In my opinion Kristiansund has a really good chance to make at least one point in this game.

Kristiansund have big mental advantage before today's match as they didn't lost against Odd in the last 5 consecutive matches.

For me odds on hosts are simply too low. Odd in current season failed to win in 5 of the 6 matches in front of their home crowd. They conceded 14 goals in the process.

Both teams with 13 points after 12 rounds, but without any shadow of doubt, Kristiansund looked much better so far.

According to the expected goals scored model, Odd have the worst offensive formation in a whole league. In 12 matches they recorded only 12.5 expected goals (scored 12). According to the same model, Kristiansund offensive formation is top4 in league. 17.6 expected goals scored in 12 rounds.

Guests also looking better at the back. Only one team conceded more goals than Odd in current season. In addition to that, according to the expected goals conceded model hosts defensive formation is the worst in Eliteserien. They conceded 22 goals, but they should concede even more (23.1).

In those circumstances I see excellent value on the away side here.

在我看来，克里斯蒂安桑德有一个很好的机会在这场比赛中至少得一分。

克里斯蒂安桑德在今天的比赛前有很大的心理优势，因为他们在最近的5场比赛中没有输过奥德。

对我来说，东道主的几率太低了。本赛季奇数队在主场的6场比赛中有5场没有获胜。在这个过程中他们丢了14个球。

两队在12轮比赛后都得到了13分，但毫无疑问，克里斯蒂安桑德到目前为止看起来要好得多。

根据预期进球模型，Odd的进攻阵型在整个联赛中是最差的。在12场比赛中，他们只打进了12.5个预期进球(进了12个)。按照同样的模型，克里斯蒂安桑德的进攻阵型在联赛中排名前4。12轮比赛17.6个预期进球。

客人从后面看也比较好看。本赛季只有一支球队丢的球比Odd多。除此之外，按照预期失球模型东道主的防守阵型是精英队中最差的。他们丢了22个球，但他们应该丢得更多(23.1个)。

在这种情况下，我在客场看到了极好的价值。