La Liga is back! Who wins?
2020-12-29

Borja

外籍分析师

西甲

12/30 00:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Great game we have here.

Sevilla (6th) will fight against Villarreal for the UCL spot in La Liga. Is a team whose main weak point is the lack of goal - they need too many chances to score goals, to create football and dominate the games, and only managed to score 15 goals in 13 games. The worst attack in the TOP10.

Their results lately were pretty lucky, managed to win against weak teams with short results (1:0/0:1) or with a lot of luck. In the last 5 games where achieved some point (victories or draws) scored a goal in the last 10 minutes or from penalty.

They aren’t playing well. Of course is a team with a great coach and a lot of quality, but their football is very poor and as said, their attack is too weak. They suffered a lot against weak teams lately, so against a strong side like Villarreal won’t be easy.

Villarreal (4th) is a very irregular team, but hard to beat. In fact, is the only team beside Atletico de Madrid (1st) who only lost 1 game in La Liga so far. Their main problem is against small teams, where they know that are better, always make defensive mistakes and concede goals. But against strong sides we use to see their best level.

Unbeaten in the last 19 official games, Villarresl arrives at this game with confidence and motivation. They showed many alternatives to score and ability to wake up in the games when they concede goals.

When Sevilla scores a goal they always change the style to a very defensive football, giving the possession to the rival and trying to score goals at counter (something that they weren’t able to do so far), and giving Villarreal’s reaction capacity, I don't see Sevilla winning here.

I’m expecting a very equal game here, like in the last years. Sevilla weren’t able to win in the last 5 meetings against Villarreal (3 draws, 2 defeats) and I don't see them today with enough level to do it, at least as easy as the odds show. Their level right now is the same or even worse than the “Yellow Submarine”.


塞维利亚(第6名)将在西甲联赛中与比利亚雷亚尔交手。塞维利亚的主要弱点是缺少进球-他们需要太多的机会进球,而在13场比赛中只打进球5球。是排名前10的球队中攻击力最弱的。

他们最近的成绩是非常幸运,以微弱的优势(1:0/0:1)击败实力较弱的球队。在最近的5场比赛中都只打进了一球(胜利或平局),他们在最后10分钟内进球或者依靠点球。

他们的比赛表现不佳。当然,这支球队的教练水平很高,而且实力很强,但是他们的表现非常糟糕,他们的进攻能力太弱了。最近在同弱队的比赛中遭受了很多麻烦,因此面对比利亚雷亚尔这样的强队并不容易。

比利亚雷亚尔(4th)是一支非常不规律的球队,但很难被击败。是除了马德里竞技(1st)之外唯一一支在西甲联赛中仅输掉1场比赛的球队。他们的主要问题在于对阵小球队表现不佳,他们很清楚自己实力更强,但总是犯一些防守失误导致失球。但是对阵强队通常会拿出自己的最佳水平。

比利亚雷亚尔在最近的19场正式比赛中保持不败,充满信心和动力来参加这场比赛。他们展示了球队的攻击力,可以用多种方式进球得分。

当塞维利亚打入一球时,他们总是改变自己的风格,将球权交给对手,并试图在反击时得分(这是他们迄今为止无法做到的),考虑到比利亚雷亚尔的实力,我不认为塞维利亚可以在本场获胜。

我预测本场会是一场比较均衡的比赛,塞维利亚在过去5场对比利亚雷亚尔的比赛中均未能获胜(3平2负),我认为他们今天没有足够的实力打破这样的势头,他们现在的水平与“黄色潜水艇”相同甚至更弱一些。预测比利亚雷亚尔不败。

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