Croatia and Italy meet in Leipzig in a game that will decide who goes to the second stage of EURO 2024. A point is enough for Italy, while Croatia must win. Croatia is definitely the biggest disappointment of this tournament. A convincing defeat against Spain in the first round, and then only a point against Albania in the second. The 2018 world runners-up failed completely. They played very badly in both matches and it seems that this selection has passed its zenith and changes and refreshments are needed in the playing staff. Croatia is in a difficult situation before the last round. If they do not win, they will be eliminated. Even a draw might not be enough for third place, and even if they did, they would hardly go any further with two points. The victory will certainly bring them at least third place, and if Albania does not win, it can also bring them second place. Croatia has a lot to hope for against Italy, but they have to improve their game considerably because with such editions from the first two meetings, they can hardly expect success. As much as they have good results at the World Championships, they fail as much at the European Championships. In the previous two, they passed the group, but were immediately eliminated in the round of 16. Italy started with a victory against Albania, but after that came a defeat against Spain and a complicated situation. Italy has many options before the last round, but according to the most acceptable one for them, a point against Croatia is enough for them to confirm the second place. We all know how the Italians can play when they need a result, and that's why we shouldn't expect them to play particularly offensively in this match. Italy struggled offensively against Spain with just four shots on goal. In the last five competitive matches, Italy has only two wins, two losses and one draw. This is their second meeting in the last three in which they have not scored a goal. The stake in this match is huge, the place in the round of 16 is at stake. Italy needs a point, Croatia needs a win. I expect a tough match, the Italians are masters in slowing down the rhythm and playing when they have to avoid defeat.

克罗地亚和意大利将在莱比锡相遇，这场比赛将决定谁将进入2024年欧洲杯第二阶段。一分对意大利来说就足够了，而克罗地亚必须获胜。克罗地亚队绝对是本届世界杯最令人失望的球队。第一轮惨败西班牙，第二轮惨败阿尔巴尼亚，仅得1分。2018年世界亚军完全失败了。他们在两场比赛中都打得很糟糕，看来这届阵容已经过了顶峰，需要对球员班子进行调整和补充。克罗地亚在最后一轮前处境艰难。如果他们赢不了，就会被淘汰。即使一场平局也不足以获得第三名，即使他们做到了，他们也很难在两分的情况下走得更远。这场胜利肯定会让他们至少获得第三名，如果阿尔巴尼亚不能获胜，他们也可能获得第二名。克罗地亚对意大利有很大的希望，但他们必须大大提高自己的比赛水平，因为从前两次相遇的情况来看，他们很难期待成功。尽管他们在世界锦标赛上取得了好成绩，但他们在欧洲锦标赛上也同样失败。在前两场比赛中，他们都是小组出线，但很快就被淘汰出16强。意大利以战胜阿尔巴尼亚开场，但在那之后又输给了西班牙，情况变得复杂起来。在最后一轮之前，意大利有很多选择，但根据他们最接受的选择，对阵克罗地亚的一分足以让他们确定第二名的位置。我们都知道意大利人在需要一个结果的时候是怎么踢的，这就是为什么我们不应该期望他们在这场比赛中踢得特别有攻击性。意大利在对阵西班牙的比赛中进攻乏力，仅有4次射门。在最近的5场正式比赛中，意大利只取得了2胜2负1平的成绩。这是他们在最近三场比赛中第二次没有进球。这场比赛事关重大，能否进入16强关系重大。意大利需要一分，克罗地亚需要一场胜利。我预计这将是一场艰苦的比赛，意大利人在放慢节奏和避免失败方面是大师。