NBA Finals are continuing and the Game 5 will happen tonight between Boston Celtics and Dallas Mavericks. This could be the last game of the season as the Celtics are up 3-1. In this game, I predict that Boston will cover the handicap.
The Celtics played very well in the first 3 games but couldn't do a thing in Game 4. Over the weekend, the Mavericks ran over the opponents 122:84 and gave them the 3rd biggest loss in the finals history. There was a big difference in scoring. The Mavericks made over 50% of all shots from the field while Boston made only 36.3%. The Celtics also couldn't grab rebounds as they had only 31 while Dallas responded with 52. The Celtics' offense gummed up a bit in Game 4. In the first three games, Boston made 280.7 passes per game with 26 assists and 45 potential assists per game. Last game, Boston made 290 passes but only for 18 assists and 36 potentials.
If would look outside the box score, Dallas was very motivated. They crushed every board, they played very fast and role players also played very well. We can't say the same about the Celtics. Derrick White is a very important player but he missed some wide-open shots and had a couple of air balls. Boston couldn't also get some easy rebounds and I'm confident that this will change tonight.
Boston is a better team and they can clinch the title at home. I don't believe that starters can play two bad games in a row. The team hasn't lost two games in a row since April when the team already clinched the first place in the league. Also, historically, the trends here point toward the Celtics as they return home for a closeout Game 5. Per stats, home favorites that lost the prior game by double digits are 149-112-5 ATS (57.1%) with an average margin of 2.47 points.
NBA总决赛仍在继续,第五场比赛将于今晚在波士顿凯尔特人和达拉斯小牛队之间进行。这可能是凯尔特人3-1领先的本赛季最后一场比赛。在这场比赛中,我预测波士顿队将支付障碍。
凯尔特人前三场打得很好,但第四场却什么都没做。周末,小牛队以122:84的比分击败了对手,给了他们总决赛历史上第三大的失利。在得分上有很大的不同。小牛队的投篮命中率超过50%,而凯尔特人的投篮命中率只有36.3%。凯尔特人也没有抢到篮板,他们只有31个篮板,而小牛则有52个。凯尔特人的进攻在第四场比赛中有点混乱。在前三场比赛中,凯尔特人场均传球280.7次,助攻26次,潜在助攻45次。上一场比赛,凯尔特人传球290次,但只有18次助攻和36次潜力。
如果看一下禁区外的得分,达拉斯很有动力。他们击溃了每一块板,他们打得非常快,角色球员也打得非常好。我们不能对凯尔特人说同样的话。德里克·怀特是一名非常重要的球员,但他投丢了一些空位投篮,还有几个三不沾。凯尔特人也不能得到一些轻松的篮板,我相信今晚这种情况会改变。
波士顿是一支更好的球队,他们可以在主场夺冠。我不相信首发球员能连续打两场糟糕的比赛。这支球队自今年4月夺得联赛第一名以来,还没有连续输过两场比赛。此外,从历史上看,凯尔特人队将在主场迎来最后一场比赛。根据数据,主场最热门的前一场输掉两位数的比赛是149胜112负5负(57.1%),平均分差为2.47分。