A GREAT match to bet on! $$$ 欧洲杯 捷克VS土耳其
2024-06-27

Tapio

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Czechia VS Turkey


Czechia, formerly Czech Republic, and Turkey lock horns in this EURO 2024 group F game at Volksparkstadion in Hamburg early Thursday morning Beijing time. A match of slightly worse than average quality by this tournament's standards is expected here. Most importantly, we have yet another very interesting betting opportunity here! This is the last round of the group stage and the stakes are sky-high! Portugal have already won the group as they have beaten both Turkey and Czechia. Georgia are in 4th and last place at the moment - having taken just one point so far. Their score difference is -2. They will face Portugal in the last round and are of course huge underdogs even taking into account the fact that Portugal will probably rotate their squad heavily. However, they of course have a chance of winning and Turkey have to take this into account.. The two best teams from each group qualify for the Playoffs. In addition to these 6x2 - (there is a total of six groups) teams four best third-placed teams also qualify. Czechia have to win this game to qualify. The bookies are of course aware of this fact and it affects the odds here.. In my expert opinion Czechia should not be the favourites here! Indeed, in my expert opinion the bookmakers and recreational bettors give their "must win" factor too much emphasis!  We will take the Turkey +0.5 goals handicap option! Yes, Czechia are ranked better than Turkey in the FIFA Ranking - 34th versus Turkey's 42nd but this is incorrect and I will not be fooled by the ranking! Czechia should definitely not be ranked in the top-45! Turkey are, in all honesty, not great at defending and I do not believe they will simply try to defend a draw here.. They have much more individual skill than the Czechs! I recommend that my fans follow especially Arda Güler,19, closely. This super talent plays for Real Madrid! Of course late into the second half Turkey will avoid risks. Czechia have only one point to their account and have failed to impress me offensively.. They have scored only two goals so far.

Czechia faced Portugal in the first round and lost only 1-2. Portugal's F.Conceicao scored the winning goal in the 90th+2 minute. Even so, Portugal were the much better team on the pitch! Yes, their attacks were slightly too slow and predictable in the 1st half but they improved a lot in the 2nd half. They had a close to 70% ball possession and also recorded many more goal attempts (19-5), shots on target (8-1), corner kicks (13-0), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. The xG numbers - 1.89-0.21 - reflect the events on the pitch well. Indeed, Czechia were lame offensively, even taking into account the fact that Portugal are a strong team. However, the main reason behind the seemingly close game was Portugal's disappointing offense, not Czechia being particularly great.. Czechia did, however, defend well in the first half in this game. Defending and relying mainly on counter attacks, corner kicks, free kicks - or a possible penalty kick suits their style of play much better than being forced to be active and go for the win – as they will have to against Turkey! Against Georgia, one of the worst teams in this tournament, Czechia were priced around 1.75-1.80 to win by the bookies but played a disappointing 1-1 draw. They did generate much more in xG than Georgia though. Even so, in the injury time Georgia had a great chance to score a 2-1 goal! Czechia's important striker P. Schick, who plays for the German Bundesliga champions, Bayer Leverkusen, is questionable as he has been suffering from a calf injury.. Even if plays he is not expected to be at his best.. As for Turkey Bardakci is out due to two many yellow cards. Akaydin, Kahveci and Kokcu are questionable at the time of writing this analysis.

Turkey beat Georgia 3-1 in the opening round but failed to impress me. They had 52% ball possession and the expected goals (xG) numbers were 2.39-2.11.Turkey were very clear favourites in this game - priced around 1.65 to win on the betting market but were, in all honesty, a slight disappointment as a whole.. They can improve significantly. However, I want to highlight that Georgia played above their normal level in this match! Turkey lost to Portugal 0-3 and the Portuguese deserved the three points. However, Turkey had their chances in the 1st half and lost mainly due to silly defensive mistakes.. The 0-2 goal was an own goal by Akaydin..  he final score is very misleading! Portugal had only two more goal attempts than Turkey – 12-10. Both teams had three shots on target. Furthermore Turkey had many more corner kicks (9-1) as well as attacks -44-39. The xG numbers were "only" 0.83-1.75 in Portugal's favour.



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捷克VS土耳其


北京时间周四凌晨,2024年欧洲杯F组小组赛将在汉堡人民公园体育场举行。按照本届杯赛的标准,这场比赛的质量可能会略低于平均水平。最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有趣的投注机会!这是小组赛的最后一轮,赌注非常高!葡萄牙已经击败了土耳其和捷克,成为小组第一。格鲁吉亚目前排名第四,也是最后一名,到目前为止只拿到一分。他们的分数差是2分。他们将在最后一轮面对葡萄牙,即使考虑到葡萄牙可能会大量轮换阵容的事实,他们当然是巨大的劣势。然而,他们当然有获胜的机会,土耳其必须考虑到这一点。每组最好的两支球队有资格进入季后赛。除了这些6x2 -(共6个小组)的球队外,4支最好的第三名球队也有资格出线。捷克必须赢得这场比赛才能出线。博彩公司当然知道这个事实,这影响了赔率。在我的专家看来,捷克不应该是最受欢迎的!的确,在我的专家意见中,博彩公司和娱乐投注者过于强调他们的“必胜”因素!我们将采取土耳其+0.5个进球障碍选项!是的,在国际足联排名中,捷克比土耳其排名更高——第34位对第42位,但这是不正确的,我不会被排名所愚弄!捷克绝对不应该排在前45名!老实说,土耳其的防守能力并不强,我不相信他们会在平局时防守。他们的个人技术比捷克人强多了!我建议我的粉丝们密切关注,尤其是19岁的Arda g<e:1> ler。这位超级天才为皇马效力!当然,进入下半年,土耳其将避免风险。捷克队只拿到一分,进攻端没能给我留下好印象。到目前为止,他们只进了两个球。

捷克在第一轮面对葡萄牙,只输了1-2。葡萄牙的孔塞西乔在第90 +2分钟打进致胜一球。即便如此,葡萄牙队在球场上的表现要好得多!是的,他们的进攻在上半场有点太慢,但他们在下半场进步了很多。他们的控球率接近70%,并且有更多的进球尝试(19-5)、射正(8-1)、角球(13-0)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。xG数字——1.89-0.21——很好地反映了球场上发生的事情。事实上,即使考虑到葡萄牙队是一支强队,捷克队的进攻也很差劲。然而,这场看似接近的比赛背后的主要原因是葡萄牙队令人失望的进攻,而不是捷克队特别出色。然而,在这场比赛中,捷克在上半场的防守做得很好。防守和主要依靠反击,角球,任意球-或者可能的点球-比被迫积极主动争取胜利更适合他们的比赛风格-因为他们将不得不对阵土耳其!对阵本届杯赛表现最差的球队之一格鲁吉亚队时,博彩公司对捷克队的赔率设定在1.75比1.80左右,但结果是令人失望的1比1战平。不过他们在xG的产量确实比格鲁吉亚高得多。即便如此,在伤停补时阶段,格鲁吉亚队还是有很好的机会以2比1的比分破门!效力于德甲冠军勒沃库森的捷克重要前锋p·希克因小腿受伤而备受质疑。即使上场,也不能指望他能达到最佳状态。至于土耳其,巴尔达克奇因两张黄牌而缺阵。在写这篇分析的时候,Akaydin, Kahveci和Kokcu是值得怀疑的。

土耳其在首轮以3-1击败格鲁吉亚,但没能打动我。他们有52%的控球率,预期进球数为2.39-2.11。土耳其在这场比赛中是非常明显的热门-在博彩市场上的价格约为1.65,但说实话,整体上有点令人失望……他们可以显著改善。然而,我想强调的是,格鲁吉亚队在这场比赛中的表现超出了他们的正常水平!土耳其0-3不敌葡萄牙,葡萄牙人理应得到三分。然而,土耳其在上半场有机会,输球主要是由于愚蠢的防守失误。0:2的进球是阿卡丁的乌龙球。他的最终得分很容易误导人!葡萄牙的进球次数只比土耳其多2次——12胜10负。两队都有三次射正。此外,土耳其有更多的角球(9胜1负)和进攻(44胜39负)。x

对葡萄牙有利的G值“仅”为0.83-1.75。

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