In my opinion Yokohama has a really good chance to make 3 points in today's match.

Yokohama has a big mental advantage as they recorded huge 6:1 win at home against Tosu in previous season.

Yokohama want to bounce back on the good track and I believe this is perfect moment for that. After two consecutive wins, they lost last two matches in a row, but that was extremely unfair. In both matches (against Avispa and Verdy) they had ball possession above 70%. Also twice they had higher expected goals scored value than opponents (1.71 vs 0.60 against Avispa, 1.58 vs 0.40 against Verdy). Form is not bad, time to make 3 points in front of their home crowd.

Sagan Tosu is horrible team on the road. In current season they lost in 7 of 9 away league matches and conceded 18 goals in the process. They came for this game after very painful loss 1:4 at home against Kashiwa. There was fully deserved outcome as they had 3.35 expected goals conceded in that game.

Yokohama have big advantage in fitness department, they played last match at Saturday at home. Sagan Tosu played at Sunday and have to travel for today's game.

In those circumstances I see excellent value on home side.

在我看来，横滨队在今天的比赛中很有可能拿到3分。

横滨有很大的心理优势，因为他们在上个赛季主场6:1战胜了东津。

横滨希望在良好的轨道上反弹，我相信这是一个完美的时刻。在连续两场胜利之后，他们在最后两场比赛中连输，但这是非常不公平的。在两场比赛中(对阵阿维斯帕和威尔迪)，他们的控球率都在70%以上。此外，他们的预期进球数也有两次高于对手(对阿维斯帕1.71比0.60，对威尔迪1.58比0.40)。状态还不错，是时候在主场拿下3分了。

萨根托苏是一支糟糕的客场球队。在本赛季的联赛中，他们在9场客场比赛中输了7场，丢了18个球。他们是在主场1:4痛失柏华之后来参加这场比赛的。这是一个完全应得的结果，因为他们在那场比赛中有3.35个预期失球。

横滨在体能方面有很大的优势，他们上一场比赛是周六在主场进行的。萨根·托苏在周日的比赛中出场，今天的比赛他必须出差。

在这种情况下，我认为主队很有价值。