Ventforet Kofu VS Vegalta Sendai

Kofu welcome Vegalta Sendai for this J2 League round 19 clash at JIT Recycle Ink Stadium Saturday afternoon Beijing time. This is the second tier of Japanese football and the level of this league is pretty mediocre - for a second tier I mean. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind can expect a match of relatively average quality by this league's standards here. Kofu are currently in 12th place in this league with a total of 20 clubs. They have grabbed 22 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is a little lower. They have declined from last season when they finished in 8th place with 64 points in their pocket. However, many of their players played above their normal level last season and their number of xPTS was "only" 60.02. Vegalta Sendai, on the other hand, were both disappointing and unlucky last season – ending up in 16th place. This season they have been strong and are in 4th place in the league table. They have a fine 32 points to their account. Their offense has not been top-level so far though.. Their attacks are sometimes a bit too slow and predictable which gives the opponent (too) much time to organize the defence.. They have netted the ball 22 times but their number of expected goals (xG) is higher – 25.67 to be precise. They have allowed only 19 goals and it is hard to name a clear defensive weakness that they would have.. Yes, their defence can be vulnerable to intense and well-organized pressing but Kofu are not expected to be able to do this here.. The Kofu defence is not very well structured and their defenders sometimes make childish mistakes.. They have conceded 27 goals! This is seven goals more than for example Mito, currently in 17th place, have allowed! They have scored a pretty good 28 goals but their number of xG is still a little lower than that of Vegalta Sendai. With the expected lineups the visitors deserve to be the favourites here. Based on my strongly data-based expert analysis their chance of winning is 39%. We will take the +0.5 goals handicap on Vegalta Sendai here.

The visitors have been in excellent form recently! Indeed, they have won five of their last six games. In their most recent match they beat Iwaki away from home as underdogs on the betting market. The hosts recorded one more shot on goal though. Before this, Vegalta Sendai lost to Okayama 1-4 at home but the final score is very misleading. Indeed, the hosts had 64.40% ball possession and also recorded more goal attempts (16-5), shots on goal, shots off target, corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and especially dangerous attacks – 66-30. In round 16 they defeated Tochigi 2-1 on the road despite being far from their best.. Kofu have been poor at home this year and also do not have very loud fans. Consequently the home advantage is pretty limited here. Indeed, Kofu have won only one of their last 10 games. They have failed to win any of their last four matches – losing 3/4! In their last game they faced Fujieda on the road, losing 1-2 as solid favourites on the betting. Indeed, they were priced around 2.3o to take all three points.. Before this they deservedly lost to Yokohama 1-2 at home. The visitors recorded more goal attempts (14-9), shots on goal shots off target (10-6), corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Yokohama also generated more in xG. In round 16 Kofu were not bad but lost to Okayama 0-2 away from home. Both teams had four shots on goal. However, I want to mention that Okayama played clearly below their normal level in this match.

Ventforet Kofu VS Vegalta仙台

北京时间周六下午，在J2联赛第19轮的比赛中，功夫队将在JIT回收墨水体育场迎接仙台维加尔塔。这是日本足球的第二梯队，这个联赛的水平相当平庸——我的意思是，对于第二梯队来说。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期利润——可以期待一场以联赛标准相对平均的比赛。目前，kfu在联赛中排名第12位，共有20家俱乐部。他们已经拿到了22分。但是，它们的期望值(xPTS)略低一些。上赛季他们以64分排在第8位，现在已经有所下降。然而，他们的许多球员上赛季的表现都超过了正常水平，他们的xPTS“只有”60.02。另一方面，仙台维加尔塔上赛季既令人失望又不走运——最终排名第16位。本赛季他们一直很强大，在联赛中排名第四。他们被罚了32分。到目前为止，他们的进攻还不是顶级的。他们的进攻有时过于缓慢和可预测，这给了对手太多的时间来组织防守。他们有22次进球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)更高，准确地说是25.67个。他们只丢了19个球，很难说出他们有什么明显的防守弱点。是的，他们的防守在组织严密的压力下是脆弱的，但是Kofu在这里是做不到的。功夫的防守结构不是很好，他们的后卫有时会犯幼稚的错误。他们丢了27个球!这比目前排名第17位的水户多丢了7个球!他们已经打进了不错的28球，但他们的xG数量仍然比仙台维加尔塔少一些。凭借预期的阵容，客队理应成为最受欢迎的球队。根据我以数据为基础的专家分析，他们获胜的几率是39%。我们将在仙台Vegalta比赛中采用+0.5的进球障碍。

客队最近状态极佳!事实上，他们在最近6场比赛中赢了5场。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在客场击败了磐城队，在博彩市场上处于劣势。不过主队又射进了一球。在此之前，仙台维加尔塔主场1-4不敌冈山，但最后的比分很容易让人误解。事实上，东道主的控球率为64.40%，并且进球次数(16-5)、射正、射偏、角球、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数、尤其是危险进攻次数(66-30)也更多。在第16轮，尽管状态远未达到最佳，但他们还是在客场2-1击败了枥木。师傅今年在国内表现不佳，也没有很响的风扇。因此主场优势非常有限。事实上，在过去的10场比赛中，功夫只赢了一场。他们最近四场比赛一场都没赢，输了3/4!在上一场比赛中，他们在客场面对藤田，以1-2的比分输掉了比赛。事实上，它们的定价在2.30左右，囊括了所有三个点。在此之前，他们在主场1-2不敌横滨是理所应当的。客队的进球次数(14胜9负)、射正、射偏(10胜6负)、角球、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多。横滨也产生了更多的xG。在第16轮比赛中，神户队表现不错，但在客场0-2不敌冈山队。两队都有四次射门。然而，我想说的是，冈山在这场比赛中的表现明显低于他们的正常水平。