Let's make more PROFIT! $$$ 美洲杯 哥斯达VS巴拉圭
2024-07-02

Tapio

外籍分析师

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Costa Rica VS Paraguay


Costa Rica and Paraguay lock horns in this Copa America round 3 battle at Q2 Stadium in Austin, Texas, USA Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the last round of the group stage. If teams finish on equal points at the end of the season, score difference will be the tie-breaker. In theory Costa Rica have a chance to finish in the top-2 in this group of four teams. The top-2 teams will qualify for the Playoffs. However, in reality their chance of doing so is, in all honesty, very slim.. However, we can ask: why would they not fight hard..?  Maybe Colombia will upset Brazil.. We all know that anything can happen in football! Brazil are, of course, the favourites against Colombia.. That game will be played at the same time as this one.  I want to mention that Costa Rica, in fact, almost always give their very best on the pitch.. They are a rather small but proud football nation but are better than the list of names would suggest.. Costa Rica have one point in their pocket and have a score difference of 0:3.  Paraguay are a team in decline. They are in 57th place in the FIFA Ranking but this is still too high. 62-64th would be a more fair place in the ranking - taking into account the best possible eleven and an optimal selection of substitutes. Costa Rica, on the other hand, are in 52nd place. Let's not forget that they even made it to the World Cup in Qatar 2022" They did not qualify for the Playoffs but were leading against Germany 2-1 in the 69th minute despite being priced around 30.00 to win by the bookies! They lost 2-4 in the end though. Germany are a top-7 country in the world. Paraguay were not even close to making it to the World Cup. They were abysmal in the South American Qualification group – ending up in 8th place among 10 teams. They won only three of the 18 matches and only lowly teams Bolivia and Venezuela took less points than Paraguay.

In their last game Paraguay were terrible, losing to Brazil 1-4. They deserved to lose as Brazil generated much more in xG – 4.11 – 0.55 to be precise. Brazil are top-3 countries in the world in my expert opinion but the main reason behind this clear defeat was Paraguay's abysmal performance! Their defence was extremely poorly structured and the distances between the players were very often way too long. Furthermore, some of Paraguay's players looked a little lazy in this match – especially after Brazil had taken a 2-0 lead. Paraguay's midfielders were not even closely active in defending.. This is never a good sign.. I mean, should we believe that they would be willing to run and fight more here with nothing to play for.. They have lost both of their two games and have a weak goal difference of 2:6. The resilient and defensively extremely well-organized Costa Rica took a point through a 0-0 draw in their last game.  Brazil - priced below 1.10 to win - were as fully expected, the better team on the pitch.. Indeed, they had 70.10% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots on target, shots off goal, attacks and dangerous attacks. As a whole I was not very impressed with Brazil's offense.. Their attacks were often too slow and predictable – allowing the Costa Ricans to organize the defence. Indeed, Brazil generated only 1.29 in xG Even so, we have to give enough credit to Costa Rica for their huge defensive effort! Furthermore, according to my sources they have a great team spirit. They have a tactically very smart Argentinian head coach, G. Alfaro. He is a likable guy and would earn more respect in the football media..

In the opening game Costa Rica lost to Colombia as big underdogs – priced around 11.00 to win on the betting market. However, the final score does flatter them Colombia Indeed, their number of xG was "only" 2.23. Costa Rica's number was 0.41. Colombia, as I expected, but Costa Rica still managed to record a decent six goal attempts. Costa Rica's performance was not great but still satisfactory. Colombia were simply too strong.. Before this Paraguay lost to Colombia 1-2 despite the Colombians being far from their best level. Even so, Colombia had more shots on target, goal attempts, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Paraguay have won only one of their most recent seven matches and are clearly low in confidence. Their fans have, understandably, been very frustrated with the team's performance in 2022-2024.. This only win in the last games came over a quite limited team, Panama, at Estadio Rommel Fernandez in Panama City last month. It was a friendly game and Paraguay were the favourites according to the bookmakers. Before this Paraguay were abysmal, losing to Chile 0-3 – recording only one shot on target" Chile managed five. Odds on the Paraguay win are around 2.00-2.05 which is not justified at all. Yes, they can improve from their last matches and are the favourites – but only narrow. We will take the Costa Rica +0.5 goals handicap option with a 62.50 % chance of winning – once again! I expect smart money from independent sports bettors and betting syndicates to pile up on Costa Rica, resulting in their odds dropping..



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哥斯达黎加VS巴拉圭


北京时间周三上午,哥斯达黎加队和巴拉圭队将在美国德克萨斯州奥斯汀Q2体育场展开美洲杯第三轮激战。这是小组赛的最后一轮。如果两队在赛季结束时得分相等,则得分差将成为决胜局。理论上,哥斯达黎加有机会在这个由四支球队组成的小组中进入前二名。前两名的球队将有资格进入季后赛。然而,在现实中,他们这样做的机会是非常渺茫的。然而,我们可以问:为什么他们不努力……?也许哥伦比亚会击败巴西…我们都知道在足球场上任何事情都有可能发生!当然,巴西队是对阵哥伦比亚队的夺冠热门。那场比赛将和这场比赛同时进行。我想提一下,哥斯达黎加,事实上,几乎总是在球场上尽他们最大的努力。他们是一个相当小但自豪的足球国家,但比名单所显示的要好。哥斯达黎加队现在有一分,比分差距为0:3。巴拉圭是一支每况愈下的球队。他们在国际足联排名中排名第57位,但这仍然太高了。考虑到最佳11人阵容和最佳替补阵容,第62-64位的排名会更加公平。另一方面,哥斯达黎加排在第52位。让我们不要忘记,他们甚至进入了2022年卡塔尔世界杯。”尽管博彩公司的胜率在30英镑左右,但他们没有进入季后赛,但在第69分钟以2比1领先德国!但他们最终以2比4输了。德国是世界排名前七的国家之一。巴拉圭离世界杯还差得很远。他们在南美资格赛组表现糟糕,在10支球队中排名第8。他们在18场比赛中只赢了3场,只有玻利维亚和委内瑞拉的得分低于巴拉圭。

上一场比赛巴拉圭踢得很糟糕,1-4输给了巴西。他们理应输掉比赛,因为巴西在xG - 4.11 - 0.55中创造了更多的进球。在我看来,巴西是世界排名前三的国家,但这场惨败背后的主要原因是巴拉圭的糟糕表现!他们的防守结构非常糟糕,球员之间的距离经常太长。此外,巴拉圭的一些球员在这场比赛中显得有些懒散,尤其是在巴西2-0领先之后。巴拉圭的中场球员在防守时甚至都不积极。这从来都不是一个好兆头。我的意思是,如果我们相信他们会愿意在没有任何东西可玩的情况下在这里奔跑和战斗……他们两场比赛都输了,净胜球只有2比6。哥斯达黎加队在上一场比赛中以0-0打平,取得了一分。巴西——低于1.10的价格将赢得比赛——正如人们所预料的那样,他们在球场上表现更好。事实上,他们有70.10%的控球率,并且记录了更多的进球尝试、射正、射偏、进攻和危险进攻。总的来说,我对巴西队的进攻印象不太好。他们的进攻往往过于缓慢和可预测,这使得哥斯达黎加人能够组织防守。事实上,巴西在世界杯上只进了1.29个球,即便如此,我们还是要给哥斯达黎加足够的信任,因为他们在防守上付出了巨大的努力!此外,据我所知,他们有很强的团队精神。他们有一个战术上非常聪明的阿根廷主教练,G.阿尔法罗。他是一个可爱的家伙,在足球媒体上会赢得更多的尊重。

在揭幕战中,哥斯达黎加队输给了哥伦比亚队,在博彩市场上的赔率约为11.00。然而,最后的比分确实让哥伦比亚队感到高兴,事实上,他们的xG数量“只有”2.23。哥斯达黎加的数字是0.41。哥伦比亚队,正如我所料,但哥斯达黎加队仍然取得了不错的6次进球。哥斯达黎加的表现不是很好,但仍然令人满意。哥伦比亚太强大了…在此之前,尽管哥伦比亚人远未达到最佳状态,但巴拉圭还是以1比2输给了哥伦比亚。即便如此,哥伦比亚的射门次数、进球次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多。巴拉圭在最近的七场比赛中只赢了一场,显然信心不足。可以理解的是,他们的球迷对球队在2022-2024赛季的表现感到非常沮丧。上个月在巴拿马城的隆美尔费尔南德斯体育场,阿根廷在最近几场比赛中唯一一次战胜了实力相当有限的球队巴拿马队。这是一场友谊赛,根据博彩公司的说法,巴拉圭队是夺冠热门。在此之前,巴拉圭表现糟糕,0-3负于智利,仅取得1球

智利进了五球。巴拉圭获胜的赔率在2.00-2.05之间,这完全不合理。是的,他们可以在上一场比赛的基础上有所提高,并且是夺冠热门——但只是微弱的优势。我们将采取哥斯达黎加+0.5个进球障碍选项,有62.50%的机会获胜-再一次!我预计来自独立体育投注者和博彩集团的聪明资金会堆积在哥斯达黎加身上,导致他们的赔率下降……

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