5/6 last WON in this league! ¥¥¥
2024-06-12

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KuPS VS FC Haka


KuPS welcome visitors from the city of Valkeakoski for this Finnish Veikkausliiga battle at Väre Areena in Kuopio late Wednesday evening Beijing time. KuPS have played 11 games and Haka 10 matches in this league, the first tier of Finnish football, so far. The level of Veikkausliiga is very poor by European standards. The fact that HJK Helsinki qualified for the UEFA Europa League in the 2022-2023 season does not change this fact.. The level of this league has been on the rise in recent years 3-5 though. Most teams play well-organized and tactical but pretty slow, boring and predictable football. KuPS' style of play is more modern than that of many other clubs though.. As a Finnish professional bettor I know this league extremely well and the long-term results have been fine! Moreover, we have now won five of the last six picks betting on Veikkausliiga! My fans can expect a game of much higher than average level by this league's standards here. KuPS took 2nd place both last season and in 2022. Haka were disappointing last season but in 2020 they ended up in 4th place. They are a traditional club here in Finland with great success in the past and have started the season better than probably most football journalists and professional bettors, including me, would have expected. They have played "traditional English '', very straightforward and physical football under their new head coach, Andy Smith, 43, who comes from Northern Ireland. Smith seems to be an underrated coach here in Finland at least. I'm not, however, yet fully convinced by his tactical skills but he seems to have created a positive, confident atmosphere within the team! He is still very inexperienced as a head coach which is probably the key reason behind him being underrated. Haka are currently in 6th place with 17 points in their pocket. Their score difference is 17:16 and they have no obvious weaknesses – or strengths in their game. Their defence has, however, been better organized than I would have anticipated in my in-depth preseason analysis.. They will surely defend hard here and are unlikely to change their tactics/formation drastically even if they were to end up trailing by a margin of more than one goal..

KuPS will most probably have a 55-62% ball possession and do deserve to be clear favourites here. Even so, their odds of around 1.45-1.50 to send Haka home empty-handed are way too low! The Haka +1.5 goals handicap option is the obvious smart bet here. Odds of around 1.60 are widely available on the betting market at the time of posting. With the expected lineups the chance of winning is 67.50%. Yes, KuPS have the advantage over Haka in all areas of the game. KuPS are a top-4 team in my power rating at the moment. For clarification, this rating reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting lineup – excluding the motivation factor as well as the possible fatigue – caused by a demanding schedule. Haka, on the other hand, occupy the 7th place in this rating. However, it is important to understand that Veikkausliiga this year is much more balanced than it has been in many years. The differences in pure class among the top-7 teams are smaller than the bookies seem to believe. KuPS top the standings with 23 points to their account but are not the best team in Veikkausliiga by pure class. However, so far they have been the best team which has led to them being too hot on the betting market. Them being so strong so far is a surprise as their rich owner, banker Ari Lahti, cut the budget for this season. He was frustrated by the millions of euros he has "invested" ie. lost financing KuPS for many years.. However, it is for realizing that KuPS' actual players salary budget is usually bigger than the one publicly announced.. KuPS' excellent head coach Jani "Honsu" Honkavaara Especially us the most important individual behind KuPS' strong last season and the good start to this season. Last season KuPS were strong in May and June, following Honkavaara becoming the head coach - replacing Pasi Tuutti - but struggled in the autumn.. They are very rarely worth a bet in Veikkausliiga but this does sometimes happen, of course. I want to mention especially two young KuPS midfielders, Ruoppi,18, and Siltanen,17, have played a crucial role in their strong early season.. Many bigger clubs abroad have shown interested in these youngsters.. Striker Muzinga has also been better than expected. However, I believe that all these three have played above their average level so far – even despite the fact that young players improve and mature as they get more experience.. The Finnish football media has "gone crazy" – in a positive way - praising Ruoppi and especially Siltanen this season..

KuPS number of expected points (xPTS) is "only" 21.03. They have scored 23 goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is smaller – 19.34 to be precise. Their defence has been solid – they have allowed only 10 goals but can be vulnerable to counter attacks and in corner kick situations. KuPS have not lost a single game in Veikkausliiga this season but have needed luck to avoid defeats. In their last match they beat disappointing AC Oulu 4-1 at home. The first goal was scored by A. Heinonen from the penalty spot but the penalty kick was a rather questionable one.. Yes, KuPS deserved to win but the final score flatters them! The visitors, too, had their chances, recording eight goal attempts. KuPS were priced around 1.55 to win the game by the bookmakers. Before this KuPS beat Ilves 2-1 on the road but the match was, as I expected, a balanced one. We must also take into account that Ilves' Jorginho was sent off in the 63rd minute in this match. This affected the game a lot and KuPS' Savolainen scored the winning goal in the 90th+4 minute. Before the red card the score was 1-1..

I want to highlight that Haka have lost only two of their last 11 matches. In their last game they beat IFK Mariehamn, currently in 7th place, 2-0 at home despite not being at their best. The visitors, on the other hand, played surprisingly well in this game despite losing. Before this Haka lost to Inter 1-3 on the road as pretty clear underdogs – priced around 3.20 to win by the bookies. The hosts deserved the three points but the final score flatters them to some extent.. Indeed, Haka recorded a relatively high 12 goal attempts. Haka also had moderately more attacks (86-77) and dangerous attacks – 80-65. These statistics were affected to some extent by the fact that Inter took a 3-0 lead in the 66th minute and mainly focused on protecting the lead after that.. Inter, currently in 9th place, however, are a better team than the current standings would suggest..



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

up VS FC Haka


北京时间周三晚,在库奥皮奥的Väre竞技场球场,人们欢迎来自瓦尔基阿科斯基市的游客观看芬兰队的足球比赛。到目前为止,在芬兰足球的第一级联赛中,尤普斯和哈卡分别参加了11场和10场比赛。按照欧洲的标准,维库斯利加的水平很低。赫尔辛基HJK获得2022-2023赛季欧联杯参赛资格的事实并不能改变这一事实。尽管最近3-5年这个联盟的水平一直在上升。大多数球队踢得很有组织,有战术,但踢得很慢,很无聊,很容易预测。up的打法比其他俱乐部更现代。作为一名芬兰职业投注者,我非常了解这个联赛,长期的结果也很好!此外,我们现在已经赢得了最近六次选择中的五次,投注于维科斯利加!我的球迷可以期待一场高于联盟平均水平的比赛。上个赛季和2022年,ups都获得了第二名。哈卡上赛季令人失望,但在2020年他们最终获得了第四名。他们是芬兰的传统俱乐部,过去取得了巨大的成功,本赛季的开局可能比包括我在内的大多数足球记者和职业投注者所预期的要好。43岁的安迪·史密斯是来自北爱尔兰的新主教练,在他的带领下,他们踢的是“传统的英式足球”,非常直接和身体对抗。至少在芬兰,史密斯似乎是一个被低估的教练。然而,我并不完全相信他的战术技巧,但他似乎在球队中创造了一种积极、自信的氛围!作为一名主教练,他仍然非常缺乏经验,这可能是他被低估的关键原因。哈卡目前以17分排名第六。他们的比分差距是17:16,他们在比赛中没有明显的弱点或优势。然而,他们的防守组织得比我在季前赛的深入分析中预期的要好。他们肯定会在这里努力防守,不太可能大幅改变战术/阵型,即使他们最终落后不止一个球。

帕克斯很可能有55-62%的控球率,应该是最受欢迎的球员。即便如此,他们让哈卡空手而归的几率也只有1.45-1.50,这实在是太低了!哈卡+1.5个进球障碍选项显然是明智的选择。在投注时,投注市场上的赔率约为1.60。根据预期的阵容,获胜的几率是67.50%。是的,up在游戏的所有领域都比Haka有优势。目前,在我的力量评分中,up是排名前四的球队。澄清一下,这个评级反映了球队的纯粹等级,他们拥有最好的首发阵容——排除了动力因素和可能的疲劳——由高强度的赛程引起的。另一方面,哈卡在这一评级中排名第七。然而,重要的是要明白,今年的维库斯利加比以往任何一年都更加平衡。排名前七的球队之间的纯粹等级差异比博彩公司认为的要小。鲁普斯以23分排名榜首,但从纯粹的等级来看,他们并不是维克考斯利加最好的球队。然而,到目前为止,他们一直是最好的球队,这导致他们在博彩市场上太热了。到目前为止,他们如此强大是一个惊喜,因为他们富有的老板,银行家阿里拉赫蒂,削减了本赛季的预算。他对自己“投资”的数百万欧元感到沮丧。多年来失去了融资…然而,这是为了意识到up的实际球员工资预算通常比公开宣布的要高。球队优秀的主教练贾尼·“本苏”·本卡瓦拉,尤其是我们,是球队上赛季的强势和本赛季良好开局背后最重要的人物。上个赛季,在Honkavaara取代Pasi Tuutti成为主教练之后,up在5月和6月表现强劲,但在秋季却表现不佳。在维克考斯利加,他们很少值得一赌,但这种情况有时确实会发生。我想特别提一下两名年轻的up中场,18岁的若皮和17岁的西尔塔宁,他们在赛季初的强劲表现中发挥了至关重要的作用。许多国外的大俱乐部都对这些年轻人表现出了兴趣。前锋穆津加的表现也比预期的要好。然而,我相信到目前为止,这三个人的表现都高于他们的平均水平——尽管年轻球员在获得更多经验的同时也在进步和成熟。芬兰足球媒体“疯了”——以一种积极的方式——赞扬若皮,尤其是西尔塔宁这个赛季。

kup num

预期点数(xPTS)“仅”为21.03。他们已经进了23个球,但他们的预期进球数(xG)更少,准确地说是19.34个。他们的防守很稳固——他们只丢了10个球,但是在面对反击和角球时很脆弱。伊普斯本赛季在维克考斯利加没有输过一场比赛,但他们需要运气来避免失败。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场4-1击败了令人失望的AC奥卢队。第一个进球是由a .海诺宁从点球点打进的,但这个点球相当有问题。是的,up应该获胜,但最后的比分让他们感到高兴!客队也有机会,他们尝试了8次进球。博彩公司将赢球的价格定在1.55左右。在此之前,尤普斯在客场2-1击败了伊尔维斯,但正如我所料,这场比赛是一场平衡的比赛。我们还必须考虑到伊尔维斯的若日尼奥在这场比赛的第63分钟被罚下。这对比赛产生了很大的影响,卡普斯的萨沃莱宁在第90 +4分钟打进了制胜一球。在红牌之前比分是1比1。

我想强调的是,哈卡在过去的11场比赛中只输了两场。在上一场比赛中,他们以2比0击败了目前排名第7的玛丽汉姆队,尽管他们的状态并非最佳。另一方面,客队虽然输了,但在这场比赛中表现得出奇地好。在此之前,哈卡在客场1-3输给了国米,显然是不被看好的球队——博彩公司开出的赔率在3.20左右。主队理应得到三分,但最后的比分在某种程度上让他们感到欣慰。事实上,哈卡的进球次数相对较高,达到12次。哈卡也有较多的发作(86-77)和危险发作(80-65)。这些数据在一定程度上受到国米在第66分钟取得3-0领先的影响,之后国米主要集中在保护领先优势上。然而,目前排名第9的国米比目前排名所显示的要好。

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