Odds dropping in wrong way?
2021-05-29

Aleksandar

足球分析师

德乙

05/30 00:00

已完赛

解读理由:

There is only one step left: after winning the first leg in the relegation at 1. FC Köln, Holstein Kiel is about to become the first Bundesliga club from Schleswig-Holstein region before the second leg.

FC Koln is threatened with falling from the Bundesliga for the seventh time, while second division Holstein Kiel is about to crown its season. The team of coach Ole Werner has the best conditions on Saturday to be the first club in Schleswig-Holstein to move into the Bundesliga. After the 1-0 in the relegation first leg last Wednesday at the Bundesliga-16 a draw from Cologne is enough for the home team in the Holstein Stadium. 2350 spectators are allowed to return to the Kiel stadium for the first time since October last year. In the most important game since the relegation three years ago against VfL Wolfsburg, the Kiel professionals can count on loud support. Ofcourse, Koln is still a slight favorite according to bookmakers since Koln are Bundesliga 1 team and this club have a big fan base and great tradition while Kiel are a small club compared to Koln, without such a big tradition and without such a fan base. In the first game, however, Koln didn't capitalize on home advantage, and just when they started with waves of attacks, Kiel scored and lowered the hopes of Koln's fans on survival subject.

Having an impressive record at home this season: Wins 11, Draws 2, Loses 4- Kiel’s success has built from a solid defense that’s kept 7 clean sheets at the home field this season. In fact, the hosts had the best defense in the second division during this season, conceding just 1.03 goals per match. Additional confidence will come from Kiel lost only 1 time this season by a 2+ goal margin. Odds dropping for Koln's win but the value is on the home side for me. Kiel players will dye on the field to keep the draw at least and as such, I find it very valuable to bet Kiel double-chance.

现在只剩下一步了:基尔只要不败就能升级

科隆队面临着第七次退出德甲的威胁,而乙级的基尔队即将有望升至德甲。在上周三首回合1-0获胜后,在荷尔斯泰因体育场,一场平局对主队来说就足够了。自去年10月以来,首次有2350名观众被允许回到基尔体育场。这是自三年前对沃尔夫斯堡保级以来最重要的一场比赛,基尔的球员们可以得到热烈的支持。当然,根据机构的指数,科隆仍然是一个小热门,因为科隆是德甲球队,这个俱乐部有很大的球迷基础和伟大的传统,而基尔和科隆相比是一个小俱乐部,没有这么大的传统和这样的球迷基础。然而,在第一场比赛中,科隆并没有利用主场优势,就在他们开始一波又一波的进攻时,基尔进了一球,降低了科隆保级的希望。

本赛季的主场战绩令人印象深刻:11胜,2平,4负——基尔的成功是建立在坚实的防守基础上的,他在本赛季的主场保持了7场不败。事实上,基尔在本赛季的乙级联赛中拥有最好的防守,每场仅失球1.03个。更有信心的是,基尔本赛季只有1场失利丢球超过2个。对我来说基尔不败很有价值。

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