Netherlands or Romania to 1/4 finals?
2024-07-02

Borja

外籍分析师

解读理由:

It’s crazy to see Romania in ⅛ finals, qualified as leaders in their group. For me, they have one of the worst teams in the EURO and the Netherlands should be able to beat them easily.

Romania was lucky in the EURO: Ukraine played terribly in the opening round as they were not ready yet, whilst then suffered a fair and deserved defeat against Belgium and finished the group stage with a gentlemen's draw against Slovakia in a game where the draw was good for both sides to qualify. They were by far the underdogs in their group, with only a handful of their players competing for midtable clubs in the big leagues.

Romania is a defensive and compact team whose strength is at the counters, as shown against Ukraine. However, Netherlands have good defenders for this: van Dijk and de Vrij are great defenders when they have to defend with many meters and with spaces, as they are accustomed to do that with their clubs.

However, although they are a defensive team, they didn't look well at the back. Conceded plenty of chances in all three games so far, and I expect Netherlands to generate some of them here as well. Goalkeeper Nita has been one of their best players so far, as well as midfielders Marin and Staciu.

Starter LB Bancu is suspended for this fixture, and his replacement is still unknown. Could be Mogos, Sorescu or Rus.

On the other hand , Netherlands is a team who use to play well against outsiders. They beat Canada, Scotland, and Iceland 4-0 in friendlies. For me they are stronger than Belgium, who outplayed and easily beat Romania.

This will be a difficult game for them, but they’ll dominate as they want and have the control of the game, because Romania will be happy leaving the possession to them.

They’ll need their creative attackers to be at their best to find spaces in Romania's defense, and here will be key Xavi Simons and Gakpo. Gakpo has been especially great in all three games, with two goals so far.

There's big pressure on Koeman and his players to deliver, after the defeat against Austria in the last round. However, they are a team with lot of quality upfront and have plenty of alternatives upfront to find chances. A good example was against Austria in Depay’s goal, where they found spaces against a defense full of players.

Romania has faced 13 shots on target so far in the tournament, the second-most after Georgia. No easy evening is expected for Romania's Florin Niță, one of the in-form goalkeepers at the Euro as said above.

Netherlands have much more quality and I see them qualifying them, winning in the regular time.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

罗马尼亚能以小组第一的身份进入决赛真是太疯狂了。在我看来,他们是欧洲最差的球队之一,荷兰应该能够轻松击败他们。

罗马尼亚在欧洲杯上是幸运的:乌克兰在首轮表现糟糕,因为他们还没有准备好,然后在对阵比利时的比赛中遭遇了公平和应得的失败,并在小组赛结束时与斯洛伐克打成平局,这场平局对双方都有好处。到目前为止,他们在小组中处于劣势,只有少数球员在大型联赛的中游俱乐部比赛。

罗马尼亚是一支防守紧凑的球队,他们的优势在于反击,在对阵乌克兰的比赛中就体现了这一点。然而,荷兰队在这方面有很好的后卫:范迪克和德弗里耶是很好的后卫,当他们不得不防守很多米和空间时,因为他们已经习惯了在俱乐部这样做。

然而,尽管他们是一支防守球队,但他们在后防线上表现得并不好。到目前为止,荷兰队在三场比赛中都丢了很多机会,我希望荷兰队在这里也能创造一些机会。守门员尼塔是目前为止他们最好的球员之一,中场球员马林和斯塔丘也是如此。

首发球员班库将在本场比赛停赛,他的替代者仍然未知。可能是Mogos, Sorescu或Rus。

另一方面,荷兰队是一支在面对外来者时表现出色的球队。他们在友谊赛中以4:0击败了加拿大、苏格兰和冰岛。对我来说,他们比比利时更强大,比利时打败了罗马尼亚。

这对他们来说将是一场艰难的比赛,但他们会随心所欲地控制比赛,因为罗马尼亚会很乐意把控球权交给他们。

他们需要他们富有创造力的攻击手在罗马尼亚的防守中找到最好的空间,这将是关键的哈维·西蒙斯和加普。甲浦在这三场比赛中都表现得特别出色,目前为止打进了两个球。

在上一轮输给奥地利之后,科曼和他的球员们面临着巨大的压力。然而,他们是一支锋线实力很强的球队,在锋线上有很多寻找机会的选择。一个很好的例子是在对阵奥地利的比赛中,德佩的进球,他们在防守满是球员的情况下找到了空间。

到目前为止,罗马尼亚在本届比赛中遭遇了13次射正,仅次于格鲁吉亚。对于罗马尼亚的弗罗林Niță来说,这不是一个轻松的夜晚,正如上面所说,他是欧洲杯上状态良好的门将之一。

荷兰队实力更强,我认为他们会出线,在常规时间内获胜。

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