Abnormal bet? 西甲巴萨VS埃瓦尔
2020-12-29

Jarkko

外籍分析师

西甲

12/30 02:15

已完赛

解读理由:

This is a rare choice for me, going against Barcelona at home, but there are a plenty of reasons.

Firstly a look at lineups:


对于我来说,这是一个难得的选择,主场对阵巴塞罗那,但是有很多原因。

首先看一下缺席阵容:

Even if Messi has not been quite as good as on previous seasons, he has still been the best player in La Liga this season! He is unbelievably important, and now when Koeman's Barca struggle at times he is more important than ever.

The other ones are long-term absentees except Alba, and having to replace him with Junior Firpo is a dig downgrade.

At Eibar nothing dramatic. A few doubts, who are all replaceable.

Last round Barca played one of their best matches of the season, Barca experimented with a 3 man defense and Jordi as a wing-back. Messi once more was the outstanding figure and man of the match.

Eibar played an even game vs Alaves, had their chances to win but in the end Alaves punished from counters. On the previous round they conceded two early goals vs Real Madrid and had a weak first half, but on the 2nd they were clearly the better side and should had deserved a draw instead of the 1-3 loss with an extra time goal.

In the actual table Barca are 5th with 24 points. The xG-table gives them a few points more. Eibar are 17th with 15 points, they also would had deserved a few points more and a midtable position.

Barca are in turmoil also off the pitch with the club president elections going on and Messi all the time wanting to leave. On paper the starting attackers today are more than decent, but if Koeman is stupid enough to bench Pjanic again I am not at all sure there are enough goals from out of form Griezmann and Coutinho tonight.

A long story short, Barca are not Barca with these absentees, and Eibar are a decent club who deserve more. Barca are defensively very suspicious, they have conceded worth of 20 goals in xG in 14 games, which is the same with Eibar from 15.

2-2


即使梅西的表现不如前几个赛季,他仍然是本赛季西甲最好的球员!他的重要性毋庸置疑,现在,当科曼(Koeman)的巴萨(Barca)挣扎时,他比以往任何时候都更加重要。

除了阿尔巴,其他人则是长期缺席,左后卫Junior Firpo将会代替他,实力受到打击。

埃瓦尔没有什么重要的缺席。几个出战存疑,都可以被替换。

上一轮,巴萨打出了本赛季最好的比赛之一,巴萨尝试了三人防守,乔迪则作为后卫。梅西再次成为比赛中的关键人物。

埃瓦尔在与阿拉维斯的比赛中取得了一场平局,虽然有机会获胜,但最终阿拉维斯完成了扳平。在上一轮中,他们对皇家马德里很早丢了两个球,并且上半场表现不佳,但是在下半场,他们显然是表现更好的一方,应该取得更多的进球而不是,1-3输掉比赛。

在真实的积分榜中,巴萨以24分排名第五。的预期进球提供了更多信息。艾巴尔(Eibar)以15分排名第17,他们应该更多的进球和积分榜中游位置。

随着俱乐部主席选举的进行,巴萨也动荡不安,梅西一直想离开。从纸面实力上看,今天的首发进攻能力还不错,但是如果科曼再次让帕贾尼克出任替补,我无法确定今晚格里兹曼和库蒂尼奥的表现是否足以达到目标。

长话短说,在这些缺席的球员中,巴萨不是我们熟悉的那支巴萨,而埃瓦尔是一支被低估的球队。巴萨防守端存在隐患,他们在14场比赛中预期失球数为20球,这与排在第15的埃瓦尔一样。

比分参考2-2

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