赛。西班牙队在欧洲杯上的不败战绩已经达到了10场。西班牙队在国际足联排名第八,自1998年以来,西班牙队在最近六场比赛中从未输给德国队(w3d3)。

西班牙队在2008年欧洲杯决赛中以1比0战胜德国队,在2020年11月的欧洲国家联赛中以6比0战胜德国队,其中弗兰·托雷斯上演帽子戏法。然而,西班牙队从未在欧洲杯或世界杯淘汰赛阶段击败东道主,自1934年以来,他们最近9次遭遇此类比赛均以失败告终。

东道主德国队正在寻求自1996年以来的第一个欧洲杯冠军。他们在16强中以2比0战胜丹麦,下半场哈弗茨和穆西亚拉分别进球。尽管上半场的雷雨和VAR争议,德国在世界杯和欧洲杯上第19次进入四分之一决赛,是欧洲最多的国家。

在2024年欧洲杯上,德国队在进球数(10)、进攻数(265)、射门次数(71)、平均控球率(62%)和失球数(2)方面排名前三。在朱利安·纳格尔斯曼(Julian Nagelsmann)的带领下,德国队在充满活力的主场球迷的支持下,已经成为一支强大的力量。

德国队在最近11次对阵西班牙的比赛中只取得了2场胜利,最近一次是在2014年11月的友谊赛中1-0战胜西班牙。然而,他们在最近8场主场对阵西班牙(W5 D3)的比赛中保持不败,而且还没有一个东道主国家在欧洲杯的1 / 4决赛阶段被淘汰。

西班牙队主教练路易斯·德拉富恩特(Luis de la Fuente)预计将任命一个不变的首发阵容。拉明·亚马尔和尼科·威廉姆斯很可能会加入队长莫拉塔的进攻阵容。奥尔莫和梅里诺可能会争取首发,但是佩德里将会和罗德里和鲁伊斯一起留在中场。纳乔·费尔南德斯很健康,但不太可能取代勒诺曼和拉波特的位置。

德国队的朱利安·纳格尔斯曼可能会想起乔纳森·塔赫,他在上一场比赛中被禁赛。米特尔施塔特可能会回到左后卫位置,而维尔茨可能会取代萨内,这样穆西亚拉就可以在边路切换。哈弗茨将领衔进攻,由托尼·克罗斯、罗伯特·安德里奇和伊尔凯·京多安组成的中场三人组提供支持。

考虑到这两个国家最近的激烈交锋,一场势均力敌的比赛是可以预料的。他们最近四次在大赛上的交锋总共只进了6个球。虽然可能需要加时赛,但西班牙队在状态和活力方面的优势可能会让他们进入半决赛,终结德国主场夺冠的希望。

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