6/6 last picks WON! $$$ 国际赛 波兰VS乌克兰
2024-06-07

Tapio

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Poland VS Ukraine


Poland and Ukraine lock horns in this friendly game at PGE Narodowy in Warsaw very early Saturday morning Beijing time. Both teams have qualified for the EURO 2024 that starts next week! The main idea behind playing this game is to prepare and test different things ahead of the huge tournament. In the World Cup in 2022 they even failed to qualify for the Playoffs. However, they also had some bad luck in the group stage. Poland have been dropping in the FIFA ranking in recent years. Indeed, they are now in 28th place in this ranking. I would say that 34-35th would be a more realistic ranking. Lewandowski, who plays in Barcelona, has been an extremely important – player for Poland over 10 years. I would say Poland depend too much on him. Even with "Lewa" Poland's offense has been poor for a country who even played in the World Cup in Qatar 2022. They were lucky in the group stage and qualified for the Playoffs where they got crushed by France. Ukraine did not quite make it to this tournament, losing to Wales in the Promotion Final 0-1.  This perhaps leads some bookies to believe that Poland are better than Ukraine but this is not the case! Ukraine should have an edge in all areas of the game here. Yes, Lewa is still a good striker, of course, but is clearly in decline already.. He is, after all, 35 years old and is not nearly as fast and agile on the pitch as some 2-3 years ago.. Ukraine are more balanced team as a whole but do have some famous players in the squad as well! For example Mudryk plays for Chelsea in the English Premier League, the best league on the planet. Ukraine are in 22th place in the FIFA which is more or less correct in my expert opinion.

Even pretty heavy squad rotation is expected here. Injuries – and too much fatigue need to be avoided. In friendlies the home team very often wins as the fans' support (and pressure) is often the deciding factor in an otherwise balanced game – giving the players the small " extra boost". I have taken this factor into account - I have strongly believe that the bookies to give this factor too much emphasis here.. I I would like to emphasize that there are millions of Ukrainians living in Ukraine and there will surely be a lot of them cheering for their countrymen at the stadium. The home advantage is - indeed -  much smaller than in a "normal" game where only a tiny number of visiting teams' fans show up at the stadium. In their most recent game they faced at Max-Morlock-Stadion Nuremberg. Germany were priced around 1.35 to win on the betting market but it was a 0-0 draw. Before this Germany had beaten two very strong teams, Netherlands 2-1 and France away from home 2-0. I loved the way the Ukrainians defended in this clash, clearly wanting to play for their country who is at war with Russia at the moment. The national team is very important for the people of Ukraine - giving them something positive to think about in these challenging times.. I cannot prove this with data/statistics but Ukraine seems to have a very good team spirit at the moment, even better than before the full scale war started in 2022. Before the clash against Germany Ukraine beat Iceland. It was an EURO 2024 Qualification Promotion Final clash at a neutral location, Tarczyński Arena in Wrocław, Poland. Ukraine were priced around 1.60 to win in the 90 minutes of play and did deserve to win but did not, in all honesty, fully impress me.. The stakes were sky-high and some of their players understandably looked a bit nervous on the pitch – failing to play at their best level.  Iceland started the game well, being  surprisingly active and confident on the pitch. However, gradually Ukraine managed to take control.. They recorded two more shots on goal than Iceland.

Before defeating Iceland Ukraine beat Bosnia & Herzegovina 2-1 on the road as solid favourites through two pretty late goals by Yaremchuck (86th minute)  and Dovbyk (88'). Before these goals Ukraine played too cautious football – in my opinion - and their offense was lame.. In the end they generated 1.02 in xG. The hosts managed only 0.41. It was an EURO 2024 Qualification Promotion semi-final battle. Ukraine have been in excellent form and have not lost any of their last seven matches – winning five of these seven games. Poland have won four of their last seven games. In their last game they beat Wales on the road 1-0 after penalties. They failed to record a single shot on target and did not deserve the win! The xG numbers were 1.03-0.43. It was an EURO 2024 Qualification Promotion Final clash. Before this they crushed Estonia, a very poor team, 5-1 at home. It was an EURO 2024 Qualification Promotion Final battle. Estonia's M. Paskotsi was sent off in the 27th minute which affected the match a lot! The score was still 1-0 at this point.. The xG numbers were 2.44-0.15. Indeed, the final score flatters Poland! The biggest bookies with the largest stake limits see Poland as favourites here – offering them odds of around 2.60 to win. I disagree. Based on my sophisticated expert analysis Ukraine deserve to be the favourites and we will take them with the +0.5 goals handicap option - going for the 7th winner in a row


I have previewed four other games as well!  I wish all my fans GOOD LUCK and a great week-end!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

波兰VS乌克兰


北京时间周六凌晨,波兰和乌克兰在华沙的PGE Narodowy球场进行了一场友谊赛。两支球队都有资格参加下周开始的2024年欧洲杯!玩这个游戏的主要目的是在大型比赛之前准备和测试不同的东西。在2022年世界杯上,他们甚至没能进入季后赛。然而,他们在小组赛中也运气不佳。近年来,波兰在国际足联的排名一直在下降。事实上,他们现在在这个排行榜上排名第28位。我会说34-35是一个更现实的排名。莱万多夫斯基效力于巴塞罗那,在过去的10年里,他一直是波兰队中非常重要的球员。我会说波兰太依赖他了。即使有了“莱瓦”,作为一个甚至参加过2022年卡塔尔世界杯的国家,波兰的进攻也很糟糕。他们在小组赛阶段很幸运,进入了季后赛,但被法国队击败。乌克兰没能晋级,在晋级决赛中0-1不敌威尔士。这可能会导致一些博彩公司认为波兰比乌克兰更好,但事实并非如此!乌克兰应该在比赛的所有领域都有优势。是的,莱瓦当然仍然是一名优秀的前锋,但显然已经在走下坡路了。毕竟,他已经35岁了,在球场上已经不像两三年前那么敏捷了。乌克兰整体上是一支更平衡的球队,但球队中也有一些著名球员!例如,穆德莱克在英超为切尔西效力,这是世界上最好的联赛。乌克兰在国际足联排名第22位,这在我的专家看来或多或少是正确的。

在这里,甚至会有大量的轮换。要避免受伤和过度疲劳。在友谊赛中,主队经常获胜,因为球迷的支持(和压力)往往是一场平衡比赛的决定性因素——给球员们小小的“额外的鼓舞”。我已经把这个因素考虑进去了——我强烈认为博彩公司在这里过分强调了这个因素。我想强调的是,有数百万乌克兰人生活在乌克兰,肯定会有很多人在体育场为他们的同胞加油。主场优势确实比“正常”比赛要小得多,在“正常”比赛中,只有极少数客队球迷出现在球场上。在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们面对的是纽伦堡的马克斯-莫洛克球场。在博彩市场上,德国队的胜率在1.35左右,但结果是0比0战平。在此之前,德国队以2比1击败了荷兰队,客场2比0击败了法国队。我喜欢乌克兰人在这场冲突中的防守方式,显然是想为他们的国家踢球,因为他们现在正与俄罗斯交战。国家队对乌克兰人民来说非常重要,在这个充满挑战的时代给了他们一些积极的东西。我无法用数据或统计来证明这一点,但乌克兰目前似乎拥有非常好的团队精神,甚至比2022年全面战争开始前还要好。在与德国的比赛之前,乌克兰击败了冰岛。这是一场在波兰Wrocław的Tarczyński竞技场举行的2024年欧洲杯预选赛决赛。乌克兰在90分钟的比赛中获胜的价格在1.60左右,他们确实应该获胜,但说实话,并没有给我留下深刻的印象。赌注很高,他们的一些球员在球场上看起来有点紧张,这是可以理解的——他们没有发挥出最好的水平。冰岛队开局不错,在球场上表现得非常活跃和自信。然而,乌克兰逐渐控制了局面。他们比冰岛多射门两次。

在击败冰岛之前,乌克兰在客场2-1击败波黑,凭借亚雷姆丘克(第86分钟)和多夫比克(第88分钟)在最后时刻的两粒进球,乌克兰稳居夺冠热门。在这些进球之前,乌克兰踢得太谨慎了——在我看来——他们的进攻很差劲。最后他们在xG中生成了1.02。东道主只做到了0.41。这是一场2024年欧洲杯预选赛半决赛。乌克兰的状态非常好,最近7场比赛没有输过一场,在这7场比赛中赢了5场。波兰队在最近7场比赛中赢了4场。在上一场比赛中,他们在点球大战中以1比0击败了威尔士队。他们一次射门都射正,根本不配赢得这场比赛!xG值为1.03 ~ 0.43。这是2024年欧洲杯预选赛的决赛。在此之前,他们在主场以5比1击败了实力非常弱的爱沙尼亚队。这是2024年欧洲杯预选赛的最后一战。爱沙尼亚的M. Paskotsi说

S在第27分钟被罚下,这对比赛影响很大!此时比分仍然是1比0。xG值为2.44-0.15。的确,最后的比分对波兰有利!最大的博彩公司拥有最大的赌注限制,认为波兰是最受欢迎的球队,他们的赔率约为2.60。我不同意。根据我老练的专家分析,乌克兰应该是最受欢迎的球队,我们将以+0.5的进球障碍选择他们-连续第七次获胜


我也预览了另外四款游戏!我祝我所有的粉丝好运,周末愉快!

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