Incheon United Club VS Gangwon Football Club
Incheon host Gangwon for this Korean K League 1 round 20 battle at Sungui Arena Park Sunday evening Beijing time. The level of this league is not very high by global standards but by Asian standards it is of high quality! Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of mediocre quality here. Most importantly, we have a great betting opportunity to improve the fine streak of four of the most recent picks won betting on this league! Last season Incheon finished in 6th place in this league with a total of clubs. They took 48 points. However, in terms of expected points (xPTS) they were lucky and were often overrated on the betting market. Indeed, their number of expected points (xPTS) was only 41.23. Gangwon, on the other hand, had a very disappointing season but in terms of xPTS they would have deserved over 10 more points than the actual number of 26. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the hosts are only marginally the bigger team here. Indeed, their squad is valued at around 11 million euros. This is, in my expert opinion, too high though. Three of their players are overvalued. We have every reason to expect a very balanced game here. The biggest bookies who accept the largest wagers from customers have made a mistake, offering the hosts odds of around 2.15-2.20 on the home win at the time of posting this preview. Indeed, Incheon are having a very disappointing season. They are in the 9th place in the standings and have grabbed only 20 points. This is just four more points than the rock-bottom team, Jeonbuk, have taken.. Their score difference is poor – 23:27 to be precise. Yes, they can improve but the bookies seem to give this potential too much emphasis. With the expected lineups, taking the moderate home advantage into account Incheon deserve to be very marginal favourites here. The obvious professional bettor's choice is the Gangwon +0.5 goals handicap! Incheon have won only two of their nine games at Sungui Arena Park in this league this season. This is - together with Jeonbuk, the lowest number of points earned at home. I do not expect the atmosphere at Sungui Arena Park to be that great here. The Incheon fans have shown signs of frustration recently..
Gangwon have improved massively from last season. Indeed, they are in 5th place with a fine 31 points. This is just seven points less than the reigning champions of South Korea, Ulsan, have grabbed! Their score difference is good – 34:32. I have been impressed with their offensive quality, especially the creative way they have been attacking this season. The 34 goals is five more than Gimcheon Sangmu, the current leaders, have scored! Even Ulsan have scored only three more goals than Gangwon. Their defence has its weaknesses – sometimes their defenders give (too) risky assists and are overly active in attacking. Furthermore, their defence is rather vulnerable to well-organised, intense pressing but I do not believe that Incheon . In their quite lame current form, are capable of doing this here.. Indeed, they have lost two games in a row and have not looked confident on the pitch in most of their recent games. Moreover, they have won only two of their last 10 matches in the 90 minutes of play.. In their most recent match they faced Jeju United on the road – losing 0-1. The hosts deserved the three points as they had 55% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (11-6), shots on target, shots off goal as well as corner kicks – 7-1. Before this Incheaon were terrible, losing to Pohang 1-3 at home as very slim underdogs on the betting market at the time of kickoff. The visitors recorded many more shots on goal (13-3), shots on goal (9-2), shots off goal (4-1), corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. I was impressed by the way the visitors defended in this game. Even so, Incheon's offense was abysmal, despite scoring a goal.. The two teams last locked horns in April and Gangwon took a fine 4-1. They were priced around 2.45-2.65 to win by the bookies. Indeed, this was yet another example of them being undervalued - and Incheon overvalued by the bookies! Gangwon have won six of their last 10 games, losing only two of these matches in the 90 minutes of play. They have, however, lost two matches in a row now. In their last game they lost to Seoul 0-2 away from home as solid underdogs on the betting market. However, they had their chances in this game, recording 10 goal attempts. They even had more shots off goal than the hosts. Seoul did have two more shots on goal though. Most importantly, the final score is misleading! Before this they lost to Gimcheon Sangmu (1st place) 2-3 at home but had 56% ball possession and recorded many more attacks and dangerous attacks. The visitors had more goal attempts though. There was nothing wrong with Gangwon's performance as a whole but they were, in all honesty, not at their best in this match..
仁川联队VS江原足球俱乐部
北京时间8日晚,韩国K联赛第20轮比赛将在顺义竞技场公园举行,仁川主场迎战江原。以全球标准来看,这个联赛的水平不是很高,但以亚洲标准来看,它的质量很高!足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场质量一般的比赛。最重要的是,我们有一个很好的投注机会来改善最近四次在这个联赛中赢得投注的良好势头!上赛季仁川队以俱乐部数排名第6位。他们拿了48分。然而,就预期点数(xPTS)而言,他们很幸运,而且在博彩市场上经常被高估。事实上,他们的期望值(xPTS)只有41.23。另一方面,江原队本赛季的表现非常令人失望,但从积分来看,他们应该比实际的26分多得到10分。根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com,东道主在这里只是稍微大一点。事实上,他们的阵容价值约为1100万欧元。以我的专业意见,这个价格太高了。他们的三个球员被高估了。我们完全有理由期待一款非常平衡的游戏。那些接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司犯了一个错误,在发布这篇预告时,他们为东道主提供了大约2.15-2.20的主场获胜赔率。事实上,仁川正在经历一个非常令人失望的赛季。他们在积分榜上排名第九,只拿到了20分。这只比垫底的全北队多得了4分。他们的比分差很小,确切地说是23:27。是的,他们可以提高,但博彩公司似乎过于强调这种潜力。根据预期的阵容,考虑到适度的主场优势,仁川在这里应该是非常小的热门。显然,职业赌徒的选择是江原+0.5个进球障碍!仁川队本赛季在顺义竞技场公园进行的9场比赛中只取得了2场胜利。这是继全北之后,在主场得分最低的地区。我不期望孙桂竞技场公园的气氛会那么好。仁川球迷最近表现出了失望的迹象。
江原队比上赛季有了很大的进步。事实上,他们以31分的好成绩排在第五位。这只比韩国队卫冕冠军蔚山队少7分!他们的比分差距很大,34:32。他们的进攻能力给我留下了深刻的印象,尤其是他们本赛季创造性的进攻方式。34球比目前排名第一的金川尚武多进5球!蔚山也只比江原多进了3个球。他们的防守也有弱点——有时候他们的防守球员会送出(太)危险的助攻,并且在进攻中过于活跃。此外,他们的防守很容易受到组织严密的压力,但我不相信仁川。以他们目前相当蹩脚的形式,他们有能力在这里做到这一点。事实上,他们已经连续输了两场比赛,而且在最近的比赛中,他们在球场上看起来并不自信。此外,在过去的10场比赛中,他们在90分钟的比赛中只赢了两场。在最近的一场比赛中,他们客场对阵济州联队,以0比1输掉了比赛。主队理应得到三分,因为他们控球率为55%,进球次数(11比6)、射正、射偏以及角球次数(7比1)也更多。在此之前,仁川非常糟糕,在主场1-3输给浦项,在开球时的博彩市场上,仁川是非常微弱的劣势。客队的射正(13胜3负)、射正(9胜2负)、射偏(4胜1负)、角球、进攻和危险进攻的记录更多。我对客队在这场比赛中的防守方式印象深刻。尽管如此,仁川队的进攻还是糟糕透顶,尽管打进了一球。两队上一次交锋是在今年4月,当时江原队以4比1的比分被罚。博彩公司对他们的定价在2.45-2.65左右。事实上,这是它们被低估的又一个例子——而仁川被博彩公司高估了!江原队在最近10场比赛中取得了6场胜利,在90分钟内只输掉了2场比赛。然而,他们现在已经连输了两场比赛。在上一场比赛中,他们客场0-2不敌首尔,在博彩市场上处于劣势。然而,他们在这场比赛中也有机会,有10次射门。他们的射门次数甚至比东道主还多。不过首尔队确实又射进了两球。最重要的是,最后的分数是误导!此前,他们在主场以2比3不敌金川尚武(第一名),但控球率高达56%
并记录了更多的攻击和危险的攻击。不过客队有更多的进球机会。江原队的整体表现并没有什么问题,但老实说,他们在这场比赛中并没有达到最佳状态。