Slovakia to 1/8 finals? 欧洲杯 斯洛伐克VS乌克兰
2024-06-21

Borja

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Slovakia, who is one of the worst teams in the EURO, were very lucky in the game against Belgium. They won 0:1 but Belgium had two goals disallowed by VAR, 1.97 expected goals generated and many chances wasted. Slovakia found an early goal at 7’ and just dedicated the rest of the game to defending and wasting time.

However, I still can’t see them making big things in this tournament. We must remember that in 4 of their last 5 EURO failed to score. Their key players are Newcastle goalkeeper Dubravka (who was the man of the match against Belgium), captain and CB Skriniar, midfielder Lobotka and their main threat upfront will be Bozenik, who could be an isolated figure for Slovakia as we saw against Belgium where he struggled to find good chances or even touch the ball in good conditions.

I think they won’t have the same luck as they had against Belgium. As they always do, they will use a defensive system and will be happy with a draw, as with 4 points they could almost qualify to the ⅛ finals. However, I expect them to struggle here and be dominated, conceding chances. And Dubravka won’t always be the hero of the game to keep the goal to nil.

Ukraine made a poor performance against Romania in the opening game, losing 3:0. I think that result was exaggerated, as Ukraine was for me one of the dark horses in this tournament and has quality to make things much better.

Lunin made a terrible game, whilst only their leader and star Mudryk made a good performance. I still believe they can qualify in this group, as they have several good players and still have to show their best, such as Dovbyk or Zinchenko.

However in that game against Romania we saw some very good minutes and overall they controlled the game, generating more chances (14 shots, 4 more than Romania) and controlling the possession with 66%. However, they made terrible mistakes in defense which I believe they won’t repeat. Furthermore, Slovakia is a worse team than Romania in my opinion.

Slovakia will defend here, leaving the control of the game to Ukraine. And that won’t be the best plan as Ukraine has plenty of quality upfront so if they dominate the ball near to Slovakia’s area, will kill them as they have several good assist-mans and also good strikers who are very effective.

Based on my analysis of the tournament and each team, and also the previous results, I see Ukraine as the favorite here. Slovakia were very lucky against Belgium and Ukraine wasn’t at their expected level against Romania. I expect Slovakia to show their real level (one of the worst teams in the tournament) and Ukraine to show a much more competitive face, as everybody expects to see from a team who recently drew against Germany, Italy and England.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

斯洛伐克是欧洲最差的球队之一,在与比利时的比赛中非常幸运。他们以0:1获胜,但比利时有两个进球被VAR吹掉,产生了1.97个预期进球,浪费了很多机会。斯洛伐克队在第7分钟就取得了一个进球,在比赛的剩余时间里,他们只是在防守和浪费时间。

然而,我仍然看不到他们在这次比赛中有什么大的成就。我们必须记住,在过去的5次欧洲杯中,他们有4次没有进球。他们的关键球员是纽卡斯尔门将杜布拉夫卡(他是对阵比利时的最佳球员),队长斯克里尼亚尔和中场球员洛博特卡,他们的主要威胁将是博泽尼克,他可能是斯洛伐克孤立的人物,正如我们在对阵比利时的比赛中看到的那样,他努力寻找好机会,甚至在良好的条件下触球。

我认为他们不会有对阵比利时那样的运气。和他们一贯的做法一样,他们将采用防守体系,并且会对平局感到高兴,因为只要得到4分他们就几乎可以晋级决赛了。然而,我希望他们在这里挣扎,被控制,失去机会。杜布拉夫卡也不会永远是将比分保持在零的英雄。

乌克兰在首场比赛中表现不佳,以3:0输掉了比赛。我认为这个结果被夸大了,因为乌克兰对我来说是本届比赛中的一匹黑马,他们有能力让事情变得更好。

鲁宁打了一场糟糕的比赛,而只有他们的领袖和明星穆德瑞克表现出色。我仍然相信他们能从这个小组出线,因为他们有几名优秀的球员,他们仍然需要发挥出最好的水平,比如多夫比克和津琴科。

然而,在对阵罗马尼亚的比赛中,我们看到了一些非常好的时间,总的来说,他们控制了比赛,创造了更多的机会(14次射门,比罗马尼亚多4次),控球率达到66%。然而,他们在防守上犯了可怕的错误,我相信他们不会再犯了。此外,在我看来,斯洛伐克是一支比罗马尼亚更糟糕的球队。

斯洛伐克将在这里防守,把比赛的控制权留给乌克兰。这并不是最好的计划,因为乌克兰在前场有足够的实力,所以如果他们在斯洛伐克附近控制球权,将会杀死他们,因为他们有几个很好的助攻和很有效的前锋。

根据我对比赛和每支球队的分析,以及之前的结果,我认为乌克兰是最受欢迎的球队。斯洛伐克在对阵比利时的比赛中非常幸运,而乌克兰在对阵罗马尼亚的比赛中没有达到预期的水平。我希望斯洛伐克能展现出他们的真实水平(他们是本届杯赛中表现最差的球队之一),乌克兰能展现出更有竞争力的一面,就像每个人都希望看到的那样,这支球队最近战平了德国、意大利和英格兰。

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