On Wednesday night, Euro 2024 continues already with the 2nd round games. One of the matches will be in Group B between Croatia and Albania. After the 1st round, Croatia is in the last place while Albania is one position above. In this game, I predict Croatia's win.
Croatia started the tournament with a big 0:3 loss against Spain. Yes, this difference seems very huge and someone could think that Croatia was run over but that wasn't the case. Spain was better in the 1st half when they got 2 goals but after the break, Croatia played better. The issue was that Croatia couldn't score. Let's compare numbers: Croatia had more total shots (16 vs. 11), they controlled the ball a little bit more (53% vs. 47%), shots on target were the same (5 vs. 5) and Croatia had a little bit better xG rating (2.38 vs. 2.01). Now we can see the real picture and understand that this wasn't a one-sided game.
Albania scored the quickest goal in European Championship history as they scored already in the 23rd second against Italy. 10 minutes later Italy tied the game but 10 minutes later Italians were already leading. For the rest of the game, Italy controlled the ball much more, Albania had only 32% ball control and they didn't create any good moments. The game ended at 1:2 but the difference could have been even bigger if not for Albania's goalkeeper's great game. Albania had only 8 shots overall while Italy had 17.
This is a big game for both teams because they need points if they want to advance. I'm going with Croatia which is a much more experienced team and they have proven they can play on the big stage. Croatia still has one of the best defenders in the world while Albania doesn't have real threats to bother Croatia. The Croatians should be very angry and I expect a big performance from them.
周三晚上,2024年欧洲杯将继续进行第二轮比赛。其中一场比赛将在B组克罗地亚和阿尔巴尼亚之间进行。第一轮过后,克罗地亚排在最后一名,而阿尔巴尼亚排在前一名。在这场比赛中,我预测克罗地亚队会赢。
克罗地亚队以0:3的比分输给了西班牙队。是的,这种差异看起来非常大,有人可能会认为克罗地亚队被碾压了,但事实并非如此。西班牙在上半场踢得更好,他们进了两个球,但中场休息后,克罗地亚踢得更好。问题是克罗地亚队无法得分。让我们来比较一下数据:克罗地亚队有更多的射门次数(16次对11次),他们对球的控制稍微多一点(53%对47%),射正次数是一样的(5次对5次),克罗地亚队的xG评分稍微好一点(2.38对2.01)。现在我们可以看到真实的情况,明白这不是一场一边倒的比赛。
阿尔巴尼亚队在对阵意大利队的比赛中第23秒就进球,创造了欧洲杯历史上最快的进球。10分钟后,意大利队将比分扳平,但10分钟后,意大利队已经领先。在比赛剩下的时间里,意大利的控球率要高得多,阿尔巴尼亚的控球率只有32%,他们没有创造出任何好的机会。比赛以1:2结束,但如果不是阿尔巴尼亚门将的出色表现,差距可能会更大。阿尔巴尼亚总共只有8次射门,而意大利有17次。
这对两支球队来说都是一场重要的比赛,因为如果他们想晋级,就需要得分。我会选择克罗地亚,这是一支更有经验的球队,他们已经证明了他们可以在大舞台上踢球。克罗地亚仍然拥有世界上最好的后卫之一,而阿尔巴尼亚没有真正的威胁来打扰克罗地亚。克罗地亚人应该非常生气,我期待他们有一个出色的表现。