France vs Poland

France and Poland lock horns in this EURO 2024 Group D third round game Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a clash of mediocre quality by this tournament's quality here. However, we have a very lucrative betting opportunity here! We have won seven of the last 10 picks betting on EURO tournaments – taking into account the EURO 2020 as well. Poland have been dropping in the FIFA ranking in recent years. Indeed, they are now in 28th place in this ranking. I would say that 35-37th would be a more realistic ranking. France, on the other hand, are a top-2 country in the world not judging by the best possible starting eleven but also the substitute players into account. There is very little between Argentina and France in my expert opinion. Brazil are in 3rd place in this rating. Kylian Mbappe's situation is questionable at the time of writing this analysis as he is suffering from a nose injury that he received in the opening round against Austria. However, he played, wearing a mask, against Paderborn under 21 team a few days ago. According to reports he scored two goals and assisted two goals. I was not able to watch this game though. The most probable scenario here is that Mbappe will play, but not for the full 90 minutes. Yes, he is one of the best players in the planet but France should have enough firepower to defeat Poland even without Mbappe. Strikers Thuram, Kolo-Muani and Giroud are not world-class class strikers but are still very capable forwards! If Mbappe is put Griezzmann will probably play in a slightly more offensive role than when Mbappe on the pitch. France have taken four points and have a lot to play for! Netherlands, too, have four points to their account. If points are tied at the end of the competition, head-to-head matches will be the tie-breaker. France and Netherlands have the score difference which will be the deciding factor as the two teams played a goalless draw. Austria have grabbed three points and could also win the group. Finishing in 1st place would be very important as it would most probably guarantee an easier opponent in the Play Offs.. Poland, on the other hand, have nothing left to play.. They have lost both games so far and have a score difference of 2:5. We will take the France -1.5 goals handicap option with a 58-61% chance of winning - depending on Mbappe's situation.. France should be motivated to score many goals and even if they do not have to, Poland might not be 100% motivated here which can result in lazy defending..

In their last game Poland lost to Netherlands 1-2. The Dutch had 65% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots off goal (13-3), corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous passes. The expected goals (xG) numbers were 0.87-1.83 in Netherlands' favour. In the second round Poland lost to Austria 1-3 after an entertaining game. The Austrians deserved the three points. Poland's Lewandowski, who plays in Barcelona, has been an extremely important – player for Poland over 10 years. I would say Poland have depended too much on him. Even with "Lewa" Poland's offense has been poor for a country who even played in the World Cup in Qatar 2022. They were lucky in the group stage and qualified for the Playoffs where they got crushed by Mbappe's France . He has been suffering from an injury and the bookies, of course, understand that this hurts Poland's chances- However, it seems that they have failed to give enough emphasis to his absence/ not been 100% fit. His situation is questionable here. Against Austria he entered the pitch in the 60th minute. He will probably play here – but probably not for the full 90 minutes. France comfortably beat Austria 1-0 in the opening round. Yes, the final score was not very clear but France generated 2.21 in xG – Austria managed only 0.55. France often do only what is necessary to win and this was the case in this match. I also need to mention that Austria, the big underdogs, also played pretty well in this game. Against the Netherlands, France were the better team on the pitch, even without Mbappe. He recorded many more goal attempts (16-8), shots off target (8-0), corner kicks (6-3), total passes, completed passes, attacks as well as dangerous attacks. The xG number were 1.49-0.34 in France's favour,

Poland and France last locked horns on the 4th of December 2022 in the World Cup in Qatar. France were dominant in this match, winning 3-1. The squads have not changed a lot since then.. France were dominant in the Qualification Group B – winning it with 22 points. Their score difference was amazing – 29-3! Poland were lame in the Qualification Group E, ending up in 3rd place with only 11 points in their pocket. They beat Wales in the Qualification Promotion Final on the road 1-0 after penalties. Rather amazingly, they failed to record a single shot on target and did not deserve the win! The xG numbers were 1.03-0.43. . Before this they crushed Estonia, a very lowly team, 5-1 at home. It was an EURO 2024 Qualification Promotion Semifinal battle. Estonia's M. Paskotsi was sent off in the 27th minute which affected the match a lot! The score was still 1-0 at this point.. The xG numbers were 2.44-0.16.

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法国vs波兰

在多特蒙德举行的2024年欧洲杯D组第三轮比赛中，法国队和波兰队将在信号伊杜纳公园展开较量。足球迷和我们这些严肃的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场平庸的比赛。然而，我们有一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我们在过去10次欧洲杯投注中赢得了7次——包括2020年欧洲杯在内。近年来，波兰在国际足联的排名一直在下降。事实上，他们现在在这个排行榜上排名第28位。我会说35-37是一个更现实的排名。另一方面，法国是世界排名前二的国家，不是从最好的11名首发球员来看，也包括替补球员。在我看来，阿根廷和法国之间的差距很小。巴西排名第三。在写这篇分析的时候，姆巴佩的情况值得怀疑，因为他在首轮对阵奥地利的比赛中鼻子受伤了。然而，几天前，他戴着面具参加了对阵帕德伯恩21岁以下青年队的比赛。据报道，他进了两个球，助攻了两个球。不过我没能看这场比赛。最有可能的情况是姆巴佩会上场，但不会打满90分钟。是的，他是这个星球上最好的球员之一，但即使没有姆巴佩，法国也应该有足够的火力击败波兰。前锋图拉姆、科洛-穆阿尼和吉鲁虽然不是世界级的前锋，但仍然是非常有能力的前锋!如果姆巴佩在场上，格里兹曼可能会扮演比姆巴佩在场上时更有攻击性的角色。法国队已经拿到了4分，还有很多比赛要踢!荷兰队也有4分。如果在比赛结束时得分相等，则进行肉搏赛。法国队和荷兰队的比分差距将成为决定胜负的因素，因为两队在一场0比0的比赛中战平。奥地利已经拿到三分，也有可能赢得小组第一。获得第一名非常重要，因为这很可能保证在附加赛中遇到一个更容易对付的对手。另一方面，波兰没有什么可玩的了。到目前为止，他们输掉了两场比赛，比分相差2:5。根据姆巴佩的情况，我们选择法国队1.5个进球的可能性，胜率为58-61%。法国队应该有动力去进很多球，即使他们不需要，波兰队也可能没有100%的动力，这可能会导致防守懒散。

波兰队在上一场比赛中以1比2输给了荷兰队。荷兰队有65%的控球率，并且有更多的射门次数、射门次数(13次3次)、角球次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险传球次数。荷兰队的预期进球数(xG)为0.87-1.83。在第二轮比赛中，经过一场有趣的比赛，波兰队以1-3输给了奥地利队。奥地利人理应得到三分。效力于巴塞罗那的波兰球员莱万多夫斯基在过去的10年里一直是波兰队中非常重要的球员。我会说波兰太依赖他了。即使有了“莱瓦”，作为一个甚至参加过2022年卡塔尔世界杯的国家，波兰的进攻也很糟糕。他们在小组赛阶段很幸运，进入了季后赛，在那里他们被姆巴佩的法国队击败。他一直在遭受伤病的折磨，当然，博彩公司理解这伤害了波兰的机会——然而，他们似乎没有给予足够的重视他的缺席/不是100%的健康。他在这里的处境值得怀疑。在对阵奥地利的比赛中，他在第60分钟上场。他可能会在这里上场，但可能打不满90分钟。法国在首轮比赛中以1比0轻松击败奥地利。是的，最后的比分不是很清楚，但法国队在世界杯上创造了2.21分，而奥地利只创造了0.55分。法国队经常只做必要的事情来赢得比赛，这场比赛就是这样。我还需要提一下奥地利，这支不被看好的球队，在这场比赛中也打得很好。在对阵荷兰的比赛中，即使没有姆巴佩，法国队在场上也表现得更好。他的进球次数(16-8)、射偏(8-0)、角球次数(6-3)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数以及危险进攻次数都更多。xG值为1.49比0.34，对法国有利;

波兰和法国上一次交锋是在2022年12月4日的卡塔尔世界杯上。法国队在这场比赛中占统治地位，以3-1获胜。从那以后，球队没有太大变化。法国队在预选赛B组中以22分的成绩占据了绝对优势。他们的比分差太惊人了——29比3!波兰队在预选赛E组表现不佳，最终排名第三

他们只拿到了11分。他们在晋级资格赛决赛中客场1-0击败威尔士。更令人惊讶的是，他们没有一次射正，根本不配赢得比赛!xG值为1.03 ~ 0.43。在此之前，他们在主场以5比1击败了实力不强的爱沙尼亚队。这是一场2024年欧洲杯预选赛半决赛。爱沙尼亚的帕斯科茨在第27分钟被罚下，这对比赛产生了很大的影响!此时比分仍然是1比0。xG值为2.44 ~ 0.16。