Last game of preparation before EURO.
France is coming from a 3:0 victory over Luxemburg, in a game where they generated a lot (22 shots, 1.60 expected goals) and were very solid at the back, conceding just 1 shot on target and 0.12 expected goals.
Mbappé made a fantastic game with 2 assists and one goal, and played 90 minutes, so I expect him to rest here and be replaced by Dembele who didn’t play a single minute in that game. Other starters such as Camavinga who played just 2 minutes, or Giroud who played 10 mins, should be in the starting XI here. Rabiot also is expected to be in the midfield as he didn’t play any minutes against Luxembourg.
I expect them to focus on a solid defense one more time, as their previous games concede a lot (2 goals against Chile, Germany and Greece), and they need to be solid at the back if they want to win the EURO. I believe that one of their main targets for this fixture will be to keep the goal to nil one more time, whilst upfront they have plenty of quality to score lot of goals easily without generating too much.
On the other hand, Canada is finishing their preparation for the Copa America where they have been invited. They have been in poor form in recent months, in the last 10 games they won only against weak sides like Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago or Cuba. They suffered draws against Guatemala, Guadalupe, and lost against Jamaica. Playing against top teams they were totally outplayed: 4:1 by Japan and 4:0 against Netherlands this week.
That game against the Netherlands is what I want to focus on. The Netherlands is one step below France, but it’s a team we can compare: a top European team. And in that game Canada was totally outplayed, although all goals came in the second half. Canada had 3.14 expected goals, 21 shots, 60% possession, and Canada generated only 0.57 expected goals.
They have a good squad with some good players, especially RB Davies. However, he played 90 minutes against Netherlands and I don’t expect him to be a starter here. Another important player, best striker Jonathan David (their topscorer) played the whole game, as well as the other starter striker Larin who played 71 minutes. All of them are expected to be reserved here.
Overall I see that Canada used their best XI against Netherlands, whilst France left some starters on the bench and have much more alternatives and quality. So we’ll see even a weaker team from Canada here than the one who was totally outplayed by the Netherlands.
France is a much better team than the Netherlands and is playing this last game before EURO with high motivation. They need to make a good performance to achieve confidence and surely also some players will try to give their best to show to coach Deschamps that they deserve to play more minutes in the EURO.
欧洲杯前的最后一场准备比赛。
法国队以3:0战胜卢森堡队,在这场比赛中,他们创造了很多机会(22次射门,预期进球1.60个),后防线非常稳固,只有1次射正,预期进球0.12个。
巴巴在这场比赛中贡献了2次助攻和1个进球,打了90分钟,所以我希望他能在这里休息,而登贝莱在那场比赛中没有打一分钟。其他的首发球员,比如只打了2分钟的卡马文加,或者打了10分钟的吉鲁,都应该进入首发阵容。拉比奥在对阵卢森堡的比赛中没有上场,因此他也将出现在中场。
我希望他们再一次把重点放在稳固的防守上,因为他们之前的比赛丢了很多球(对智利、德国和希腊丢了2球),如果他们想赢得欧洲杯,他们需要稳固的后防线。我相信他们在这场比赛中的主要目标之一将是再次将进球保持在零,同时他们有足够的能力在不产生太多进球的情况下轻松得分。
另一方面,加拿大正在完成他们被邀请参加的美洲杯的准备工作。最近几个月,他们的状态不佳,在过去的10场比赛中,他们只赢了牙买加、特立尼达和多巴哥或古巴等弱队。他们战平了危地马拉和瓜达卢佩,输给了牙买加。在与强队的比赛中,他们完全被击败:4:1输给日本队,4:0输给荷兰队。
对荷兰的比赛是我想要关注的。荷兰队比法国队低一级,但这是一支我们可以比较的球队:一支欧洲顶级球队。在那场比赛中,加拿大完全被击败,尽管所有的进球都是在下半场打进的。加拿大有3.14个预期进球,21次射门,60%的控球率,而加拿大只有0.57个预期进球。
他们有一个很好的阵容,有一些很好的球员,尤其是RB戴维斯。然而,他在对阵荷兰的比赛中打了90分钟,我不希望他在这里成为首发。另一名重要球员,最佳前锋乔纳森·大卫(他们的最佳射手)打满了全场,另外一名首发前锋拉林也打了71分钟。所有的都希望在这里预订。
总的来说,我看到加拿大在对阵荷兰的比赛中使用了他们最好的11人,而法国在板凳上留下了一些首发球员,他们有更多的选择和质量。所以我们将看到一支比荷兰队更弱的加拿大队。
法国队比荷兰队强多了,他们正带着高昂的斗志打欧洲杯前的最后一场比赛。他们需要有好的表现来获得信心,当然也有一些球员会尽力向主教练德尚展示他们应该在欧洲杯上有更多的出场时间。