On Sunday night, the last round of the Euro 2024 group stage is going to start. Both Group A games will be played at the same time and one of them is going to be between Scotland and Hungary. In this game, I predict that Hungary won't lose points.

After 2 games, Scotland has 1 point and they have a theoretical chance to advance to the next round but they have a big negative goal difference so the chances are slim. Scotland played very badly in the 1st game against Germany. Yes, they got a red card but also until that, their performance was poor. Scotland managed to create an xG of 0.02 and their only goal was an own goal. Against Switzerland, the performance was better but they again scored a lucky goal. While Switzerland tied the game, Scotland managed to get a point. In this game, Scotland created an xG of 0.76. Scotland has created the lowest xG rating between teams that have played 2 games.

Hungary has been a disappointment in this tournament because the expectations were higher. They started the tournament with a 1:3 loss to Switzerland and they continued with a 0:2 loss to Germany. They also have a large goal difference and they probably won't qualify for the next round. At the same time, they created more chances to score - xG of 1.25 in the first game followed by 1.18 against Germany. The xG difference in the last game wasn't so big so the score of 0:2 maybe wasn't fair.

Both teams will be motivated to end the tournament on a high note. I like Hungary's chances more because they have shown better football. Yes, in both games they lost but they created more chances to score and that's the most important thing. Allowed xG's are similar to both teams but Hungary has a huge advantage in the created xG so I'm going with them.

周日晚上，2024年欧洲杯小组赛最后一轮比赛即将开始。A组的两场比赛将同时进行，其中一场将在苏格兰和匈牙利之间进行。在这场比赛中，我预测匈牙利队不会失分。

两场比赛结束后，苏格兰队积1分，理论上他们有机会晋级下一轮，但他们的净胜球差距很大，所以机会渺茫。苏格兰队在与德国队的第一场比赛中表现非常糟糕。是的，他们得到了红牌，但在那之前，他们的表现很差。苏格兰创造了0.02的xG，他们唯一的进球是一个乌龙球。在对阵瑞士的比赛中，他们的表现要好一些，但他们又进了一个幸运的球。当瑞士追平比赛时，苏格兰设法得到一分。在这场比赛中，苏格兰创造了0.76的xG。苏格兰队在两场比赛的球队中创造了最低的xG评级。

匈牙利在本届比赛中一直令人失望，因为人们对他们的期望更高。他们以1:3负于瑞士队开始比赛，并以0:2负于德国队。他们也有很大的净胜球差距，他们可能无法晋级下一轮。与此同时，他们创造了更多的进球机会——第一场比赛的xG为1.25，随后与德国的比赛为1.18。上一场比赛的xG差距不是很大，所以0:2的比分可能不公平。

两支球队都将有动力以高水平结束比赛。我更喜欢匈牙利的机会，因为他们踢出了更好的足球。是的，两场比赛他们都输了，但他们创造了更多的进球机会，这是最重要的。允许的xG和两支车队相似，但是匈牙利在创造的xG上有巨大的优势，所以我支持他们。