A GREAT match to bet on! $$$
2024-06-22

Tapio

外籍分析师

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Turkey VS Portugal


Turkey and Portugal lock horns in this UEFA EURO 2024 Group F round 2 clash at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund very early Sunday Morning Beijing time. The stakes are, of course, high as both teams can still win the group but have also not secured a place in the Playoffs. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of pretty mediocre level by this tournament's standards here. We have yet another lucrative betting opportunity here. Portugal are in 6th place in the FIFA ranking but I would not rate them quite this high in the world ranking, not rating the teams by the best starting eleven alone but instead also taking account the quality of substitute players. Even so, the difference compared to Turkey is significant! Turkey occupy the 42th place in the FIFA ranking which is more or less correct in my expert opinion. Turkey cannot match Portugal in any area of the game. In terms of defensive quality the difference is bigger than in terms of offensive quality. They have been a disappointment in many international tournaments in a row, despite being the "black horse" in many bettors' and football fans' opinion. In the EURO 2020, which was played in 2021, they were simply abysmal. The problem has often been poor structure on the pitch. Indeed, on paper Turkey have often looked better on paper than on the pitch. The same could well be true in this tournament. Yes, Turkey beat Georgia, one of the worst teams in this tournament 3-1 in the opening round but failed to impress me. They had only 52% ball possession and the expected goals (xG) numbers were 2.39-2.11. Indeed, Turkey were very clear favourites in this game - priced around 1.65 to win on the betting market but were, in reality, only narrowly the better team.. Their defence looked vulnerable and a team of Portugal's caliber should be able to take advantage of the weakness! We will take Portugal to win! Odds of around 1.65 are widely available. The chance of Portugal winning is 66%.

Before beating Georgia Turkey lost to a pretty limited team, Poland, 1-2 on the road. Poland have lost both of the two games in EURO 2024 so far and are a pretty lame team. Furthermore, before losing to Poland Turkey's record was 2 draws and two losses.. In March they lost 1-6 to Austria away from home. What a terrible loss it was! Portugal did not quite meet my expectations against the Czechia (formerly Czech Republic) but the Czechs also played better than I would have expected.. Portugal's F.Conceicao scored the winning goal in the 90th+2 minute. Even so, Portugal were the much better team on the pitch! Yes, their attacks were a bit too slow and predictable in the 1st half but improved a lot in the 2nd half. They had a close to 70% ball possession and also recorded many more goal attempts (19-5), shots in goal (8-1), corner kicks (13-0, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. The xG numbers were 1.89-0.21. Before this Portugal crushed Ireland 3-0 at home in a friendly match. In the Qualification Group J they were totally dominant, winning all 10 games! They scored a whopping 36 goals and allowed only two goals. Portugal are not the number one favourite to win this tournament but are only moderately worse than the biggest favourites, France.



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土耳其VS葡萄牙


北京时间周日凌晨,土耳其和葡萄牙将在多特蒙德的信号伊杜纳公园进行2024年欧洲杯F组第二轮比赛。当然,赌注很高,因为两支球队仍然可以赢得小组冠军,但也没有获得季后赛的席位。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以本届锦标赛的标准来看相当平庸的比赛。我们还有另一个赚钱的机会。葡萄牙在国际足联的排名中排名第六,但我不会给他们的世界排名这么高,不是单凭首发11人,而是考虑替补球员的质量。即便如此,与土耳其相比,差距还是很大的!土耳其在国际足联排名中排名第42位,这在我的专业意见中或多或少是正确的。土耳其在比赛的任何领域都无法与葡萄牙匹敌。在防守质量方面的差异大于进攻质量。尽管在许多投注者和球迷的眼中,他们是“黑马”,但他们在连续许多国际锦标赛中都令人失望。在2021年举行的2020年欧洲杯上,他们简直糟透了。问题往往是球场上的结构不合理。事实上,土耳其在纸面上的表现比在球场上的表现要好。在这次比赛中,同样的情况也很可能发生。是的,土耳其在首场比赛中以3比1击败了本届杯赛最差的球队之一格鲁吉亚,但没能给我留下深刻印象。他们只有52%的控球率,预期进球数为2.39-2.11。事实上,在这场比赛中,土耳其是非常明显的热门球队——在博彩市场上,他们的胜率约为1.65,但实际上,他们只是稍微好一点。他们的防守看起来很脆弱,一支有葡萄牙实力的球队应该能够利用这个弱点!我们将带领葡萄牙取得胜利!1.65左右的赔率是很普遍的。葡萄牙获胜的几率为66%。

在击败格鲁吉亚之前,土耳其在客场以1比2输给了实力相当有限的波兰队。到目前为止,波兰在2024年欧洲杯上输掉了两场比赛,是一支相当蹩脚的球队。此外,在输给波兰之前,土耳其的战绩是2平2负。今年3月,他们客场6 - 1不敌奥地利。这是多么可怕的损失啊!葡萄牙队在对阵捷克的比赛中没有达到我的预期,但捷克人的表现也比我预期的要好。葡萄牙的孔塞西乔在第90 +2分钟打进致胜一球。即便如此,葡萄牙队在球场上的表现要好得多!是的,他们的进攻在上半场有点太慢了,但在下半场有了很大的进步。他们的控球率接近70%,并且有更多的进球尝试(19胜5负)、射门(8胜1负)、角球(13胜0负)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。xG值为1.89 ~ 0.21。在此之前,葡萄牙在一场友谊赛中主场3-0击败爱尔兰。在预选赛J组,他们完全占据了统治地位,赢得了全部10场比赛!他们进了36球,只丢了2球。葡萄牙并不是本届世界杯夺冠热门,但只比夺冠热门法国队稍差。

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