Germany VS Denmark

Germany and Denmark lock horns in this EURO 2024 Playoffs 1/8-finals battle at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund. The stakes are, of course, sky-high. We can expect a game of much better than average level by this tournament's standards. Most importantly, we have a great chance of improving the fine run of 4/5 last picks on EURO 2024 won. It is true that a big percentage of the German people in general have not been too excited about the national team, "Die Mannschaft '' in the last five or so years. However, this has changed this year, mainly thanks to the good results and Toni Kroos rejoining the national team. There is some "hype" around the team in Germany now and the home advantage is, of course, substantial! Yes, Germany, the country with one of the best football cultures on the planet – and the third-best domestic league in the world - have been disappointing in recent years. There is no denying this and this has been openly discussed in the German (football) media, especially in 2022 after the World Cup. In the World Cup in 2022 in Qatar Germany even failed to qualify for the Playoffs.. However, they also had some bad luck in the group stage matches.. The EURO 2020, played in 2021 because of the Covid-19 crisis, was a disappointment for Germany as well.. This has understandably heavily affected their FIFA ranking! Indeed, they are now in 16th place in this ranking. I would say that 7-8th would be a more realistic place for them ranking. Denmark, on the other hand, are in 21st place. This is a bit too high in my expert opinion. Denmark, boosted by home fans in many games in Copenhagen, were excellent in the EURO 2020, which was played in 2021, despite losing their most important players, Eriksen, in the opening game against Finland. They have declined since that tournament – especially offensively - no denying that. In the World Cup 2022 in Qatar they did not qualify for the playoffs - following very disappointing performances against Tunisia - and particularly against Australia. They were criticized heavily after the tournament, especially in the Danish football media. I would be surprised to see them making it to the top-8 in this tournament.. Odds of around 1.65 are available on the Germans getting the job done in the 90 minutes of play. We will eagerly place a bet on the host nation! We have a 66% chance of winning – once again!

Germany have a significant number of talented players in the squad.. They also have legends like Toni Kroos,34, who just won the Champions League with Real Madrid some weeks ago! His leadership and passing skills are world-class! His percentage of successful passes has been excellent, especially against Scotland and Hungary. Toni will retire after the EURO 2024 – a huge pity for us football enthusiasts and bettors. The German squad is much deeper than that of Denmark. Yes, J. Tah is out due to too many yellow cards which does hurt Germany's chances of winning to some extent but quite possibly the bookies have overreacted to his absence.. Another defender, A. Rudiger, is questionable because of a minor hamstring injury but according to latest reports he is expected to play. I have, of course, taken his situation into account in my probability estimation. As for Denmark, Sporting Lisbon's M. Hjulmand is out because of too many bookings. Germany have not lost any of their last seven games, winning five of these seven matches. In their last game they faced a dangerous team, Switzerland and it was a 1-1 draw in the end. Germany were not at their best in this game and the Swiss played slightly above their normal level. Germany needed only a point to win the group and this affected the game more than many football fans and recreational bettors probably would have expected.. Even so, Germany had 62% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (18-4), shot off goal (10-1), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. The expected goals (xG) numbers were 1.64-0.67 in the Germans' favour. I will not give this game too much emphasis. Switzerland's at times pretty active style of play caused some trouble for Germany. However, Denmark, with not the fastest or physically fit players are unlikely to play in this way.. In round 2 Germany comfortably defeated Hungary 2-0. They did not seem to be very hungry for more goals after I. Gundogan's 2-0 goal in the 67th minute. In the opening round Germany were absolutely dominant, crushing Scotland 5-1. Scotland's only goal was an own goal by A. Rudiger. Yes, Scotland's Porteous was sent off in the 44th minute but Germany were leading 3-0 at this point and were in full control on the pitch! Scotland, rather surprisingly, recorded hardly any xG in this game! No, Scotland are not a top-team but were still not among the lowest-ranked teams in this tournament.. They also played in the EURO 2020. Germany had close to 70% ball possession and recorded hugely more goal attempts (20-1), shots off goal (10-0), corner kicks (5-0), total passes, completed passes, attacks (63-8) as well as dangerous attacks.

Before the tournament started Germany beat Greece 2-1 at home despite being very far from their best. They clearly wanted to avoid injuries and getting too fatigued. The Greeks, on the other hand, were more energized and motivated than I would have expected.. Before this Germany played a goalless draw at home against Ukraine. Ukraine are a much better team than Greece and qualified for the EURO 2024 but failed to make the Playoffs, despite taking four points. They had their chances to beat Belgium a few days ago but it was a goalless draw. With a win over Belgium Ukraine would have topped their group.. Germany had 57% ball possession in this game and recorded many more goal attempts (25-7), shots on goal, shots off target (13-3), corner kicks (11-2), total passes, completed passes attacks and especially dangerous attacks – 98-18. Ukraine, however, fought very well and also had some luck to avoid a defeat. Before the draw with Ukraine Germany beat two major football countries – France and the Netherlands to be precise! Let's keep in mind that the Netherlands, a pretty erratic team, were very close to beating the eventual champions, Argentina, in the World Cup in 2022! However, Germany beat them 2-1 at home and recorded many more goal attempts (11-7), shots on goal, corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and especially dangerous attacks – 65-14. The expected goals (xG) numbers were 1.24-0.45. Before this Germany defeated France at Parc Olympique Lyonnais in Lyon! Let’s not forget that France, with super stars like Kylian Mbappe, were very close to winning the World Cup and are a top-3 country in terms of pure class on the planet! Germany recorded many more goal attempts (15-10), shots on goal (6-2), corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks! Moreover, the expected goals (xG) numbers were 0.68-1.21. What a fine performance from the Germans  - and a big boost to their confidence. Germany were priced around 4.00 to win this game by the bookies, reflecting the ongoing undervaluation on the betting market..

Denmark have not been bad but have not impressed me in this tournament. Yes, they won the Qualification Group H but took the same number of points as Slovenia,  a pretty low-ranked (57th) country. They even lost to Kazakhstan on the road 2-3 and beat one of the worst national teams in the world, San Marino, only 2-1! Denmark's offense has been far from impressive in most games starting from 2022. In San Marino Denmark were priced 1.01 (!) to win by most bookies but generated only 0.79 in xG! Denmark's attacks are often way too slow and predictable which allows even some pretty limited team's, like my home country Finland, to organize the defence.. They beat Finland in Helsinki 1-0 last September 1-0 but scored the goal in the 86th minute and generated only a disappointing 0.44 in xG! Their defence is well organized but lacks speed and world-class skill. Germany's fast and creative offensive players should cause Denmark a lot of problems here. In their last game Denmark played a goalless draw against Serbia as solid favourites, priced around 2.30 to win by the bookies. The ball possession in this surprisingly low-level game was almost 50-50% and the Danes generated marginally more in xG – 0.65-0.64 to be precise. Serbia, who needed a win, were disappointing in this game. Before this Denmark took a point from very lame England. It was a 1- draw but England generated more in xG – 0.93-0.69. Disappointing Englans, especially offensively, made Denmark look better than they actually are. In the opening round Denmark were priced around 1.70 to beat Slovenia and started the game well. Manchester United's Eriksen scored a fine goal in the 17th minute. In the 2nd half Denmark became too passive and Slovenia started to create some promising scoring chances.. Yes, Denmark generated a little more in xG but I was not impressed by them as a whole. Either team could easily have won this game..

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德国VS丹麦

在多特蒙德的信号伊杜纳公园，德国队和丹麦队在2024年欧洲杯季后赛1/8决赛中交锋。当然，风险是极高的。按照这次比赛的标准，我们可以期待一场比平均水平好得多的比赛。最重要的是，我们有很大的机会改善4/5的2024欧洲杯胜率。的确，在过去五年左右的时间里，很大一部分德国人对德国国家队(Die Mannschaft)并不太感兴趣。然而，今年情况有所改变，这主要得益于球队取得的好成绩和托尼·克罗斯重新加入国家队。现在在德国有一些关于这支球队的“炒作”，主场优势当然是巨大的!是的，德国，这个拥有世界上最好的足球文化之一和世界第三好的国内联赛的国家，近年来一直令人失望。这是不可否认的，这在德国(足球)媒体上已经公开讨论过了，尤其是在2022年世界杯之后。在2022年卡塔尔世界杯上，德国甚至没能进入季后赛。然而，他们在小组赛中也运气不佳。由于新冠肺炎危机而于2021年举行的2020年欧洲杯，对德国来说也是令人失望的。可以理解，这严重影响了他们在国际足联的排名!事实上，他们现在在这个排行榜上排名第16位。我会说7-8对他们来说是一个更现实的位置。另一方面，丹麦排在第21位。以我的专业意见，这有点太高了。丹麦在哥本哈根举行的多场比赛中受到本土球迷的鼓舞，在2021年举行的2020年欧洲杯上表现出色，尽管在对阵芬兰的首场比赛中失去了他们最重要的球员埃里克森。自那次比赛以来，他们一直在走下坡路，尤其是在进攻端，这是不可否认的。在2022年卡塔尔世界杯上，他们在对阵突尼斯的比赛中表现非常令人失望，特别是对阵澳大利亚的比赛中，他们没有进入季后赛。比赛结束后，他们受到了严厉的批评，尤其是丹麦足球媒体。我很惊讶他们能在这次比赛中进入前8名。德国人在90分钟的比赛中完成任务的赔率约为1.65。我们将热切地把赌注押在主办国身上!我们有66%的机会再一次获胜!

德国队有相当多的天才球员。他们还有像34岁的托尼·克罗斯这样的传奇人物，几周前他刚刚随皇马赢得了欧冠冠军!他的领导能力和传球技术都是世界级的!他的传球成功率非常高，尤其是对阵苏格兰和匈牙利时。托尼将在2024年欧洲杯后退役，这对我们的足球爱好者和赌徒来说是一个巨大的遗憾。德国队的阵容比丹麦队要深得多。是的，J. Tah因为黄牌太多而缺席，这在某种程度上确实影响了德国队获胜的机会，但很可能博彩公司对他的缺席反应过度了。另一名后卫，a .鲁迪格，由于腿筋轻微受伤，也有疑问，但根据最新的报道，他有望上场。当然，我在估计概率的时候已经把他的情况考虑进去了。至于丹麦，里斯本竞技的赫尔曼德因黄牌过多而缺阵。德国队在过去的七场比赛中没有输过一场，赢了其中的五场。在上一场比赛中，他们面对的是一支危险的球队，瑞士队，最终以1比1战平。德国队在这场比赛中没有发挥出最佳状态，瑞士队的表现略高于正常水平。德国队只需要一分就能赢得小组冠军，这对比赛的影响可能超出了许多球迷和娱乐博彩人士的预期。即便如此，德国队的控球率为62%，并且有更多的进球次数(18-4)、射偏(10-1)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。预期进球数(xG)为1.64-0.67，对德国队有利。我不会给这个游戏太多的强调。瑞士队有时相当积极的打法给德国队带来了一些麻烦。然而，丹麦队的球员既不是最快的，也不是身体健康的，他们不太可能以这种方式比赛。在第二轮比赛中，德国队以2比0轻松击败匈牙利队。在第67分钟京多安2-0进球后，他们似乎并不渴望更多的进球。在首轮比赛中，德国队以5-1大胜苏格兰队，占据绝对优势。苏格兰唯一的进球是A.鲁迪格的乌龙球。是的，苏格兰的波蒂厄斯在第44分钟被红牌罚下，但此时德国3-0领先，并且完全控制了球场!令人惊讶的是，苏格兰在这场比赛中几乎没有打出任何xG !不，苏格兰不是

一支顶级球队，但在本届锦标赛中仍然不是排名最低的球队。他们还参加了2020年欧洲杯。德国队的控球率接近70%，进球次数(20胜1负)、射偏(10胜0负)、角球次数(5胜0负)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数(63胜8负)以及危险进攻的记录也要多得多。

在比赛开始前，德国队在主场2-1击败了希腊队，尽管他们还远未达到最佳状态。他们显然是想避免受伤和过度疲劳。另一方面，希腊人比我想象的更有活力和动力。在此之前，德国队在主场与乌克兰踢了一场0比0的平局。乌克兰是一支比希腊强得多的球队，他们有资格参加2024年欧洲杯，但尽管拿到了4分，却未能进入季后赛。几天前他们有机会击败比利时队，但那是一场0比0的平局。如果赢了比利时，乌克兰就可以小组头名了。在这场比赛中，德国队的控球率为57%，并且有更多的进球尝试(25-7)、射正、射偏(13-3)、角球(11-2)、总传球、完成传球、进攻和特别是危险进攻——98-18。然而，乌克兰打得很好，也有一些运气避免了失败。在与乌克兰打平之前，德国击败了两大足球强国——准确地说是法国和荷兰!让我们记住，荷兰队，一支相当不稳定的球队，在2022年世界杯上非常接近击败最终的冠军阿根廷队!然而，德国在主场以2比1击败了他们，并且记录了更多的进球次数(11比7)、射门次数、角球次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数、尤其是危险进攻次数(65比14)。预期目标(xG)值为1.24-0.45。在此之前，德国队在里昂的里昂奥林匹克公园击败了法国队!我们不要忘记，拥有姆巴佩这样的超级巨星的法国队曾经非常接近世界杯冠军，而且就纯粹的水平而言，法国队是世界前三的国家!德国队的进球次数(15胜10负)、射门次数(6胜2负)、角球次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多!此外，预期目标(xG)数为0.68-1.21。德国人的表现真是太棒了，极大地增强了他们的信心。博彩公司将德国队赢得这场比赛的价格定在4.00左右，这反映了博彩市场上的持续低估。

丹麦队表现不错，但在本届比赛中没有给我留下深刻印象。是的，他们赢得了H组预选赛，但与排名很低(第57位)的斯洛文尼亚的积分相同。他们甚至在客场以2比3输给了哈萨克斯坦，以2比1击败了世界上最差的国家队之一圣马力诺!从2022年开始的大部分比赛中，丹麦队的进攻都不尽如人意。在圣马力诺，大多数博彩公司对丹麦的胜率定价为1.01(!)，但在xG中只产生了0.79 !丹麦队的进攻通常太慢，太容易预测，这使得一些非常有限的球队，比如我的祖国芬兰，也能组织防守。去年9月，他们在赫尔辛基以1-0击败芬兰，但在第86分钟打进一球，在xG比赛中只取得了令人失望的0.44分。他们的防守组织得很好，但缺乏速度和世界级的技术。德国快速而富有创造力的进攻球员在这里会给丹麦带来很多麻烦。在上一场比赛中，丹麦队0比0战平塞尔维亚队，被认为是夺冠热门，博彩公司开出的赔率在2.30左右。在这场令人惊讶的低水平比赛中，控球率几乎是50% -50%，丹麦人在xG的控球率略高，准确地说是0.65-0.64。需要一场胜利的塞尔维亚队在这场比赛中表现令人失望。在此之前，丹麦从非常差劲的英格兰手里拿了一分。这是一场平局，但英格兰队在xG - 0.93-0.69的比赛中创造了更多的机会。令人失望的英格兰人，尤其是在进攻端，让丹麦看起来比实际更好。在首轮比赛中，丹麦以1.70英镑的价格击败斯洛文尼亚，开局不错。曼联的埃里克森在第17分钟打进了一个漂亮的进球。下半场丹麦变得过于被动，斯洛文尼亚开始创造一些有希望的得分机会。是的，丹麦在xG中产生了一些，但我对他们的整体印象并不深刻。任何一个队都可以轻松赢得这场比赛。