In my opinion Austria has a bigger chance in this game than bookies want to suggest based on their odds.
Netherlands needs only one point to get qualification into next round so this is good for our bet. If there will be draw at the end of the match, they will not push for the win.
I'm not convinced by Netherlands performance so far. They won 2:1 against Poland by late goal, but they wasn't able to dominate opposition: expected goals scored for Netherlands 1.46, for Poland 1.32. Poland looks like the worst team in a whole competition. In second match Netherlands recorded 0:0 draw against France, but that wasn't deserved result at all: expected goals scored for France 1.43, for Netherlands 0.47.
On the other hand, Austria with Ralph Rangnick on the bench is extremely solid and consistency team. In opening match they lost against strong France 0:1 by own goal, but they looked good in the middle zone (finished with higher ball possession). In second match Austria completely outplayed Poland and recorded fully deserved 3:1 win. Team confidence is on very high level and will be very hard to stop them.
Since November 2022, Austria played 18 matches in all competitions and lost only twice - against Belgium and France. I believe they have all the required tools to stop also Netherlands today.
在我看来,奥地利在这场比赛中有更大的机会,而不是博彩公司根据他们的赔率给出的建议。
荷兰队只需要一分就能晋级下一轮,所以这对我们的赌注是有利的。如果比赛结束时打成平局,他们将不会争取胜利。
到目前为止,我对荷兰队的表现并不满意。他们在最后时刻以2:1战胜波兰,但他们没能控制对手:荷兰队的预期进球数为1.46,波兰队为1.32。波兰队看起来是整个比赛中最差的球队。在第二场比赛中,荷兰队以0:0战平法国队,但这个结果根本不值得:法国队的预期进球数为1.43,荷兰队为0.47。
另一方面,奥地利在板凳席上有拉尔夫·兰尼克,是一支非常稳固和稳定的球队。在首场比赛中,他们因乌龙球0:1输给了强大的法国队,但他们在中区表现不错(以更高的控球率结束)。在第二场比赛中,奥地利以3:1完胜波兰。球队的信心处于非常高的水平,很难阻止他们。
自2022年11月以来,奥地利在各项赛事中打了18场比赛,只输了两场——对阵比利时和法国。我相信他们今天拥有阻止荷兰的所有必要工具。