The Euro 2024 TOP 16 round is here! On Saturday, the first two games will be played and the first game is going to happen between Switzerland and Italy. In this duel, I predict that Switzerland won't lose during the regular time.

So far in this tournament, Switzerland hasn't lost a single game. They started the tournament with a win against Hungary, it was followed by a draw against Scotland and in the last round, they drew against Germany after conceding in the 92nd minute. If they had won, Switzerland would have won Group A. Switzerland played well overall, the only exception would be against Scotland when they weren't able to win. Switzerland scored a total of 5 goals in the group and conceded 3. During the group stage, Switzerland has created an xG of 4.10 while the xGA is 3.37.

The defending Euro champs Italy didn't play very well in the group stage. Yes, they made a quick comeback and beat Albania. After that, they looked very poorly against Spain, they had only 4 shots against 20, and 1 shot on target against 9. While they lost only 0:1, the difference should have been bigger. In the last group game, Italy was close to getting the 3rd place. The referee made an interesting decision and gave a stoppage time of 8 minutes and the Italians scored in the 98th minute, which tied the game and allowed them to get 2nd place and send Croatia home. Italy has 3 goals and 3 conceded goals so far, they have created an xG of 2.62 and xGA of 4.01.

I'm backing Switzerland in this game. Italy doesn't have the same roster as in 2021 and they haven't played very well. We can label Switzerland as the dark horse, they have good players and a system that works. Yes, they drew against Scotland but Italy looked worse and they were lucky to get the 2nd place. As we can see, Switzerland also has the xG and xGA advantage.

2024年欧洲杯16强比赛开始了!周六，前两场比赛将进行，第一场比赛将在瑞士和意大利之间进行。在这场决斗中，我预测瑞士队在常规时间不会输。

到目前为止，瑞士队还没有输过一场比赛。他们以战胜匈牙利开场，随后战平苏格兰，在最后一轮比赛中，他们在第92分钟失球后战平德国。如果他们赢了，瑞士队就会在a组出线。瑞士整体表现很好，唯一的例外是对阵苏格兰，当时他们没能赢。瑞士队在小组赛中共进5球，失3球。在小组赛阶段，瑞士的xG值为4.10,xGA值为3.37。

欧洲杯卫冕冠军意大利队在小组赛中表现不佳。是的，他们迅速逆转并击败了阿尔巴尼亚。在那之后，他们在对阵西班牙的比赛中表现非常糟糕，对阵20人的比赛中只有4次射门，对阵9人的比赛中只有1次射正。虽然他们只输了0:1，但差距应该更大。在上一场小组赛中，意大利队差一点获得第三名。裁判做出了一个有趣的判罚，将补时时间延长至8分钟，意大利人在第98分钟进球，将比分扳平，获得第二名，将克罗地亚送回家。意大利目前有3个进球和3个失球，他们创造了2.62的xG和4.01的xGA。

我在这场比赛中支持瑞士。意大利队的阵容和2021年不一样，他们踢得也不太好。我们可以给瑞士贴上黑马的标签，他们有优秀的球员和行之有效的体系。是的，他们战平了苏格兰，但意大利看起来更糟糕，他们很幸运地获得了第二名。我们可以看到，瑞士也有xG和xGA的优势。