Odd Grenland VS Kristiansund BK

Odd and Kristiansund lock horns in this Norwegian Eliteserien round 12 battle at Skagerak Arena in Skien very early Saturday morning Beijing time. A match of lower than average quality by this league's standards is on the cards here. Most importantly, us serious, profit-hungry bettors have yet another very interesting betting opportunity to go for the 5th winner in a row here! Kristiansund were promoted from the OBOS-Ligaen to this level for this season. Kristiansund finished only in 4th place in the 2nd tier last season and had some luck in the process of being promoted! They have played a bit better than I expected in my in-depth preseason analysis. However, many of their players have played above their normal level so far this season. This is unlikely to keep happening for much longer.. They lack quality in all areas of the game to challenge for a top-8 place. They have scored 17 goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is only 14.46. Their defence has not been great – they have allowed 20 goals. Their defensive structure is not great and their defenders make a lot of silly mistakes. Furthermore, their midfielders should be more active in defending.. Indeed, Kristiansund have conceded 20 goals and I do not see them having potential for improvement in this area of the game. They are currently in 11th place with 13 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) is only 11.23. Away from home they are often pretty passive which usually results in (too) big pressure on their defence – in the last 30 minutes at the latest. They have lost four of their six away games in this league. Moreover, they have lost six away games in a row now! With the expected lineups the hosts have a 55% chance of taking all three points. Odds of around 2.05 are widely available on the betting market at the time of writing this preview. The main rationale behind this pick is to oppose the overvalued Kristiansund. The hosts are - similarly to many other games this season -  only moderately undervalued by the bookies. I expect the visitors to find themselves in the battle against relegation at the end of the season.. I do not trust their head coach either in terms of tactical skills or as a leader.

Odds have been a slight disappointment this season. They are in 13th place with 13 points but as my fans know I do not let the standings fool me. They finished in 10th place last season with 38 points and can improve in all areas of the game! They have netted the ball 12 times but their xG is 17.11. They have conceded 22 goals and their defensive structure has not been that great but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is "only" 18.11. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the hosts are the bigger team here. Indeed, the Odd squad has an estimated market value of some 12 million euros which is too low! Some 14.50 million would be a more realistic number. The Kristiansund squad, on the other hand, is valued at a total of about eight million which is more or less correct. This is a low number by this league's standards.. In their last competitive game Odd were priced around 5.00 on the road against Stromsgodset. The xG numbers were 1.12-1.10. However, Odd had more goal attempts and shots on goal – 4-2 to be precise. Before this Odd were the underdogs on the betting market at home against Lillestrom but took a fine 2-1! They had more goal attempts, shots on target and shots off target. They also generated more in xG -1.95-1.12. In round 9 Odd faced KFUM Oslo on the road and now goals were scored. Odds were priced close to 5.00 to win the game by the bookies but recorded more shots on goal and shots off goal. The hosts had one more goal attempt though. The xG numbers were very balanced - 0.67-0.64 to be precise.

Kristiansund were crushed by Brann in their last game. Indeed, Brann - according to reports -  took an impressive home win in this friendly game.5-0 was the final score. I was not able to watch this game but reportedly Kristiansund were horribly disorganized in defence and looked lazy on the pitch.  Before this Kristiansund beat the disappointing Sarpsborg 3-1 at home. The visitors are in 15th place in this league with a total of 16 clubs. Yes, having generated a high xG number Kristiansund deserved to win but I want to highlight that the ball possession was 49-51% and the visitors had more goal attempts (16-8), shots on goal (6-3) and shots off target.. I also want to mention that Kristiansund played above their normal level in this game. Sarpsborg's defence, on the other hand, looked very amateurish! On the 29th of May Kristiansund lost to Brann only 1-2 despite playing above their normal level - especially in terms of defence. The Brann offense was oddly lame in this game but they still deserved to win. It somehow seemed as if Brann expected an easy win and looked a bit lazy on the pitch, not fighting hard for every loose ball and  trying to shoot the ball when the xG was (too) low. They also gave many poor passes near the visitors' goal.. Kristiansund had only one shot on goal in this match! Moreover, Brann recorded 13 goal attempts, Kristiansund's number was only two..

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奇格兰VS克里斯蒂安桑德BK

北京时间周六凌晨，奥奇和克里斯蒂安桑德将在挪威精英队第12轮比赛中在斯卡格拉克竞技场上展开较量。按照这个联盟的标准，一场低于平均水平的比赛是有可能的。最重要的是，我们这些认真的，渴望利润的投注者还有另一个非常有趣的投注机会，可以在这里连续第五次获胜!克里斯蒂安松本赛季从OBOS-Ligaen升入这个级别。上赛季，克里斯蒂安桑德仅在第二梯队中排名第四，在升级的过程中运气不错!他们的表现比我在季前赛的深入分析中预期的要好一些。然而，本赛季到目前为止，他们中的许多球员的表现都超出了正常水平。这种情况不太可能持续太久。他们在比赛的各个方面都缺乏实力来挑战前8名的位置。虽然打进17球，但预期进球(xG)只有14.46个。他们的防守不是很好，他们丢了20个球。他们的防守结构不是很好，他们的后卫犯了很多愚蠢的错误。此外，他们的中场应该更积极地防守。事实上，克里斯蒂安桑德已经丢了20个球，我不认为他们在这方面有任何改进的潜力。虽然目前以13分排名第11位，但期望分数(xPTS)只有11.23分。在客场，他们通常很被动，这通常会给他们的防守带来太大的压力——最迟在最后30分钟。他们在这个联赛的六场客场比赛中输了四场。而且，他们已经连续输掉了6场客场比赛!根据预期的阵容，东道主有55%的机会拿到全部三分。在撰写本预告时，在博彩市场上可以广泛获得约2.05的赔率。这一选择背后的主要理由是反对被高估的克里斯蒂安桑德。与本赛季的许多其他比赛一样，博彩公司只是适度低估了东道主的价值。我预计客队将在赛季末陷入保级之战。我不相信他们的主教练，无论是战术技巧还是领导能力。

本赛季的赔率有点令人失望。他们以13分排在第13位，但正如我的粉丝所知道的，我不会让排名欺骗我。他们上赛季以38分排名第10，在比赛的各个方面都可以提高!他们有12次进球，但他们的xG值是17.11。他们丢了22个球，他们的防守结构也不是很好，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)“只有”18.11。根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com，东道主在这里是更大的球队。事实上，奇数队的市场价值估计在1200万欧元左右，这太低了!大约1 450万是比较实际的数字。另一方面，克里斯蒂安松队的总价约为800万英镑，这或多或少是正确的。以联盟的标准来看，这是一个很低的数字。在他们的最后一场比赛中，Odd在客场对阵Stromsgodset的比赛中被定价在5.00左右。xG值为1.12 ~ 1.10。然而，奥德有更多的进球尝试和射门——准确地说是4比2。在此之前，奇数队在主场对阵利勒斯特罗姆的比赛中处于劣势，但以2比1的比分赢了一场!他们有更多的进球尝试，射正和射偏。它们在xG -1.95-1.12中也产生了更多。在第9轮，Odd客场对阵KFUM Oslo，现在他们已经进球了。博彩公司对这场比赛的赔率接近5.00，但记录了更多的射门和射门。主队还有一次进球的机会。xG值非常平衡——确切地说是0.67-0.64。

克里斯蒂安松在上一场比赛中被布兰恩彻底击败。事实上，据报道，布兰恩在这场友谊赛中取得了令人印象深刻的主场胜利。5比0是最后的比分。我没能看这场比赛，但据报道，克里斯蒂安松的防守非常混乱，在球场上看起来很懒。在此之前，克里斯蒂安桑德主场3-1击败了令人失望的萨尔普斯堡。客队在这个联赛中排名第15位，总共有16家俱乐部。是的，克里斯蒂安松的xG值很高，应该赢，但我想强调的是，控球率是49比51%，客队有更多的进球尝试(16比8)，射正(6比3)和射偏。我还想提一下，克里斯蒂安桑德在这场比赛中的表现超出了他们的正常水平。另一方面，萨尔普斯堡的防守看起来非常业余!5月29日，克里斯蒂安松了

以1比2输给了布兰恩，尽管他们的表现超出了正常水平——尤其是在防守方面。湖人的进攻在这场比赛中表现得很差劲，但他们仍然值得赢得比赛。不知何故，布兰恩似乎希望轻松取胜，在球场上显得有些懒散，没有努力争取每一个松散的球，并且在xG(太)低的时候试图射门。他们在客队球门附近的传球也很糟糕。在这场比赛中，克里斯蒂安桑德只有一次射门!此外，布兰恩有13次射门，而克里斯蒂安松只有2次。