JEF United Ichihara Chiba VS Kagoshima United
Chiba welcome Kagoshima United for this J2 League round 22 battle at Fukuda Denshi Arena Sunday evening Beijing time. The level of this league is not very high by global standards but by Asian standards it is of high quality – for a second tier I mean. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of lower than average quality here. Most importantly, we have a great betting opportunity to make even more profit betting on this league where the bookies make quite a lot of mistakes with their odds! I expect a pretty one-sided clash here. Indeed, the hosts will surely be active right from the kickoff, boosted by their fans, putting pressure on the visitors' shaky defence. Indeed, they have loud and demanding fans by this league's standards. They have been impressive at Fukuda Denshi Arena in this league this season. Yes, they have won six of the 10 home games in J2 League, which is the same number of home wins as a strong Shimizu S-Pulse have taken. Furthermore, Chiba's score difference at home is the best in this league - +17 to be precise! I would not be at all surprised if they were to take a clear win here.. Kagoshima have played at a decent level at home but away from home they have failed to win a single game in this league this season. Yes, they have taken many draws on the road but have had a lot of luck on their side in many of these games.. They have scored just eight goals away from home in the J2 League. They often play too defensive and passive football on the road which usually results in way too much pressure on their vulnerable defence – in the 2nd half at the latest.. Chiba have big offensive firepower and will most probably score at least twice here! Their creative offensive players should be able to break the Kagoshima defense through fast, short passing.. Chiba have scored a stunning 41 goals in this league. This is the 2nd-highest number in the J2 League. Their defence is, in all honesty, not the most solid - they have allowed 24 goals but poor Kagoshima are not expected to exploit the hosts' defensive vulnerabilities. I want to highlight that the 24 goals conceded is not a high number though. Indeed, the current leaders, V-Varen Nagasaki have allowed 20 goals and Shimizu S-Pulse 25 goals.
I want to highlight that Chiba have a substantial edge over Kagoshima in all areas of the game. Chiba have 33 points on their pocket and are in 7th place. The visitors have taken only 22 points and I expected them to be relegated to the J3 League for next season. I do not see them having any potential for improvement. They are in 18th place in this league with a total of 20 clubs. The last three clubs will be relegated. Kagoshima have no strengths in their game - as their score difference of 21:34 reflects. They were promoted from the J3 League to this level for this season and lack quality in all areas of the game. According to Transfermarkt.com their squad is valued at only around 5.30 million euros which is a low number even by the J2 League standards. The Chiba squad is valued at around eight million which is clearly too low in my expert opinion. Yes, Kagoshima have now won two games in a row but I will not let this fool me! The bookies seem to have overreacted to these wins and we will take advantage of this! Indeed, the Kagoshima's opponents have been much worse than Chiba! Before these wins the visitors failed to take a single win in nine matches in a row! Odds of close to 1.60 are widely available on the betting market and we will eagerly place a bet on Chiba! Their chance of winning is 68.50%. In their last game Kagoshima beat Oita Trinita 3-0 at home as favourites on the betting market. Yes, they deserved to win but the final score is very misleading. The hosts had only one more shot on goal than the visitors – 4-3. Before this Kagoshima defeated Montedio Yamagata 2-1 at home but the visitors had many more goal attempts, shots on goal and corner kicks – 9-1. Both teams had three shots on goal though. I need to mention that these wins have not made me raise Kagoshima's power rating! For clarification, this rating reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting lineup – excluding the motivation factor as well as the possible fatigue – caused by a demanding schedule. They are in 21st place in this rating. Chiba lost to Tochigi in their most recent match 1-2 on the road but before this they grabbed four wins in a row! Chiba were far from their best against Tochigi who, on the other hand, played clearly above their normal level. The game was pretty balanced as a whole. Chiba must be annoyed by this defeat in a game where they were clear favourites to win.. I expect them to gain extra motivation from this loss - and Kagoshima are the perfect "victim".. Before this disappointing performance Chiba beat Tokushima 1-0 in front of their fans despite lacking some offensive creativity. However, we must remember that Tokushima's defence is much more solid than Kagoshima's..
JEF联队千叶市原VS鹿儿岛联队
北京时间周日晚上,千叶县将在福田登时体育馆迎接鹿儿岛联队参加J2联赛第22轮的比赛。以全球标准来看,这个联赛的水平不是很高,但以亚洲标准来看,它的质量很高——我的意思是,对于二线球队来说。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场低于平均水平的比赛。最重要的是,我们有一个伟大的投注机会,使更多的利润投注在这个联赛中,博彩公司犯了相当多的错误与他们的赔率!我预计这将是一场一边倒的冲突。事实上,东道主肯定会在球迷的推动下,从开球开始就活跃起来,给客队摇摇欲坠的防线施加压力。的确,按照联盟的标准,他们的球迷呼声很高,要求也很高。本赛季他们在福田登仕球场的表现令人印象深刻。是的,他们在J2联赛的10场主场比赛中赢了6场,这与强大的清水S-Pulse取得的主场胜利数量相同。此外,千叶在主场的得分差是联盟中最好的——准确地说是+17 !如果他们在这里大获全胜,我一点也不会感到惊讶。鹿儿岛在主场踢得不错,但在客场他们本赛季一场比赛都没赢过。是的,他们在客场取得了很多平局,但是他们在很多比赛中都有很多运气。他们在J2联赛中客场只进了8个球。他们经常在客场踢得过于防守和被动,这通常会给他们脆弱的防线带来太大的压力——最迟在下半场。千叶有强大的进攻火力,很可能在这里至少进两球!他们富有创造力的进攻球员应该能够通过快速、短传突破鹿儿岛的防守。千叶在联赛中打进了惊人的41球。这是J2联赛第二高的数字。他们的防守,说实话,并不是最稳固的——他们已经丢了24个球,但是可怜的鹿儿岛不可能利用东道主防守的弱点。我想强调的是,24个失球并不是一个很高的数字。事实上,目前的领先者长崎V-Varen和清水S-Pulse分别丢了20个球和25个球。
我想强调的是,千叶在游戏的所有领域都比鹿儿岛有很大的优势。千叶现在积33分,排名第七。客队只拿了22分,我预计他们下赛季会被降级到J3联赛。我看不出他们有任何改进的潜力。他们在这个联赛中排名第18位,总共有20家俱乐部。最后三个俱乐部将被降级。鹿儿岛队在比赛中没有任何优势,21:34的比分差距也反映了这一点。他们本赛季从J3联赛升级到这个级别,在比赛的各个方面都缺乏质量。根据Transfermarkt.com的数据,他们的球队价值只有530万欧元左右,即使按照J2联赛的标准,这也是一个很低的数字。千叶队的价值在800万左右,在我的专家看来,这显然太低了。是的,鹿儿岛现在已经连续赢了两场比赛,但我不会让这欺骗我!博彩公司似乎对这些胜利反应过度,我们将利用这一点!的确,鹿儿岛的对手比千叶差多了!在这些胜利之前,客队在连续九场比赛中没有取得一场胜利!接近1.60的赔率在投注市场上广泛可用,我们将热切地把赌注放在千叶!他们获胜的几率是68.50%。在上一场比赛中,鹿儿岛队在主场以3比0击败大分三田队,成为博彩市场上的热门球队。是的,他们应该赢,但是最后的比分很容易误导人。主队只比客队多射一球,比分是4比3。在此之前,鹿儿岛在主场以2-1击败山形Montedio Yamagata,但客队有更多的进球尝试,射门和角球- 9-1。两队都有三次射门。我需要提到的是,这些胜利并没有让我提高鹿儿岛的能量评级!澄清一下,这个评级反映了球队的纯粹等级,他们拥有最好的首发阵容——排除了动力因素和可能的疲劳——由高强度的赛程引起的。他们在这个排名中排名第21位。千叶在最近的客场比赛中1-2输给了枥木,但在此之前他们已经取得了四连胜!千叶在对阵枥木的比赛中远没有发挥出最好的水平,而枥木的表现显然超出了他们的正常水平。游戏整体上非常平衡。千叶肯定对这场比赛的失败感到恼火,他们显然是最有希望获胜的。我希望他们能获得更多
而鹿儿岛是完美的“受害者”。在这场令人失望的比赛之前,千叶队在球迷面前1-0击败了德岛队,尽管他们在进攻端缺乏创造力。然而,我们必须记住,德岛的防御比鹿儿岛的要坚固得多。