Germany has been one of the best teams in the tournament so far and I see them as strong favorites here to win and qualify.

The home advantage is clearly a huge advantage for the germans, who are playing great and have great fans support which is giving them to be at 200% and always give an extra.

Furthermore, the team is really well balanced and playing great, especially upfront. Musiala is in great form, he has been one of the best players in the three games so far, but he is not the only one. Kroos is dominating the games as he wants, and Fullkrug coming from the bench has been a great solution for the team to find more goals, as he did against Scotland and Switzerland. He could have the chance to be starter upfront in this fixture instead of Havertz.

Maybe they decreased their level a bit against Switzerland, but still generated 1.65 expected goals (and conceded only 0.57), having +60% possession and 18 shots. And they were already qualified so it’s normal to see a worse performance with less motivation.

Defender Tah is suspended but will be well replaced by Borussia Dortmund defender Schlotterbeck who had a great season, so I don’t see this as a problem for Germany. Rudiger is more worrying as he has a small injury and is the leader of the defence, but it’s very possible to see him playing, 70% chances I’d say.

On the other hand, Denmark made very poor performances so far. They qualified without winning any game, with 3 draws in the 3 fixtures.

They planned a very defensive game against England and I believe they’ll do the same here. Against England it was successful, with very good pressing and organization in defense, but honestly I see Germany’s attack much better than England at the moment.

They weren’t able to beat weak teams like Serbia or Slovenia, and generated very few chances here. However, I think it’s the game against England that we should take as an example for this fixture, as they’ll use the same tactics because they will be dominated.

They have several players at a good level so far: Eriksen, Hojberg, Andersen… But have been lacking goal, as Hojlund isn’t still a top striker for me. He has made only 2 shots in three games so far.

For this fixture they will need to replace midfielder Hjulmand who is suspended. Delaney and Norgaard are the two toptions. And this will be noted as Hjumland has been performing really well, and was one of the best players against England.

Denmark will need to be very careful with Germany’s attack, as they have much more alternatives and pace than England. Germany will push more and attack with more people, so I expect Denmark to struggle more to defend here. Then, upfront, I can’t see them generating too much due to their tactics, the lack of quality upfront, and also the good german’s defense.

I expect Germany to dominate this game, generate more chances, and this added to the quality difference and the home support makes me see them favorites to win and qualify to the next round.

到目前为止，德国队一直是本届杯赛中最好的球队之一，我认为他们是夺冠和出线的热门球队。

主场优势对德国人来说显然是一个巨大的优势，他们踢得很好，有很多球迷的支持，这让他们达到了200%的状态，而且总是付出额外的努力。

此外，球队非常平衡，踢得很好，尤其是前场。穆西亚拉状态很好，他是目前为止三场比赛中表现最好的球员之一，但他不是唯一的一个。克罗斯随心所欲地控制着比赛，替补出场的富勒克鲁格为球队找到更多进球提供了很好的解决方案，就像他在对阵苏格兰和瑞士的比赛中所做的那样。他可能有机会在这场比赛中取代哈弗茨成为首发前锋。

也许他们在对阵瑞士的比赛中降低了一些水平，但仍然产生了1.65个预期进球(只丢了0.57个)，控球率为60%，射门次数为18次。他们已经出线了，所以表现更差、更缺乏动力是很正常的。

后卫塔赫将被禁赛，但多特蒙德后卫施洛特贝克将很好地取代他，他本赛季表现出色，所以我不认为这对德国队来说是一个问题。吕迪格更让人担心，因为他有一个小伤，而且他是后防线的领袖，但很有可能看到他上场，我敢说有70%的机会。

另一方面，到目前为止，丹麦的表现非常糟糕。他们在3场比赛中3场平局，一场未赢。

他们计划在对阵英格兰时打一场非常防守的比赛，我相信他们在这里也会这样做。在对阵英格兰的比赛中，我们很成功，在防守上有很好的压迫和组织，但老实说，我认为德国的进攻比英格兰好得多。

他们没能击败像塞尔维亚和斯洛文尼亚这样的弱队，在这里创造的机会也很少。然而，我认为我们应该以对阵英格兰的比赛为例，因为他们会使用同样的战术，因为他们会被控制。

到目前为止，他们有几名水平不错的球员:埃里克森、霍伊伯格、安德森……但他们缺乏进球，因为霍伊伦德对我来说仍然不是顶级前锋。到目前为止，他在三场比赛中只投进了2球。

在这场比赛中，他们需要替换被禁赛的中场胡尔曼德。德莱尼和诺加德是两种选择。这一点值得注意，因为赫姆兰表现得非常好，在对阵英格兰的比赛中，他是表现最好的球员之一。

丹麦需要非常小心德国的进攻，因为他们比英格兰有更多的选择和速度。德国将会用更多的人来推进和进攻，所以我预计丹麦在这里会更加努力地防守。然后，在前场，由于他们的战术，缺乏质量的前场，以及优秀的德国人的防守，我看不到他们产生太多的东西。

我希望德国队能统治这场比赛，创造更多的机会，这增加了质量上的差异，主场的支持让我看到他们最有希望获胜并晋级下一轮。