An easy game for Spain? 欧洲杯 西班牙VS格鲁吉亚
2024-06-30

Borja

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Spain should win this easily.

Spain has been (surprisingly for me) one of the best teams in the group stage. With 3/3 wins, they have been the only team who is yet to concede a goal. Although they were a bit lucky against Croatia, against Italy and Albania they defended very well, conceding very few chances. Italy generated just 0.21 expected goals (and 1 shot on target) and Albania, who was fighting for qualifying, generated just 0.42 expected goals. This is great because I expected Spain to have their weak point in the defense.

The most positive note is that even some reserves showed in the game against Albania that they are ready to compete and make a good game. Grimaldo made a great performance, as well as Ferran Torres and Mikel Merino.

However, the expected defense will be the same: Carvajal, Cucurella, and the doubt is between Laporte and Nacho. And if they continue at the same level, I expect another goal to nil for Spain.

This Spain is a different team to the one we are used to where there are many passes. Although they do keep possession well they are much more direct with it and we see this with 5 goals so far. Upfront, Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams look unstoppable. But also Morata looks good and confident, which is surprising for me.

Overall Spain is performing much better than I expected, and I believe they’ll continue at this level against weak teams where they’ll dominate and concede few chances. The question is if they are able to beat teams like France, Germany or England. But teams like Georgia should be a very easy job for them.

Georgia has been the surprise of the tournament, as they had one of the worst squads in the EURO. However, they have two great players in the most important zones: goalkeeper Mamardashvili and striker Kvaratskhelia. Both of them have been the best Georgia’s players in the three games so far, and I believe will be the key here.

Georgia will try to defend, waiting for Mamardashvili to make amazing saves as always, holding the draw as much as they can, and trying to make some good counters with Kvaratskhelia.

However, I believe we can take the game against Portugal seriously. Portugal played without motivation and with reserves there as they were already qualified, and also Georgia was lucky scoring at 2’, so they could control the rest of the game whilst Portugal was already thinking of the ⅛ finals.

Georgia is a counter attack team, and that’s the plan they’ll try here. However, the quality difference here is huge and Spain is in great form and full of confidence, so I expect them to dominate this fixture and make an easy victory. We must remember that both teams played in the EURO Qualifiers in September and November, where Spain won 1:7 and 3:1 and Georgia was totally outplayed with 30% possession.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

西班牙应该能轻松取胜。

西班牙队一直是(令我惊讶的)小组赛中最好的球队之一。3胜3负,他们是唯一一支没有失球的球队。虽然他们在对阵克罗地亚的比赛中运气不错,但在对阵意大利和阿尔巴尼亚的比赛中,他们防守得非常好,几乎没有失球机会。意大利队的预期进球数仅为0.21个(1次射正),而为出线而战的阿尔巴尼亚队的预期进球数仅为0.42个。这太棒了,因为我认为西班牙队在防守上有弱点。

最积极的一点是,一些预备队在对阵阿尔巴尼亚的比赛中表现出他们已经做好了比赛的准备。格里马尔多表现出色,还有托雷斯和米克尔·梅里诺。

然而,预计防守将是一样的:卡瓦哈尔,库库雷拉,和拉波特和纳乔之间的疑问。如果他们继续保持同样的水平,我预计西班牙会再进一球。

这支西班牙队与我们所熟悉的那支有很多传球的球队不同。尽管他们控球做得很好,但他们的控球更加直接,我们已经看到他们进了5个球。前场,亚马尔和威廉姆斯看起来势不可挡。但是莫拉塔看起来很好很自信,这让我很惊讶。

总的来说,西班牙队的表现比我预期的要好得多,我相信他们会继续保持这种水平,在对阵弱队的比赛中,他们会占据统治地位,很少失球。问题是他们能否击败法国、德国或英格兰这样的球队。但是像格鲁吉亚这样的球队对他们来说应该很容易。

格鲁吉亚是本届欧洲杯的一大惊喜,因为他们的阵容是本届欧洲杯上最差的球队之一。然而,他们在最重要的区域有两名伟大的球员:门将马马达什维利和前锋克瓦拉茨基利亚。他们俩都是目前为止三场比赛中表现最好的球员,我相信他们将是关键。

格鲁吉亚将努力防守,等待马马达什维利像往常一样做出惊人的扑救,尽可能地保持平局,并试图与克瓦拉茨基利亚进行一些精彩的反击。

然而,我相信我们可以认真对待与葡萄牙的比赛。葡萄牙队在预备队的情况下打得没有动力,因为他们已经晋级了,格鲁吉亚队也很幸运地在2分进球,所以他们可以控制比赛的剩余时间,而葡萄牙队已经在考虑决赛了。

格鲁吉亚队是一支反击队,这就是他们在这里尝试的计划。然而,这里的实力差距是巨大的,西班牙状态很好,充满信心,所以我希望他们能统治这场比赛,轻松取胜。我们必须记住,这两支球队都参加了9月和11月的欧洲杯预选赛,西班牙队以1:7和3:1获胜,格鲁吉亚队以30%的控球率完全被击败。

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