Inter Turku VS Ilves Tampere

Inter Turku and Ilves lock horns in Finnish Veikkausliiga battle at Veritas Stadion in Turku late Wednesday evening Beijing time. Both teams have played 11 games in this league, the first tier of Finnish football, so far. The level of this league is very low by European standards. The fact that HJK Helsinki qualified for the UEFA Europa League in the 2022-2023 season does not change this fact. The level of Veikkausliiga has been on the rise in recent years 3-5 though.. Most teams play well-organized and tactical but pretty slow and predictable football. As a Finnish professional bettor I know this league extremely well and the long-term results have been fine! We have now won five of the last six picks betting on Veikkausliiga. My fans can expect a clash of high level by this league's standards here. Last season Ilves were disappointing in the Veikkausliiga, finishing in 10th place in this league - where a total of 12 clubs play - after the regular season. They grabbed only 20 points in the regular season. In the autumn the teams were split into two groups, the Championship Group and Relegation Group. Ilves took several wins in the Relegation Group against lowly opponents, eventually finishing in 2nd place in this group of six teams. They did, with some luck on their side, win the Suomen Cup (Finnish Cup) though – qualifying for the UEFA Europa Conference League Qualification this season.Inter, on the other hand, ended up in 6th place in the Championship Group.

Yes, Ilves are much stronger this season than last season and there has been – and still is – quite a lot of media hype around them here in Finland. This has seemingly affected and probably affects the odds here.. One reason behind the hype is the fact that they got two very good players, midfielders -  Joona Veteli and Anton Popovitch - from a strong team, KuPS. They have a new fancy (by Veikkausliiga standards) stadium, Tammelan Stadion, now which also plays a crucial role in this "hype". They have very home fans who offer them a major boost! Many of their fans passionately support Ilves (ice-hockey) as well – during the ice-hockey season and are known as the best ice-hockey fans in Finland. However, away from home Ilves have not been strong at all. Indeed, they have won only two of their last seven matches on the road! These wins came over Ekenäs IF (EIF), the worst team in Veikkausliiga, and IFK Mariehamn, a relatively lowly team. Ilves usually play much more defensive football on the road than at home and the players often do not look as confident as at Tammelan Stadion.. Ilves currently occupy the 4th place in the standings with a decent 18 points to their account. For reference, Haka, currently in 6th place, are only one point behind Ilves.. Yes, Ilves are a top-4 team in this league in my power rating at the moment. For clarification, this rating reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting lineup – excluding the motivation factor as well as the possible fatigue – caused by a demanding schedule. Inter, on the other hand, occupy the 6th place in this rating. I would like to mention that many bookmakers had Inter in the top-3 - a few even top-2, favourites to win Veikkausliiga before the season started.. I was not quite that optimistic but Inter definitely have potential for a clear improvement! 

Inter are currently in 9th place in the league table with 11 points in their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is 16.43. About a month ago they were the much better team on the pitch at home against HJK as clear underdogs but lost 0-1. HJK have won Veikkausliiga four times in a row now. Inter recorded many more goal attempts (13-3), shots on goal (7-1), corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks – 84-47. Inter have now taken two wins in a row which has surely a big relief and boost to the Inter players! In their last game last week they comfortably defeated FC Lahti 2-0 on the road – looking more relaxed and confident than before on the pitch. They deserved to win as they had 56% ball possession and also recorded many more goal attempts (13-8), shots on goal, shots off goal, corner kicks (8-2), attacks and dangerous attacks – 51-24. Inter also generated more in expected goals (xG) than Lahti.  Before this Inter pretty easily beat Haka 3-1 at home - finally making the loyal home fans happy! They had only 46% ball possession and also recorded many more goal attempts (16-12), shots on goal and shots off goal. With the expected lineups, taking the home advantage into account Ilves deserve to be only narrow favourites here. The bookies disagree, offering the visitors odds of only around 2.10 to win. Inter +0.5 goals is the obvious smart bet here! They have a very good coach, Vesa Vasara, who joined the team for this season. Vesa achieved pretty good results with Honka Espoo in previous seasons but the team went bankrupt last autumn. He "brought" an experienced, intelligent and skilled German, F. Krebs, with him. A player to follow closely here – and in general this season – is Djoully Nzoko, 16. This fast Inter striker scored the 2-0 goal against Lahti and is a very promising youngster. I trust Vasara more than Ilves' head coach, Joonas Rantanen, especially in terms of tactical abilities.

Ilves have won five of their last 11 matches but have failed to win any of their last three games! In their last game they faced VPS as solid favourites – priced around 2.10-2.20 to win by the books at the time of kickoff. The match was a balanced one as a whole though. Ilevs had one more goal attempt than VPS but the hosts recorded one more shot on goal. Ilves were, once again, overvalued by the bookies.. Before this they lost to KuPS at home 1-2 but the match was, as I expected, a balanced one. The bookmakers offered Ilves odds of only around 2.00-2.10 to win at the time of kickoff! This was yet another example of them being overvalued on the betting market.  We must take into account that Ilves' Jorginho was sent off in the 63rd minute in this match though. Before this Ilves' performance was satisfactory - it was a 1-1 draw at Bolt Arena in Helsinki. HJK did, however, record more goal attempts, shots on target, shots off target, attacks and dangerous attacks in this match. I want to highlight that HJK operated well below their normal level in this match!

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国际图尔库VS坦佩雷

北京时间周三晚，国际图尔库和伊尔维斯在图尔库的Veritas体育场进行了一场芬兰球队的激战。到目前为止，两支球队已经在芬兰足球的第一梯队联赛中打了11场比赛。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平很低。赫尔辛基恒大获得2022-2023赛季欧联杯参赛资格的事实并不能改变这一事实。近年来，维克考斯利加的水平一直在上升。大多数球队踢的都是有组织有战术的足球，但踢得很慢，也很容易预测。作为一名芬兰职业投注者，我非常了解这个联赛，长期的结果也很好!我们已经赢了最近6场赌维库斯利加的比赛中的5场。我的球迷可以期待一场高水平的比赛，以联盟的标准来看。上赛季，伊尔维斯在维考斯利亚的表现令人失望，常规赛结束后，他在这个共有12家俱乐部参加的联赛中排名第十。他们在常规赛中只得到20分。在秋季，球队被分成两个小组，冠军组和保级组。伊尔维斯在降级组战胜了几支实力较弱的对手，最终在这个由六支球队组成的小组中排名第二。幸运的是，他们赢得了索门杯(芬兰杯)，获得了本赛季欧洲联赛资格赛的资格。另一方面，国际米兰在英冠组排名第六。

是的，伊尔维斯本赛季比上赛季强多了，在芬兰有很多媒体对他们进行了大肆宣传。这似乎影响了，也可能影响了这里的赔率。炒作背后的一个原因是他们得到了两名非常优秀的球员，中场球员——琼娜·维特利和安东·波波维奇——来自一支强大的球队，库普斯。他们有一个新的花哨的球场，塔梅兰球场，现在在这场“炒作”中也起着至关重要的作用。他们的主场球迷为他们提供了巨大的动力!他们的许多球迷在冰球赛季也热情地支持伊尔维斯(冰球)，他们被认为是芬兰最好的冰球球迷。然而，在客场，我的表现一点也不强。事实上，他们在过去的七场客场比赛中只赢了两场!这两场比赛战胜了维考斯利加最差的球队Ekenäs IF (EIF)和排名相对较低的球队IFK Mariehamn。我通常在客场比在主场踢更多的防守足球，球员们通常看起来不像在塔梅兰球场那么自信。伊尔维斯目前在积分榜上排名第四，拿到了18分。作为参考，哈卡目前排名第六，只落后伊尔维斯一分。是的，在我的力量评分中，我现在是联盟前四的球队。澄清一下，这个评级反映了球队的纯粹等级，他们拥有最好的首发阵容——排除了动力因素和可能的疲劳——由高强度的赛程引起的。另一方面，国米在这一排名中排名第六。我想说的是，很多博彩公司都认为国米在赛季开始前已经进入了前三，有几个甚至是前二，最有希望赢得维考斯利加。我不是很乐观，但国米绝对有潜力取得明显的进步!

国际米兰目前在积分榜上排名第九，积分榜上有11分。然而，它们的期望值点数(xPTS)是16.43。大约一个月前，他们在主场对阵香港恒大的比赛中表现要好得多，但最终0-1输掉了比赛。目前，沪江已经连续四次赢得维库斯利加冠军。国米的进球次数(13胜3负)、射正(7胜1负)、角球、进攻和危险进攻(84胜47负)更多。国米现在已经取得了两连胜，这对国米球员来说无疑是一个很大的安慰和鼓舞!在上周的最后一场比赛中，他们在客场2-0轻松击败了拉赫蒂，在球场上他们看起来比以前更加放松和自信。他们有56%的控球率，并且有更多的进球尝试(13胜8负)、射正、射偏、角球(8胜2负)、进攻和危险进攻(51胜24负)，他们理应获胜。国米的预期进球数也比拉赫蒂多。在此之前，国米在主场3-1轻松击败哈卡——终于让忠诚的主场球迷高兴了!他们只有46%的控球率，并且有更多的射门次数(16-12次)、射正和射偏。考虑到预期的阵容，考虑到主场优势，伊尔维斯在这里应该只是一个微弱的热门。博彩公司不同意这一说法，给游客的赔率只有2.10左右。国际米兰+0.5球显然是明智的选择

！ 他们有一个非常好的教练，Vesa Vasara，他在这个赛季加入了球队。Vesa在前几个赛季与Honka Espoo取得了相当不错的成绩，但去年秋天球队破产了。他“带来”了一位经验丰富、聪明而有技术的德国人f·克雷布斯。一个值得密切关注的球员是16岁的佐科。这名速度很快的国米前锋在对阵拉赫蒂的比赛中打进了2-0的进球，他是一名非常有前途的年轻球员。比起伊尔维斯的主教练，我更信任瓦萨拉，尤其是在战术能力方面。

伊尔维斯在最近11场比赛中赢了5场，但最近3场比赛一场都没赢!在他们的上一场比赛中，他们面对的是VPS，他们是最受欢迎的对手，在开球时，VPS的价格在2.10-2.20左右。这场比赛总体上是平衡的。伊列夫斯比VPS多了一次射门机会，但主队却多了一次射门。我又一次被博彩公司高估了。在此之前，他们在主场1-2输给了up，但正如我所料，这场比赛是一场平衡的比赛。在开球时，博彩公司给伊尔维斯的赔率只有2.00-2.10左右!这是他们在博彩市场上被高估的又一个例子。我们必须考虑到伊尔维斯的若日尼奥在这场比赛的第63分钟被罚下。在此之前，伊尔维斯的表现令人满意——在赫尔辛基博尔特竞技场1-1战平。然而，在本场比赛中，hkk的进球次数、射正、射偏、进攻和危险进攻都有所增加。我想强调的是，hkk在这场比赛中的表现远远低于他们的正常水平!