In my opinion Cerezo has a really good chances to at least avoid loss in today's match.

First match between both teams finished with Machida 3:1 on the road so they are in very comfortable situation, even loss with one goal difference is good enough for them. This is big advantage for our bet.

Cerezo had a 1:0 lead after 45 minutes in first game, but collapsed in second half. Now team have strong motivation to do well. Defender Funaki said: "We will definitely get revenge." Guests are very pumped before this game. Cerezo in 2017 won in this competition and looking for another deep run.

Machida playing crazy season, no doubt about that. They are leader of the table in J1 League as newcomers (!!!), but their confidence before this home game might be little bit shaky. In last home game they recorded painful 1:3 loss against poor Niigata (just above relegation zone). For sure this is good example to follow for Cerezo.

Before first game, Cerezo had a streak of 5 consecutive matches without a loss, so their form is solid. They went unbeaten in the last 3 away matches.

In comparison to the first game, Cerezo line up today should look much stronger. Their top players like Leo should start in first squad (in first game he started on the bench).

In those circumstances I see bigger chances for Cerezo than bookies want to suggest for us based on their odds.

在我看来，塞雷佐在今天的比赛中至少有很好的机会避免输球。

两队的第一场比赛都是以町田3:1的比分结束的，所以他们处于非常舒适的状态，即使输球只差一球对他们来说也已经足够好了。这是我们打赌的一大优势。

第一场比赛开始45分钟时，塞雷佐曾以1比0领先，但在下半场彻底崩溃。现在球队有很强的动力去做好。后卫船崎说:“我们一定会报复的。”比赛开始前，客人们都很兴奋。2017年，Cerezo赢得了这场比赛，并寻求另一次深入的比赛。

毫无疑问，町田本赛季打出了疯狂的表现。作为新人，他们在J1联赛中排名第一(!!)，但他们在主场比赛前的信心可能会有点动摇。在上一场主场比赛中，他们痛苦地以1:3输给了战绩不佳的新潟(刚刚超过降级区)。当然，这是Cerezo可以效仿的好例子。

在第一场比赛之前，塞雷佐已经连续5场不败，所以他们的状态是稳定的。他们在最近的3场客场比赛中保持不败。

与第一场比赛相比，Cerezo今天的阵容应该看起来更强大。像里奥这样的顶级球员应该首发(他在第一场比赛中是替补出场的)。

在这种情况下，我认为塞雷佐的机会比博彩公司根据他们的赔率给我们的建议要大。