The first Euro 2024 game on Friday is going to be between Slovakia and Ukraine. After the 1st round, Slovakia has 3 points and 2nd place while Ukraine don't have points and they are at the bottom. In this game, I predict that Slovakia won't lose.

Slovakia made one of the biggest surprises in the tournament by beating Belgium 1:0. While Belgium dominated for the rest of the game, they weren't able to score and Slovakia won. Now they need at least 1 point to be in good positions to secure a place in the TOP 16. Ukraine was mentioned as one of the biggest dark horses in this tournament but they lost to Romania 0:3. Despite having the ball 75% of the time, they created only 0.57%, and they had fewer total shots and less on target.

I'm backing Slovakia in this duel. Ukraine is not a good build-up team. Ukraine tries to build the game from the back and they aren't trying to play direct. That causes a lot of turnovers and that was the case against Romania which scored 2 goals after Ukraine's turnovers. Similarly, Slovakia scored against Belgium after they stole the ball. Slovakia is ready to high-press opponents and Ukraine will need to adjust the game.

Ukraine is a very talented team but the numbers don't lie. The team has a negative expected goal number for the last 3 years. Slovakia played great in the Euro 2024 qualifier. While the team conceded 8 goals, 4 of them were against Portugal. Slovakia should also be very motivated. Ukraine will be desperate to produce an improved display following their underwhelming performance against Romania, but their record in the European Championship group stage offers little cause for inspiration, having won just two of their previous 10 group matches. I'm backing Slovakia getting at least a point.

周五，2024年欧洲杯的第一场比赛将在斯洛伐克和乌克兰之间进行。第一轮过后，斯洛伐克积3分排名第二，而乌克兰一分未得，排名垫底。在这场比赛中，我预测斯洛伐克不会输。

斯洛伐克队以1:0击败比利时队，成为本届世界杯最大的惊喜之一。虽然比利时队在接下来的比赛中占据了主导地位，但他们没能进球，斯洛伐克赢了。现在他们需要至少1分来保持好位置，以确保进入前16名。乌克兰被认为是本届比赛中最大的黑马之一，但他们以0:3输给了罗马尼亚。尽管有75%的控球率，但他们只创造了0.57%的进球机会，而且他们的总射门次数更少，射正率也更低。

在这场决斗中我支持斯洛伐克。乌克兰不是一支优秀的集结队。乌克兰试图从后场建立比赛，他们不想直接打。这导致了很多失误，这就是对罗马尼亚的情况，在乌克兰失误后，罗马尼亚进了2个球。同样，斯洛伐克在与比利时的比赛中也在对方抢断球后进球。斯洛伐克已经准备好给对手施加压力，乌克兰需要调整比赛。

乌克兰是一支非常有天赋的球队，但数字不会说谎。这支球队过去3年的预期进球数为负。斯洛伐克在2024年欧洲杯预选赛中表现出色。虽然球队丢了8个球，但其中4个是对葡萄牙的。斯洛伐克也应该非常积极。乌克兰在对阵罗马尼亚的比赛中表现平平，但他们在欧洲杯小组赛中的战绩并没有让人感到鼓舞，他们在之前的10场小组赛中只赢了两场。我支持斯洛伐克至少得一分。