The 2nd Euro 2024 TOP 16 game on Saturday is going to be between Germany and Denmark. In this duel, I predict that Germany will win during the regular time.

Germany showed good football during the group stage. At first, they ran over Scotland 5:1. It was followed by a 2:0 win over Hungary and a 1:1 draw against Switzerland. The hosts were lucky to get the point as they scored only in the 92nd minute and that gave them 1st place in the group. If we look at the stats, Germany deserved to win as they had a huge advantage in total shots (18 vs. 4) and they had a better xG rating (1.56 vs. 0.60). Germany scored a total of 8 goals and conceded 2. During the group stage, Germany created xG of 5.10 while xGA was 1.80.

Denmark didn't win a single game during the group stage! At first, they blew a lead against Slovenia (1:1), then they came back against England (1:1) and didn't score a single goal in the group stage finale against Serbia (0:0). Denmark and Slovenia had the same amount of points, goal difference and goals scored but they had one fewer yellow card and that allowed them to get the 2nd place. Denmark hasn't played the most watchable football and we can see that from the xG perspective. Denmark has an xG of 3.15 after the group stage while xGA is 2.25.

I'm going with the hosts in this game. They have played much better and they have more offensive talent. Yes, 5 out of 8 goals were scored against Scotland, but they still have more goals in 2 games than Denmark in the whole group stage. Also on defense, Germany was better. Maybe Denmark played against bigger names like England and Serbia but their offenses are very poor in this tournament. With the help of local fans, Germany should do the job and win in the first 90 minutes.

周六，2024年欧洲杯16强的第二场比赛将在德国和丹麦之间进行。在这场决斗中，我预测德国将在常规时间获胜。

德国队在小组赛阶段踢得很好。一开始，他们以5:1的比分击败了苏格兰。随后以2:0战胜匈牙利，1:1战平瑞士。东道主很幸运地拿到了这一分，因为他们在第92分钟才进球，这使他们获得了小组第一的位置。如果我们看一下数据，德国队应该获胜，因为他们在总射门数上有巨大的优势(18比4)，而且他们的xG评分更好(1.56比0.60)。德国队共进8球，失2球。在小组赛阶段，德国队创造了5.10的xG和1.80的xGA。

丹麦在小组赛一场也没赢过!一开始，他们在对阵斯洛文尼亚(1:1)的比赛中丢掉了领先优势，然后在对阵英格兰(1:1)的比赛中反败为胜，在小组赛最后一场对阵塞尔维亚(0:0)的比赛中一球未进。丹麦和斯洛文尼亚的积分、净胜球和进球数相同，但他们少了一张黄牌，这使他们获得了第二名。丹麦队踢的不是最好看的足球，我们可以从xG的角度看出来。丹麦小组赛结束后的xG为3.15,xGA为2.25。

在这场比赛中，我支持东道主。他们打得更好，他们有更多的进攻天赋。是的，8个进球中有5个是对阵苏格兰的，但他们在整个小组赛中两场比赛的进球数仍然比丹麦多。同样在防守方面，德国表现更好。也许丹麦面对的是英格兰和塞尔维亚这样的大牌，但他们的进攻在本届比赛中非常糟糕。在当地球迷的帮助下，德国队应该完成任务并在前90分钟获胜。