In my opinion Molde has a bigger chance to win than bookies want to suggest for us based on their odds.

Molde in previous season lost twice against Tromso. Now they have big motivation to revenge. In overall their record against today's opponents is solid - 16 wins in last 26 matches between both teams.

Both teams going in totally different direction in current season - Molde is in top4, Tromso is in the bottom 3 of the table. Difference should be also visible on the pitch.

I believe main difference between both teams in today's game will be offensive formation. Molde offensive formation working on very high level - #1 in goals scored, #1 in shots on target per game. They scored more than one goal in last 7 consecutive matches in all competitions. Their top offensive players from current campaign are available today so they have all the required tools to extend that hot streak. Tromso conceded more than one goal in 3 of the last 5 matches.

On the other hand, Tromso in their last match looked toothless. They scored one goal, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 0.65. Today they are without striker Erlien. It's huge blow as he is second best scorer and second best team assistant. I don't see easy goals for hosts. Molde have second-best defensive formation in a whole league in away matches. Only 5 goals conceded.

I see more than one goal for Molde here and that should be simply enough to make 3 points in this game.

在我看来，莫尔德获胜的机会比博彩公司根据他们的赔率给我们的建议要大。

莫尔德在上个赛季两次输给特罗姆瑟。现在他们有了很大的报复动机。总的来说，他们对今天对手的战绩是稳定的——两队在过去26场比赛中取得了16场胜利。

这两支球队在本赛季的发展方向完全不同——莫尔德在积分榜上排名前四，而特罗姆瑟在积分榜上排名倒数第三。在球场上也能看到不同。

我相信两队在今天比赛中的主要区别在于进攻阵型。莫尔德的进攻阵型工作水平非常高——进球数第一，场均射正数第一。他们在各项赛事中连续7场打进1球以上。他们当前赛季的顶级进攻球员今天可以上场，所以他们有所有必要的工具来延续连胜。在过去的5场比赛中，特罗姆瑟有3场失球超过1球。

另一方面，在上一场比赛中，特罗姆瑟看起来毫无实力。他们进了一个球，但根据预期进球得分模型，他们应该得0.65分。今天他们失去了前锋欧文。这是一个巨大的打击，因为他是第二好的得分手和第二好的球队助理。我不认为东道主能轻易进球。莫尔德在客场比赛中拥有全联赛第二好的防守阵型。只丢了5个球。

我在这里看到莫尔德不止一个进球，这应该足以让他在这场比赛中得到3分。