On Wednesday night, the last games in the Euro 2024 group stage will happen and one of the games will be between Ukraine and Belgium. After 2 rounds, Ukraine has 3 points and the 4th place in the group while Belgium has 3 points and 2nd place. In this game, I predict Belgium's win.
Ukraine started the tournament with a big loss to Romania 0:3 and that was followed by 2:1 won over Slovakia. That win wasn't easy because Ukraine was down 0:1 and they scored the winning goal just in the 80th minute. Despite 3 points, Ukraine is in the last position because all 4 Group E teams have 4 points. Ukraine can't have a draw because they have a negative goal difference and that won't help them. There's a chance that they can qualify with a draw but that would depend on what is happening in the second group game. Ukraine struggles on offense as they have the 9th-lowest generated xG (2.25) but they have the 8th-best xGA (2.07).
Belgium somehow lost to Slovakia in the first game and they beat Romania in the 2nd. Belgium is a very talented team on offense but so far Romelu Lukaku hasn't scored a single goal despite many goal-scoring chances. He has generated an xG of 1.25 this tournament with 5 shots on target, and that is the 7th-best rating in this tournament. Belgium has generated the 9th-best xG in the tournament (3.46) and they have the 4th-lowest xGA (1.80).
This is a crucial game for both teams but I'm going with Belgium. Ukraine has conceded in both games but Belgium is the best team they are going to play against. Romelu Lukaku will be eager to score, and the Ukrainians haven't been the best on defense. Not qualifying for the TOP 16 would be a disaster for Belgium and their loss to Slovakia was more an unlucky incident.
周三晚上,2024年欧洲杯小组赛的最后一场比赛将进行,其中一场比赛将在乌克兰和比利时之间进行。两轮过后,乌克兰积3分小组第4,比利时积3分小组第2。在这场比赛中,我预测比利时队会赢。
乌克兰以0:3大败罗马尼亚,之后又以2:1大胜斯洛伐克。那场胜利并不容易,因为乌克兰0比1落后,他们在第80分钟就打进了制胜球。尽管积了3分,乌克兰仍然排在最后,因为E组的4支球队都积了4分。乌克兰无法取得平局,因为他们的净胜球是负值,这对他们没有帮助。他们有可能以平局出线,但这将取决于第二场小组赛的情况。乌克兰在进攻端表现不佳,他们的平均进球数(2.25)排在倒数第九,但平均进球数(2.07)却排在第八。
比利时莫名其妙地在第一场比赛中输给了斯洛伐克,在第二场比赛中战胜了罗马尼亚。比利时队在进攻端是一支非常有天赋的球队,但迄今为止,卢卡库尽管有很多进球机会,但还没有进一球。他在本届锦标赛中创造了1.25的xG,有5次射门正射,这是本届锦标赛第七好的评分。比利时队的xG得分为3.46,排名第九,xGA得分为1.80,排名第四。
这场比赛对两支球队来说都很关键,但我还是支持比利时。乌克兰在两场比赛中都有失球,但比利时是他们将要面对的最好的球队。罗梅卢·卢卡库渴望进球,乌克兰人的防守也不是最好的。无缘16强对比利时来说是一场灾难,而输给斯洛伐克则更像是一个不幸的事件。