Daejeon Citizen VS Jeju United
Daejeon welcome Jeju United for this South Korean FA Cup 1/8-finals clash at Daejeon World Cup Stadium Wednesday evening Beijing time. Both teams play in the K League 1. The level of this league is pretty modest by global standards. A match of a bit worse than average quality by this competition's standards is on the cards here. However, football fans and us profit-hungry bettors have yet another very promising betting opportunity here! There is no doubt about the fact that the visitors are the better team here! Daejeon have declined significantly from last season when they took 8th place with 51 points. They were, however, lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). At the moment they are in last place in this league with a total of 15 points in their pocket. They cannot be high in confidence at the moment.. Moreover, according to my sources they also have a poor team spirit. They have netted the ball a pathetic 16 times. This is the second-lowest number in this league.. Their offense has lacked speed, creativity, individual skill and passing accuracy at critical moments. Their defence is not terrible but still pretty poorly organized.. Their midfielders should be more active in defending. Daejeon have allowed 23 goals. The Jeju offense has been a disappointment as they have scored only 15 goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is 20.99. They can improve in this area of the game! Luckily for them their defence has no obvious weaknesses but their defenders sometimes take too big risks – for example give risky passes near their own goal. They have conceded 21 goals, but this is six goals less than Gangwon, in 2nd place, have allowed!
Based on my strongly data-based analysis the visitors deserve to be solid favourites here. The bookies disagree and offer the hosts odds of only around 2.45 to get the job done in 90 minutes of play. Some squad rotation from both teams' head coaches is expected here. The obvious professional bettor's choice is the Jeju +0.5 goals handicap. Let's not forget that Daejeon have won only one of their most recent eight games! In their last game they faced Pohang on the road and took a very lucky point through a 1-1 draw. Indeed, the hosts had 54.20% ball possession and also recorded many more goal attempts (11-2), shots on goal (5-1), shots off target (6-1), corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks – 102-65. Before this Daejeon defeated Daegu 1-0 at home but the visitors played below their normal level in this game. Even so, they had 59% ball possession and also recorded more goal attempts (12-7), shots on goal, shots off target, attacks and dangerous attacks – 76-59. I did not like Daejeon's performance as a whole. The visitors have won three times, taken one draw and lost three times in their last seven matches. In their last game they lost to Daegu 0-1 away from home as solid underdogs according to the bookies. The match was a balanced one as a whole though. The hosts had one more shot on goal as well as goal attempt than Jeju United. Both teams had nine shots off goal and the visitors managed three more corner kicks. Before this they had 55% ball possession and recorded more attacks, dangerous attacks and corner kicks (6-1) but lost to Gangwon 1-2 at home. Both teams had six shots on goal. They would have deserved at least a point. In round 15 they defeated Daejeon at this stadium 1-0 despite being far from their best. Only some 4800 fans were at the stadium with a maximum capacity of over 40 000! Furthermore, Daejeon's fans have been very disappointed with their team recently and the home advantage is pretty small here.. In round 14 Jeju deservedly beat Suwon, currently in 5th place, 1-0 at home.
大田市民VS济州联队
北京时间周三晚,韩国足协杯1/8决赛将在大田世界杯体育场举行,届时大田队将迎来济州岛联队。两支球队都参加K联赛。以全球标准来看,这个联赛的水平是相当中等的。按照这项比赛的标准,一场比赛的质量可能会略低于平均水平。然而,足球迷和我们这些渴望利润的投注者在这里还有另一个非常有前途的投注机会!毫无疑问,客队在这里是更好的队伍。与以51分排名第8位的上赛季相比,大田队的成绩大幅下降。然而,在期望值(xPTS)方面,他们是幸运的。目前他们以15分的积分排在联赛最后一名。他们此刻不可能有很高的信心。此外,据我所知,他们的团队精神也很差。他们只有可怜的16次进球。这是联盟第二低的数据。他们的进攻缺乏速度、创造力、个人技术和关键时刻的传球准确性。他们的防守并不可怕,但组织仍然很差。他们的中场应该更积极地防守。大田队丢了23球。济州岛队的进攻虽然只进了15个球,但预期进球数(xG)却高达20.99个,令人失望。他们可以在这方面有所提高!幸运的是,他们的防守没有明显的弱点,但他们的后卫有时会冒太大的风险——比如在自己的球门附近传球。他们丢了21个球,但比排名第二的江原少丢了6个球!
基于我强烈的基于数据的分析,游客应该是坚实的最爱在这里。博彩公司对此不以为然,他们给出的赔率只有2.45左右,东道主在90分钟的比赛中获胜。两支球队的主教练都有轮换阵容。显然,职业赌徒的选择是济州+0.5个进球障碍。别忘了大田队在最近的8场比赛中只赢了一场!在上一场客场对阵浦项的比赛中,他们1-1战平,幸运地拿到了1分。事实上,东道主拥有54.20%的控球率,并且有更多的射门次数(11胜2负)、射正(5胜1负)、射偏(6胜1负)、角球、进攻和危险进攻(102胜65负)。在此之前,大田队在主场以1比0击败了大邱队,但在这场比赛中,客队的表现低于正常水平。尽管如此,他们有59%的控球率,并且记录了更多的射门次数(12-7次)、射正、射偏、进攻和危险进攻——76比59。从整体上看,我不喜欢大田的表演。客队在最近7场比赛中取得了3胜1平3负的战绩。在上一场比赛中,他们客场0比1输给了大邱,根据博彩公司的说法,他们是绝对的失败者。这场比赛总体上是平衡的。东道主比济州联队多了一次射门和射门机会。两队都有9次射偏,客队又踢了3个角球。在此之前,他们的控球率为55%,并且在进攻、危险进攻和角球等方面得分更高(6比1),但在主场1比2不敌江原。两队都有6次射门。他们至少应该得一分。在第15轮比赛中,他们在这个球场以1比0击败了大田队,尽管他们的状态远未达到最佳状态。只有大约4800名球迷在体育场,最多可容纳4万多人!此外,大田队的球迷最近对他们的球队非常失望,主场优势非常小。在第14轮比赛中,济州以主场1比0击败了排名第5位的水原。