A good pick for the Copa America!
2024-06-24

Borja

外籍分析师

解读理由:

I expect a great performance by Colombia in this tournament and should win this fixture easily.

Colombia is coming with very good preparation, in great form with 8 victories in a row, probably the most in-form team in the whole Copa America. Among those victories we can find very strong teams such as Spain (0:1) in a friendly or Brazil (2:1) in the World Cup qualifiers. They are unbeaten since February 2022 against Argentina, and the unbeaten run is 23 games and more than 2 years!

Coach Lorenzo gave a lot of confidence to the team, changed the mentality and are very well prepared to be the surprise of this tournament. In the World Cup Qualifiers are 3rd and the only team unbeaten. Neither Uruguay or Brazil managed to beat them.

Furthermore, have a lot of quality in their squad. Their leader is Liverpool’s winger Luis Diaz, but also have other players in the Premier League such as Jefferson Lerma, Daniel Muñon or the young promise Jhon Duran. Colombia has a lot of quality upfront and will be very difficult for Paraguay to stop them.

Paraguay is a very weak side, terrible in all lines in my opinion: defense, midfield and attack. They were horrible in the recent friendlies, and are lacking a lot of quality and goal upfront. In the last 9 games they have scored just 2 goals, and some of them were against weak teams like Peru or Venezuela.

Are a very defensive team but they didn’t defend well against strong teams. Against Argentina lost only 1:0 but had less than 30% possession and made only 1 shot on target (0.10 expected goals), whilst conceded 17 shots and many chances, and goalkeeper Carlos Coronel was their best player.

Both teams also played a match in the WC 2026 Qualifiers in November, where Colombia dominated the game generating 2.30 expected goals and one more time, best Paraguay's player in that game was a defender - CB Gustavo Gomez in this case. Colombia won 0:1 but should have scored more goals.

Their plan for this fixture will be very simple, the same as always against better teams: defend deep and try to get a chance in some counter. Their key players for this matter will be wingers Miguel Almirón and Ramon Sosa, as well as offensive midfielder Julio Enciso.

It will be a tight game, probably without too many goals. But Colombia has much more quality, especially upfront, and will dominate the game. I see Colombia way more stronger than Paraguay in this tournament and I expect to see them controlling and winning this game, as did just a few months ago.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我期待哥伦比亚队在这次比赛中有出色的表现,他们应该能轻松赢得这场比赛。

哥伦比亚队准备得很好,状态很好,连续8场胜利,可能是整个美洲杯状态最好的球队。在这些胜利中,我们可以找到非常强大的球队,比如友谊赛中的西班牙队(0:1)或世界杯预选赛中的巴西队(2:1)。自2022年2月对阵阿根廷队以来,他们保持不败,不败纪录是23场比赛,超过2年!

洛伦佐教练给了球队很大的信心,改变了心态,我们已经做好了充分的准备,成为本届锦标赛的惊喜。在世界杯预选赛中排名第三,也是唯一一支不败的球队。乌拉圭和巴西都没能击败他们。

此外,他们的阵容中有很多优秀的球员。他们的领袖是利物浦的边锋路易斯迪亚兹,但也有其他球员在英超联赛,如杰弗森莱尔马,丹尼尔Muñon或年轻的希望约翰杜兰。哥伦比亚在前场有很多优秀的球员,巴拉圭很难阻止他们。

巴拉圭是一支非常弱的球队,在我看来,防守、中场和进攻各方面都很糟糕。他们在最近的友谊赛中表现得很糟糕,而且在前场缺乏很多质量和进球。在过去的9场比赛中,他们只进了2个球,其中一些是对阵秘鲁或委内瑞拉这样的弱队。

我们是一支防守很强的球队,但是他们在面对强队时防守不好。与阿根廷队的比赛中,他们只输了1比0,但控球率不到30%,只有1次射正(预期进球0.10个),同时被对手射门17次,并有很多机会,门将卡洛斯·科罗内尔是他们最好的球员。

两队还在11月的2026年世界杯预选赛中进行了一场比赛,哥伦比亚队在比赛中占据了主导地位,创造了2.30个预期进球,而巴拉圭在那场比赛中表现最好的球员也是一名后卫——古斯塔沃·戈麦斯。哥伦比亚以0:1取胜,但他们本应进更多的球。

他们对这场比赛的计划很简单,就像对阵强队一样:后防线,争取反击的机会。他们的关键球员将是边锋米格尔Almirón和雷蒙索萨,以及进攻中场胡里奥恩西索。

这将是一场激烈的比赛,可能不会有太多的进球。但是哥伦比亚的实力更强,尤其是前场,他们将统治比赛。我认为哥伦比亚在这次比赛中比巴拉圭强大得多,我希望看到他们控制并赢得这场比赛,就像几个月前一样。

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