Team news and prediction 欧洲杯 葡萄牙VS斯洛文尼
2024-07-01

Milos

外籍分析师

解读理由:


After seeing their long success streak ended in the group stage, Portugal aims to prove their credentials as Euro 2024 champions when they meet Slovenia on Monday evening. The Slovenians arrive in Frankfurt for their first knockout match at a major tournament, fighting for the right to face France or Belgium in the quarter-finals.

Despite winning Group F with a game to spare, Portugal's humbling defeat to Georgia on Wednesday night was a shock. Two errors from Benfica's Antonio Silva contributed to the loss, with Khvicha Kvaratskhelia's stunning opener setting the tone. Though Portugal had already secured their place in the last 16 with wins over the Czech Republic and Turkey, head coach Roberto Martinez took the opportunity to rest key players like Bruno Fernandes, Ruben Dias, Bernardo Silva, and Pepe.

Despite this setback, Portugal remains one of the tournament favorites. They haven't lost back-to-back competitive games since Euro 2008 and have averaged more possession, faced fewer shots, and had more goal attempts than most teams during the group stage. However, since winning Euro 2016, Portugal has struggled in knockout games, losing three out of four in the Euros and World Cup.

Slovenia will face Portugal for only the second time, the first being a 2-0 friendly victory for Portugal in March. This is Slovenia's debut in the elimination phase of a major tournament, and their progress is already a cause for celebration. They managed to extend their unbeaten streak to nine matches with a goalless draw against England in their final Group C game, having previously drawn with Denmark and Serbia.

Despite averaging just 32% possession in the group stage, Slovenia has been effective, thanks to the performances of captain Jan Oblak and young striker Benjamin Sesko. They have not failed to score in 14 games before the draw with England and will be a threat to Portugal.

Roberto Martinez will likely recall key players for this game. Bernardo Silva, Vitinha, and Joao Cancelo are expected to return to the starting lineup. Cristiano Ronaldo, who has not scored in his last seven major tournament appearances, will continue to lead the attack, with Goncalo Ramos waiting as an option off the bench. Rafael Leao is available again after serving a suspension and could start on the left wing. Slovenia will rely on Andraz Sporar and Benjamin Sesko to lead their attack. The pair have started all three games but are yet to score. Goalkeeper Jan Oblak, familiar with many of Portugal's players, will be crucial. Matjaz Kek's side will miss Erik Janza due to suspension, with Jure Balkovec likely replacing him.

Portugal should have too much firepower for Slovenia to handle, provided Roberto Martinez sticks to a consistent lineup. While Slovenia will work hard and may keep the game close initially, Portugal's depth and quality should see them through to the quarter-finals.



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在小组赛结束了漫长的连胜之后,葡萄牙希望在周一晚上对阵斯洛文尼亚的比赛中证明自己是2024年欧洲杯冠军。斯洛文尼亚人抵达法兰克福参加他们在重大赛事中的第一场淘汰赛,争取在四分之一决赛中面对法国或比利时的权利。

尽管葡萄牙在F组多赢一场,但周三晚输给格鲁吉亚的惨败还是让人震惊。本菲卡的安东尼奥·席尔瓦的两次失误导致了本场比赛的失利,而克瓦拉茨基利亚令人惊叹的首开纪录奠定了比赛的基调。尽管葡萄牙队已经击败了捷克和土耳其,确保了16强的席位,但主教练罗伯托·马丁内斯还是利用这个机会让布鲁诺·费尔南德斯、鲁本·迪亚斯、贝尔纳多·席尔瓦和佩佩等关键球员休息。

尽管遭遇挫折,葡萄牙仍然是本届世界杯的热门球队之一。自2008年欧洲杯以来,他们没有输过背对背的比赛,在小组赛中,他们的场均控球率更高,射门次数更少,进球次数也比大多数球队多。然而,自赢得2016年欧洲杯以来,葡萄牙在淘汰赛中表现不佳,在欧洲杯和世界杯上四场比赛中输掉了三场。

斯洛文尼亚将第二次面对葡萄牙,第一次是三月份葡萄牙2-0的友谊赛。这是斯洛文尼亚首次进入重大赛事的淘汰赛阶段,他们的进步已经值得庆祝。他们在C组最后一场比赛中0比0战平英格兰,将不败纪录延长至9场,此前他们曾战平丹麦和塞尔维亚。

尽管在小组赛中场均只有32%的控球率,但由于队长扬·奥布拉克和年轻前锋本杰明·塞斯科的出色表现,斯洛文尼亚队表现出色。在与英格兰战平之前,他们在14场比赛中没有失球,将对葡萄牙构成威胁。

罗伯托·马丁内斯可能会召回本场比赛的关键球员。贝尔纳多·席尔瓦、维金塔和若昂·坎塞洛有望重返首发阵容。在最近七场大赛中没有进球的c罗将继续领导进攻,而拉莫斯将作为替补。拉斐尔-莱奥在停赛后再次复出,他可能会在左路首发。斯洛文尼亚将依靠安德拉兹·斯波拉尔和本杰明·塞斯科领衔进攻。这对搭档已经首发了三场比赛,但是还没有进球。熟悉许多葡萄牙球员的门将扬·奥布拉克将是关键。由于禁赛,凯克的球队将失去埃里克·扬扎,巴尔科维奇很可能取代他的位置。

如果罗伯托·马丁内斯坚持稳定的阵容,葡萄牙应该有太多的火力来对付斯洛文尼亚。虽然斯洛文尼亚将努力工作,可能会在比赛开始时保持接近,但葡萄牙的深度和质量应该会让他们进入四分之一决赛。

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