On Saturday, we are going to have 3 games in the Euro 2024 group stage. The last one is going to be between Belgium and Romania. After the 1st round, Belgium is in the 3rd position with no points while Romania has 3 points and the 1st place. In this game, I predict Belgium's win.

Belgium started the tournament with a shocking 0:1 loss to Slovakia. They already conceded in the 7th minute and weren't able to come back. It must be said though that Belgium played better overall. Romelu Lukaku missed a couple of great opportunities to score and he scored twice but both times VAR canceled both goals. Belgium had 60% ball control, they had 4 big chances to score (Slovakia only 1), they had 16 total shots (Slovakia - 4) and 5 on target (Slovakia - 4). Belgium's xG rating was 1.70 while Slovakia had 0.57. As we see per the stats, Belgium played better but couldn't score.

Romania started the tournament with a 3:0 win over Ukraine. Yes, it's also a little surprise but Ukraine's goalkeeper Andriy Lunin made two costly mistakes and the Romanians scored 2 goals. Ukraine controlled the ball 71% of the time and they had more shots overall but Romania had more shots on target. At the same time, it's not normal when a team scores 3 goals with 29% ball control.

This is a huge game for Belgium. They can't afford to lose again because that would mean the end of the Euros. We saw that Belgium should have beaten Slovakia but they just couldn't score. Romelu Lukaku is a top-class striker and he can't have 2 bad games in a row. If Romania already had only 29% ball control against Ukraine, we can't imagine what could happen in this game. In one of the easiest Euro qualifier groups, Romania conceded 1.1 xG per 90 minutes, which is 17th in the Euro field. I would say that the first games were more a fluke for both teams, and Belgium should take 3 points here.

周六，我们将在2024年欧洲杯小组赛中进行3场比赛。最后一场比赛将在比利时和罗马尼亚之间进行。第一轮结束后，比利时以0分排名第3，罗马尼亚以3分排名第1。在这场比赛中，我预测比利时队会赢。

比利时队以令人震惊的0比1输给了斯洛伐克队。他们在第7分钟就失球了，再也没能扳回比分。但必须要说的是，比利时整体表现更好。卢卡库错过了几次进球的好机会，他进了两球，但VAR都取消了这两个进球。比利时的控球率为60%，他们有4次射门机会(斯洛伐克只有1次)，他们总共射门16次(斯洛伐克4次)，射正5次(斯洛伐克4次)。比利时的xG值为1.70，斯洛伐克为0.57。正如我们从数据中看到的那样，比利时踢得更好，但无法得分。

罗马尼亚以3:0战胜乌克兰开始了比赛。是的，这也有点令人惊讶，但乌克兰门将鲁宁犯了两个代价高昂的错误，罗马尼亚人进了两个球。乌克兰在71%的时间里控制着球，他们的射门次数更多，但罗马尼亚的射门次数更多。与此同时，当一支球队在控球率为29%的情况下进3球是不正常的。

这对比利时来说是一场重要的比赛。他们不能再输了，因为那将意味着欧洲杯的结束。我们看到比利时应该击败斯洛伐克，但他们就是没有进球。卢卡库是一名顶级前锋，他不可能连续两场比赛表现糟糕。如果罗马尼亚对乌克兰的控球率只有29%，我们无法想象这场比赛会发生什么。作为欧洲杯预选赛最轻松的小组之一，罗马尼亚每90分钟失球1.1次，在欧元区排名第17位。我想说，前几场比赛对两队来说都是侥幸，比利时应该在这里拿3分。