Gremio needs to win here to achieve the first position. This is important for them to avoid playing in ⅛ finals against Fluminense, who is a very strong team. If they finish leaders in the group, their rival in the next stage will be Peñarol, a much easier team and one of the worst qualified to the ⅛ finals.

Although Gremio isn’t at the same level as the giants and title contenders Flamengo, Palmeiras or River, they have a good squad with a lot of quality, and Brazilian teams use to perform very well in this tournament.

Their key players are the midfielders Mathias Villasanti and Cristaldo Franco, which I expect them to be important here to dominate the midfield battle and bring assists to the veteran Spanish striker Diego Costa. However, Cristaldo Franco also plays in advanced positions and is very good at finishing, being the topscorer of the team at the moment with 8 goals in 23 games.

Gremio already beat Estudiantes in the previous game played in Argentina, winning 0:1 and scoring the winning goal when they were playing with 10 players due to a red card. They dominated the game and generated more than double of expected goals (0.61 for Estudiantes, 1.54 for Gremio).

Estudiantes are the main reason for this pick. They have nothing on play, are 4th regardless of the result in this fixture, because this is the last round and are 4 points below Huachipato who secured the ticket for Sudamericana 1/16 finals.

So they’ll play without any motivation here and will play only for pride. As coach said: “we don’t have any motivation to play this fixture”, being honest with the team’s situation.

They traveled with all the squad available, just without reserve goalkeeper Fabricio Iacovich (with Argentina U23) and some starters: important winger Tiago Palacios (suspended), striker Guido Carrillo (injured), defender Meza (injured) and their midfielder Satiago Ascacibar who is the player in the squad with more minutes played so far.

Furthermore, there will be rotations for this fixture, as the team is now fully focused in the league. They made a terrible Libertadores, winning only one fixture which was against Strongest (2:1), who received a red card at 8’. Even with this, Estudiantes had to make a comeback as they conceded one goal and scored the two goals in the second half.

Estudiantes looks relaxed since they won the title in Argentina (Copa) last month against Velez. Are performing really bad and at the moment are coming from three games winless, with two defeats and one draw.

So Gremio has a much better squad (their value is double than Estudiantes), much more motivation, and the home advantage. Guests are missing several key players, and will play here with reserves and without motivation. This should be an easy home win for Gremio who already showed in the previous game (with both teams playing at 100%) that THEY are better team than Estudiantes, even playing away.

格雷米奥需要在这里获胜才能获得第一的位置。这对他们来说是很重要的，他们可以避免在决赛中面对一支非常强大的球队弗鲁米嫩塞。如果他们以小组第一的身份出线，他们下一阶段的对手将是Peñarol，一支轻松得多的球队，也是晋级决赛的最差队伍之一。

虽然格雷米奥与豪门和冠军争夺者弗拉门戈、帕尔梅拉斯或河队的水平不一样，但他们拥有一支实力强大的球队，巴西队在本届杯赛上的表现也非常出色。

他们的核心球员是中场比利亚桑蒂和佛朗哥，我希望他们在中场的战斗中发挥重要作用，并为西班牙老将迭戈·科斯塔带来助攻。然而，克里斯托多·佛朗哥也能踢前场，并且非常擅长射门，目前他在23场比赛中打进8球，是球队的最佳射手。

格雷米奥在此前与阿根廷的比赛中以0:1击败了大学生队，并在10人出战的情况下攻入制胜球。他们在比赛中占据主导地位，进球数是预期的两倍多(大学生0.61球，格雷米奥1.54球)。

学生是这一选择的主要原因。他们没有比赛，无论比赛结果如何，他们都排在第四，因为这是最后一轮，他们比获得南美1/16决赛入场券的瓦奇帕托落后4分。

所以他们在这里踢球没有任何动机，只会为了骄傲而踢球。正如教练所说:“我们没有任何动力去打这场比赛”，他对球队的情况很诚实。

他们带着全部可用的阵容，只是没有替补门将亚科维奇(阿根廷U23国家队)和一些首发球员:重要的边锋帕拉西奥斯(停赛)、前锋卡里略(受伤)、后卫梅萨(受伤)和中场球员萨提亚戈·阿斯卡西巴尔，他是迄今为止出场时间最长的球员。

此外，由于球队现在完全专注于联赛，本场比赛将会有轮换。他们打得很糟糕，只赢了一场比赛，那就是对阵最强(2:1)，后者在第8分钟吃到了红牌。尽管如此，大学生队还是在下半场丢了一个球，并进了两个球。

大学生队在上个月的阿根廷杯上击败贝莱斯队夺得冠军后看起来很放松。我们的表现真的很糟糕，目前我们刚刚经历了三场无胜的比赛，两负一平。

所以格雷米奥有一个更好的阵容(他们的价值是大学生队的两倍)，更有动力，还有主场优势。客人们缺少了几个关键的球员，他们将在这里打替补，没有动力。对于格雷米奥来说，这应该是一场轻松的主场胜利，他们已经在上一场比赛中(两队都发挥了100%)证明了他们比大学生更好，即使是在客场比赛。