A GREAT match to bet on! $$$
2024-07-01

Tapio

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Bolivia VS Panama


Bolivia and Panama lock horns in this Copa America round 3 clash at Inter&Co Stadium in Orlando, Florida – in the USA Tuesday morning Beijing time. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a game of pretty low quality by this tournament's quality here. However, we have a very lucrative betting opportunity here! We have won eight of the last nine picks at the time of posting this preview! This is the last round of Group stage and Bolivia have already lost their chances to qualify for the Playoffs. They are a very limited team for this level. At home, in a very high altitude in the city of La Paz, they are a tough team to beat but abroad they are pretty useless. The main rationale here is to oppose Bolivia. Indeed, Panama are more or less correctly valued on the betting market. Bolivia simply do not have any individuals worth mentioning here.. They have now lost five games in a row. Moreover, in four of these five games they have lost by a margin of more than one goal. Their score difference in this group is absolutely pathetic – 0-7. Bolivia are in the 84th place in the FIFA Ranking but this is still too high. In my opinion about 90-94th would be a more realistic ranking but away from home their level drops a lot, as mentioned. They hardly ever win games even against opponents that are much weaker than Panama.  Panama, on the other hand, are in 43rd place in the FIFA Ranking and have a huge edge over Bolivia in all areas of the game, especially offensively. We will place a bet on them here with a 68% chance of winning – once again. If the USA take even a point from Uruguay in a match that will be played before this game Panama need to win this game to qualify. However, I expect them to push hard – going for the win here, no matter if they have to win or if a draw would be enough..

Panama qualified for the 2018 World Cup but are of course not a big football country as such.. They have however,, beaten Bolivia in the last four games between these two teams. However, one of these four matches was played in recent years. Indeed, last year Panama beat Bolivia 2-1 despite being big underdogs in this friendly game.. In their last game they beat USA 2-1 and were priced close to 10.00 to win by the bookies at the time of kickoff. This was obviously too high!. Panama had 69% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (15-6), shots on goal, corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also generated more in expected goals (xG). However, USA's T. Weah was sent off in the first half which, of course, affected the game. Even so, I liked Panama's performance as a whole. Before this they were priced over 15.00 to win against Uruguay and lost 0-2. They did, however, have a decent nine goal attempts and even had more attacks – 105-101. The xG numbers were 1.57-0.65. Bolivia lost to Uruguay 0-5 and were completely outplayed. It is impossible to mention anything positive about their performance.. Bolivia had just one shot on goal and two goal attempts. They generated only 0.16 in xG. Before this they lost to USA "only" 0-2. USA had 57% ball possession and had many more goal attempts (20-6), shots on goal, shots off goal, corner kicks (7-1), total passes, completed passes, attacks as well as dangerous attacks. Before this they lost to Colombia 0-3 in a friendly at a neutral location. Colombia dominated the game – recording seven shots on target. Poor Bolivia managed only one. They can sometimes defend pretty well but their offense lacks everything – skill, speed, structure and passing accuracy at key moments. Their coach A. Carlos is an overrated guy and I do not trust him at all. He will probably rotate the squad here as they, in reality, have nothing to play for left. In theory they could qualify by taking a win by a massive margin - if USA loses to Uruguay. If teams finish on equal points at the end of the season, score difference will be the tie-breaker. However, Bolivia qualifying is incredibly improbable and I do not believe even the Bolivians themselves are under any illusion of this actually becoming a reality.. I believe they will try to enjoy this game – trying to attack. Panama are likely to take advantage of this... Even a 0-3 or 1-4 final score would not surprise me too much here..



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玻利维亚VS巴拿马


北京时间周二上午,玻利维亚队和巴拿马队将在美国佛罗里达州奥兰多的Inter&Co体育场进行美洲杯第三轮比赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场质量相当低的比赛。然而,我们有一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!在发布这篇预告的时候,我们已经赢得了最后9个选秀中的8个!这是小组赛的最后一轮,玻利维亚已经失去了进入季后赛的机会。在这个级别,他们是一支非常有限的队伍。在国内,在海拔很高的拉巴斯市,他们是一支很难被击败的球队,但在国外,他们却相当没用。这里的主要理由是反对玻利维亚。事实上,巴拿马在博彩市场上的估值或多或少是正确的。玻利维亚根本没有值得一提的个人。他们现在已经连输五场了。此外,在这五场比赛中,他们有四场输了一个以上的球。他们在这个小组的得分差简直可怜,0-7。玻利维亚在国际足联排名中名列第84位,但这仍然太高了。在我看来,90-94会是一个更现实的排名,但客场他们的水平会下降很多,就像前面提到的。他们几乎从未赢过比赛,即使是面对比巴拿马弱得多的对手。另一方面,巴拿马在国际足联排名中排名第43位,在比赛的各个方面都比玻利维亚有很大的优势,尤其是在进攻方面。我们将在这里押注他们,有68%的机会再次获胜。如果美国队在这场比赛之前的一场比赛中从乌拉圭那里拿到一分,巴拿马就需要赢得这场比赛才能出线。然而,我希望他们努力争取胜利,不管他们是必须赢还是平局就足够了。

巴拿马获得了2018年世界杯的资格,但当然不是一个足球大国。然而,他们在两队之间的最后四场比赛中击败了玻利维亚。然而,这四场比赛中的一场是近年来举行的。事实上,去年巴拿马在友谊赛中以2比1击败了玻利维亚,尽管巴拿马在这场友谊赛中处于劣势。在上一场比赛中,他们以2比1击败美国队,开球时博彩公司的胜率接近10美元。这显然太高了!巴拿马有69%的控球率,并且有更多的射门次数(15-6)、射门次数、角球次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。他们也产生了更多的预期目标(xG)。然而,美国队的T.维阿在上半场被罚下,这当然影响了比赛。即便如此,我还是喜欢巴拿马队的整体表现。在此之前,他们赢乌拉圭的价格超过15.00,结果0-2输了。然而,他们确实有9次进球尝试,甚至有更多的进攻——105比101。xG值为1.57 ~ 0.65。玻利维亚0-5不敌乌拉圭,完全处于劣势。对他们的表现不可能有任何正面的评价。玻利维亚只有一次射门和两次射门尝试。他们在xG中只生成了0.16。在此之前,他们“仅仅”0-2输给了美国。美国队有57%的控球率,并且有更多的进球尝试(20胜6负)、射正、射偏、角球(7胜1负)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。在此之前,他们在一个中立地点的友谊赛中0-3输给了哥伦比亚。哥伦比亚队在这场比赛中占据主导地位,7次射正。可怜的玻利维亚只做到了一个。他们的防守有时做得很好,但他们的进攻缺乏一切——技术、速度、结构和关键时刻的传球准确性。他们的教练卡洛斯是一个被高估的人,我一点也不相信他。他可能会在这里轮换阵容,因为他们实际上没有什么可以踢的左路。从理论上讲,如果美国输给乌拉圭,他们可以以巨大的优势获胜。如果两队在赛季结束时得分相等,则得分差将成为决胜局。然而,玻利维亚出线是难以置信的不可能,我不相信玻利维亚人自己有任何幻想,这实际上会成为现实。我相信他们会努力享受这场比赛,努力进攻。巴拿马可能会利用这一点……即使是0-3或1-4的比分也不会让我太惊讶。

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