Spain VS Georgia

Spain and Georgia lock horns in this EURO 2024 Playoffs 1/8-finals battle at RheinEnergieStadion in Cologne early Monday morning Beijing time.The stakes are, of course, sky-high! We can expect a game of much lower level by this tournament's standards. Most importantly, we have a great chance of improving the fine run of 4/5 last picks on EURO 2024 won – at the time of posting this analysis. I expect a very one-sided game here. Spain have been even better than I would have expected in my in-depth preseason analysis. They have struggled with scoring enough goals against strong teams for years but have now solved the problem. Yes, they can still improve as their offense is still not nearly as dangerous as for example France's. They do not have a player of Mbappe's caliber. Wingers N. Williams and the 16-year-old "wonder boy" Lamine Yamal, who played well in LaLiga and the UEFA Champions League with Barcelona, one of the biggest in the world. It seems that the bookies have failed to fully realize how much Spain have improved from the World Cup 2022 which was played in Qatar. Morocco beat them in the PlayOffs there, despite Spain being the better team on the pitch – with 13 goal attempts but only one shot on goal. Spain lost this game in penalties. No goals were scored in the 90+30 minutes of extra time. In the EURO 2020, played in 2021, Spain lost to Italy, the reigning champions but were the best team in this tournament in terms of expected goals (xG) and expected goals allowed (xGA) ratio. They are in 8th place in the FIFA Ranking but in my expert opinion they are the fifth or sixth-best national team in the world, taking into account not just the best possible starting eleven but the substitutes well. I trust Spain's head coach L. de la Fuente a lot in terms of tactical abilities and as a leader.

 Spain have won an impressive 13 of their last 15 matches. In this tournament they have won all three games without allowing a single goal! In the opening round Spain beat Croatia 3-0 after a great performance. Croatia, a dangerous team despite not making it to the Playoffs, did have their chances though. Before this they beat Italy only 1-0 but were dominant on the pitch for most of 90 minutes of play! Italy managed only one shot on target - Spain managed eight! Moreover, Spain had 20 goal attempts. The xG numbers were very clear in Spain's favour, 2.11-0.22 to be precise. In round 3 Spain had nothing to play for left as they had already won the group but still comfortably beat Albania 1-0 despite heavy squad rotation. This helps them a lot against Georgia. Spain have also had two more days than Georgia to rest and prepare for this game. This factor needs to be given enough emphasis. Georgia are in the 74th place in the FIFA ranking which is more or less correct. They have not been the better team on the pitch in any of the three games in this tournament, despite taking four points. Against Turkey they were okay but against Czechia they needed a lot of luck to get a draw – 1-1. The Czechs generated hugelu more in xG than Georgia. In the last round of Group stage Georgia but Portugal, who had nothing to play for, 2-0. Portugal rested most of their best players but still generated mpre in xG. This win seemingly affects the odds too much against Spain.

西班牙VS格鲁吉亚

北京时间周一凌晨，西班牙队和格鲁吉亚队将在科隆莱茵能源球场展开2024年欧洲杯季后赛1/8决赛的激战。当然，风险是极高的!按照本届比赛的标准，我们可以期待一场水平低得多的比赛。最重要的是，我们有很大的机会提高4/5的2024年欧洲杯获胜的最后选择-在发布这篇分析的时候。我预计这将是一场一边倒的比赛。西班牙队的表现甚至比我在季前赛的深入分析中所预期的还要好。多年来，面对强队，他们一直在努力取得足够的进球，但现在已经解决了这个问题。是的，他们仍然可以提高，因为他们的进攻仍然没有法国队那么危险。他们没有姆巴佩这样的球员。边锋n·威廉姆斯和16岁的“神童”拉明·亚马尔，他曾在西甲和欧洲冠军联赛中表现出色，效力于世界上最大的球队之一巴塞罗那。博彩公司似乎没有完全意识到西班牙队在卡塔尔举办的2022年世界杯之后有了多大的进步。摩洛哥在那里的季后赛中击败了他们，尽管西班牙队在球场上表现更好——他们有13次进球，但只有一次射门。西班牙在点球大战中输掉了这场比赛。在90+30分钟的加时赛中没有进球。在2021年举行的2020年欧洲杯上，西班牙队输给了卫冕冠军意大利队，但在预期进球数(xG)和预期失球数(xGA)比方面，西班牙队是本届锦标赛中最好的球队。他们在国际足联排名中排名第八，但在我的专家看来，他们是世界上第五或第六好的国家队，不仅考虑到最好的11名首发球员，而且考虑到替补球员。我非常信任西班牙队主教练德拉富恩特的战术能力和领导能力。

西班牙在过去的15场比赛中取得了令人印象深刻的13场胜利。在本届杯赛中，他们三场全胜，一球未失!西班牙队在首轮比赛中表现出色，以3比0击败了克罗地亚队。克罗地亚是一支危险的球队，尽管没有进入季后赛，但他们也有机会。在此之前，他们仅以1-0击败意大利，但在90分钟的比赛中，他们在球场上占据了统治地位!意大利只射正了1次，而西班牙射正了8次!此外，西班牙队有20次射门机会。xG数据非常明显对西班牙有利，准确地说是2.11-0.22。在第三轮比赛中，西班牙队没有什么可踢的，因为他们已经赢得了小组第一，但尽管阵容轮换很大，他们仍然以1-0轻松击败了阿尔巴尼亚。这对他们对抗格鲁吉亚大有帮助。西班牙也比格鲁吉亚多了两天的时间来休息和准备这场比赛。这个因素需要给予足够的重视。格鲁吉亚在国际足联排名中排名第74位，这或多或少是正确的。在本届杯赛的三场比赛中，尽管拿到了四分，但他们并没有表现得更好。对阵土耳其他们表现不错，但对阵捷克他们需要很多运气才能1-1打平。捷克人在格鲁吉亚创造了比格鲁吉亚多得多的财富。在最后一轮小组赛中，格鲁吉亚以2比0击败了没有比赛可踢的葡萄牙。葡萄牙队让大部分最好的球员休息，但在上一场比赛中仍然表现出色。这场胜利似乎对西班牙的胜算影响太大了。